Steven Kelly @StevenKelly49
Associate Director of Research at the Yale Program on Financial Stability (@YPFSatYale/@YaleSOM). Financial crises & how to fight them. withoutwarningresearch.com [email protected] Joined March 2019-
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Per Visa: 90% of stablecoin transactions in the 30 days to April 24 were driven by bots
Per Visa: 90% of stablecoin transactions in the 30 days to April 24 were driven by bots https://t.co/MeiCMgJcgm
Yield curve has already shifted up about 65 basis points since the end of 2023. Here’s where banks’ unrealized securities losses were then:
Yield curve has already shifted up about 65 basis points since the end of 2023. Here’s where banks’ unrealized securities losses were then: https://t.co/yoPAc3JTto
First, First Republic. Second, Republic First…
Trump advisers calling “for a more muscular role for the Treasury Department in overseeing any emergency lending programs that are done jointly with the Fed.” Some have contended taking Treasury money for emergency Fed programs *protects* Fed independence. This should disabuse.
Trump advisers calling “for a more muscular role for the Treasury Department in overseeing any emergency lending programs that are done jointly with the Fed.” Some have contended taking Treasury money for emergency Fed programs *protects* Fed independence. This should disabuse.
The Fed points out that only about 100 of the 1,800 borrowers from the BTFP were institutions with total assets over $10 billion. (Never mind that there are only ~160 such institutions…)
The Fed points out that only about 100 of the 1,800 borrowers from the BTFP were institutions with total assets over $10 billion. (Never mind that there are only ~160 such institutions…) https://t.co/2SYKVFEf1x
One can only assume
Can and should!
The first ever Bank Nerd Corner special guest episode and it was a great one. @khaslett and I were joined by @StevenKelly49 to talk about the relationship between stock price and bank health, tokenization, the FHLB system, private credit, and potatoes. open.spotify.com/episode/36OqSd…
When your CRE portfolio depends on it:
Interesting bit here: the FHFA advised the San Francisco FHLB to *stop* lending to First Republic after SVB failed—and after the FHLB-SF had already increased collateral requirements and tightened other lending terms. Things the Fed doesn't do in a crisis:
Interesting bit here: the FHFA advised the San Francisco FHLB to *stop* lending to First Republic after SVB failed—and after the FHLB-SF had already increased collateral requirements and tightened other lending terms. Things the Fed doesn't do in a crisis: https://t.co/DxmTDOelB8
Grateful for the week we had together, but 💔💔💔
Grateful for the week we had together, but 💔💔💔
Tough to be a regional bank, especially when the best idea from McKinsey is actually the worst possible advice. You can't be a niche bank that also has the attention of the market. You can be niche and small—or diversified and big.
Tough to be a regional bank, especially when the best idea from McKinsey is actually the worst possible advice. You can't be a niche bank that also has the attention of the market. You can be niche and small—or diversified and big.
Brad Setser @Brad_Setser
98K Followers 953 Following CFR senior fellow. Views are my own. Retweets are not endorsements. Writes on sovereign debt and capital flows.
Joey Politano 🏳️.. @JosephPolitano
64K Followers 1K Following Writing a data-driven newsletter about economics @ https://t.co/IanQ9oPoPi | Nuance? In this economy? | he/him | Bi/pan
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Tracy Alloway @tracyalloway
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Sean Tuffy @SMTuffy
20K Followers 843 Following I tweet mostly about FinReg & crossborder funds. Sometimes I tweet about other stuff. Personal account, all opinions my own and whatnot.
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Matthew C. Klein @M_C_Klein
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Joey Politano 🏳️.. @JosephPolitano
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The US Treasury ramped up its estimate for federal borrowing for the current quarter to $243 billion, more than most dealers had anticipated trib.al/psm4IfF
The Boston Fed’s Supervision, Regulation & Credit department is hiring a business manager to lead a team responsible for supporting day-to-day Reserves, Discount Window, and PSR operations within its Reserves and Lending group. Learn more and apply: bit.ly/3JDRsuP
I love @matt_levine's idea that clusters of bank names may be systemically important. I worry this will mean FSOC will try to micromanage names.
This newsletter continues to cast an unconstitutional chill over my speech whenever I consider tweeting it. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
An incredibly fun thing I'll never do again.
🚨 Former Fed VC Rich Clarida on the podcast 🚨 We discuss his career, the inflation surge, FAIT, future path of treasury yields, his suggestions for the Fed framework review, and more. Required listening for the upcoming Hoover monetary policy conference. @JohnHCochrane…
Superb call to action here from @9finHQ
The US Treasury is set to keep its sales of long-term debt steady in a new plan this week, with the government expected to get relief soon from the Fed’s rapid run-down in its securities holdings trib.al/9zgUKIk
A decade ago, Fed officials looked at very low rates and sluggish growth to conclude the “neutral” interest rate must be lower. Today, the inverse may be happening: growth is resilient amid new sources of investment demand and higher fiscal deficits wsj.com/economy/centra…
Banks pay savers more as ‘higher-for-longer’ rates hit interest income on.ft.com/4dj8uMm
3 banks hired 26 of New York Community's deposit gathering teams. The departures come at a vital time for the company, which is working on a turnaround that requires maintaining and growing deposit funding, analysts said spglobal.com/marketintellig…
The state of Texas has an account with the Federal Reserve, and it's not the only non-depository that can bank directly with the central bank. Here's why: americanbanker.com/news/why-texas…
New York Community Bancorp $NYCB will have to lure buyers for its commercial real estate (CRE) loans with steep discounts and diversify its revenue as it races to shore up its finances. Story by @NiketNishant @manya__saini @Reuters reuters.com/business/finan…
They're back! Some of the world’s biggest energy trading companies are returning to metals, years after getting burnt in the notoriously difficult markets. @jfarchy @mburtonmetals bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Apollo has sold a stake in the lending business it acquired from Credit Suisse last year shortly before the Swiss bank’s shotgun rescue by UBS, securing a multibillion-dollar investment from one of the US’s largest insurers. ft.com/content/de752d…
The SEC is in talks with firms seeking to become central clearinghouses for US Treasuries and derivatives trading under a new agency rule designed to fortify the world’s largest debt market. trib.al/2DRKY7w
Goldman Sachs shares rose to a record on Tuesday, eclipsing their previous closing high set more than two years ago. trib.al/bbuhYHJ
Is there a way to short someone’s Twitter account?
Private equity firms are attempting to get blanket permission to borrow against their funds’ assets — a trend that’s exasperating some investors trib.al/cqtXXEZ
The cumulative effect of serial disappointments on inflation are reshaping the outlook for rate cuts. “I always say, one month is no months, but three months—that’s at least one real month." wsj.com/economy/centra…
The latest US economic data is continuing a narrative: that robust growth has done little to help Biden's reelection campaign, thanