Kevin C. Smith, CFA @crescatkevin
Hedge fund manager: global macro, long/short equity, activist metals. Wage-price spirals are not transitory. https://t.co/ptnKKXA96X crescat.net/disclosures Denver, Colorado Joined May 2012-
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Now is not the time to stand in the way of this long-awaited historical breakout, in my view. With gold prices at these levels, mining companies are likely to become true cash-flow machines. Newmont's earnings release today was just a glimpse of what's to come.
Why do value stocks outperform growth stocks? Since 1990, growth stocks have traded at an avg. valuation premium of 90% compared to value stocks. Investors pay higher prices for growth stocks in anticipation of higher earnings growth rates. Unfortunately, this expectation has…
A valuable lesson from the 70s that is particularly relevant in a day like today: Gold and commodities consistently outperformed while tech stocks endured numerous setbacks. Although this dynamic appears to be unthinkable today, keep in mind that markets often defy…
This chart is fascinating. Gold miners, arguably the most hated industry in today's markets, are also at their most undervalued state in 40 years based on their price-to-net-asset-value ratio. I call this the perfect storm.
This chart from Goldman Sachs is eye-opening: Asset-heavy stocks have underperformed a great deal. Given the accelerating pace of innovation so apparent all around us, it’s tough to suggest that investors should shun capital-light industries that continue to compound such…
Buy low and sell high. Natural gas is currently re-testing the lows of its prior 7 major bottoms. If you ask me, time to step in.
"Jacks for openers". 😀Nice one, Larry.
Crescat's Live Market Call x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
$ALEX.V announces final assay results including 5m at 11.03g/t gold at Aburna. Alpha has now completed the first phase of a planned 20,000m, 2024 drilling program at Aburna. alpha-exploration.com/wp-content/upl…
Live at 2pm ET! Crescat returns with our latest Friday installment of our live market calls! Catch up with Crescat and this weeks market moves & subscribe to be notifies of future live streams 🌟 @crescatkevin @TaviCosta youtube.com/live/yxTMW6Y0p…
$LIO.V drills 448.98g/t, 202.34g/t and 108.5g/t gold at Tuvatu. Provides operations update to mining at Tuvatu. liononemetals.com/news/news-rele…
$PUMA.V launches drone high-resolution magnetic survey at Williams Brook. The survey will help map the lithology and structural features that control gold mineralization at the Lynx Gold Zone and translate that data to its extension along the Lynx Gold Trend.…
$SGD.V consolidates 100% of its Einarson project and acquires adjacent gold target with historical drill result of 9.7 g/t gold over 38.7m. Recent staking bolsters Snowline’s Yukon land position by 22,000 ha to >360,000 ha (>3,600 km2), with expansions to its Rogue and Einarson…
Timberline announces acquisition by McEwen Mining. “This is a good ending for this story, I think it has ended up in good hands.” – Quinton Hennigh looks ahead at what will become to Timberline and how he believes this impacts the current market #goldinvesting…
*ACTIVIST ELLIOTT SAID TO BUILD $1 BILLION ANGLO AMERICAN STAKE - Bloomberg. *Someone read "When Markets Speak." Anglo American plc is a British multinational mining company with headquarters in London, England. It is the world's largest producer of platinum, with around 40% of…
Barron's Gold mining / gold ratio (Weekly) 1938 - Today (April 24) how cheap are the mines ! #gold #barrons #mining #mines #producers #developers #exploration #preciousmetals #metals #silver #precious
A comprehensive analysis of BHP's all-share bid for Anglo American.
“I would be careful with equities that have been historically expensive…” - @TaviCosta breaks down NASDAQ vs. Treasuries over the last few years and what this may mean for the market. Subscribe to our YouTube to get reminded of our Friday live streams each week 👇…
$NVX.V reports strong surface samples. 5440g/t Ag and 1.26% Cu, and 14.4g/t Au at Root Spring project. nvgoldcorp.com/news/nv-gold-c…
For those who appreciate key technical levels: The US yield curve steepener trade is on the verge of a significant breakout, and if it comes to fruition, I see considerable potential for upside. To put this into historical perspective: While the spread between 2 vs 30-year…
Otavio (Tavi) Costa @TaviCosta
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711K Followers 718 Following Professor at NYU. Chief AI Scientist at Meta. Researcher in AI, Machine Learning, Robotics, etc. ACM Turing Award Laureate.Now is not the time to stand in the way of this long-awaited historical breakout, in my view. With gold prices at these levels, mining companies are likely to become true cash-flow machines. Newmont's earnings release today was just a glimpse of what's to come.
Why do value stocks outperform growth stocks? Since 1990, growth stocks have traded at an avg. valuation premium of 90% compared to value stocks. Investors pay higher prices for growth stocks in anticipation of higher earnings growth rates. Unfortunately, this expectation has…
A valuable lesson from the 70s that is particularly relevant in a day like today: Gold and commodities consistently outperformed while tech stocks endured numerous setbacks. Although this dynamic appears to be unthinkable today, keep in mind that markets often defy…
This chart is fascinating. Gold miners, arguably the most hated industry in today's markets, are also at their most undervalued state in 40 years based on their price-to-net-asset-value ratio. I call this the perfect storm.
This chart from Goldman Sachs is eye-opening: Asset-heavy stocks have underperformed a great deal. Given the accelerating pace of innovation so apparent all around us, it’s tough to suggest that investors should shun capital-light industries that continue to compound such…
As long as AI systems are trained to reproduce human-generated data (e.g. text) and have no search/planning/reasoning capability, performance will saturate below or around human level. Furthermore, the amount of trials needed to reach that level will be far larger than the…
Interesting how in all these domains AI is asymptoting at roughly human performance - where's the AI zooming past us to superintelligence that Kurzweil etc. predicted/feared?
Buy low and sell high. Natural gas is currently re-testing the lows of its prior 7 major bottoms. If you ask me, time to step in.
@crescatkevin i stole it from Bill Murphy at Le Metropole!
@garysavage1 Gary, satisfied subscriber and admirer here. I think your trader training is missing how this sector trades. When deeply depressed and than breaking out 39% is jacks for openers. See 2016. somewhat true 2020 although different circumstances. I have short hedges on, but will…
$ALEX.V announces final assay results including 5m at 11.03g/t gold at Aburna. Alpha has now completed the first phase of a planned 20,000m, 2024 drilling program at Aburna. alpha-exploration.com/wp-content/upl…
Live at 2pm ET! Crescat returns with our latest Friday installment of our live market calls! Catch up with Crescat and this weeks market moves & subscribe to be notifies of future live streams 🌟 @crescatkevin @TaviCosta youtube.com/live/yxTMW6Y0p…
$LIO.V drills 448.98g/t, 202.34g/t and 108.5g/t gold at Tuvatu. Provides operations update to mining at Tuvatu. liononemetals.com/news/news-rele…
$PUMA.V launches drone high-resolution magnetic survey at Williams Brook. The survey will help map the lithology and structural features that control gold mineralization at the Lynx Gold Zone and translate that data to its extension along the Lynx Gold Trend.…
$SGD.V consolidates 100% of its Einarson project and acquires adjacent gold target with historical drill result of 9.7 g/t gold over 38.7m. Recent staking bolsters Snowline’s Yukon land position by 22,000 ha to >360,000 ha (>3,600 km2), with expansions to its Rogue and Einarson…
Timberline announces acquisition by McEwen Mining. “This is a good ending for this story, I think it has ended up in good hands.” – Quinton Hennigh looks ahead at what will become to Timberline and how he believes this impacts the current market #goldinvesting…
*ACTIVIST ELLIOTT SAID TO BUILD $1 BILLION ANGLO AMERICAN STAKE - Bloomberg. *Someone read "When Markets Speak." Anglo American plc is a British multinational mining company with headquarters in London, England. It is the world's largest producer of platinum, with around 40% of…
Barron's Gold mining / gold ratio (Weekly) 1938 - Today (April 24) how cheap are the mines ! #gold #barrons #mining #mines #producers #developers #exploration #preciousmetals #metals #silver #precious
A comprehensive analysis of BHP's all-share bid for Anglo American.
“I would be careful with equities that have been historically expensive…” - @TaviCosta breaks down NASDAQ vs. Treasuries over the last few years and what this may mean for the market. Subscribe to our YouTube to get reminded of our Friday live streams each week 👇…
$NVX.V reports strong surface samples. 5440g/t Ag and 1.26% Cu, and 14.4g/t Au at Root Spring project. nvgoldcorp.com/news/nv-gold-c…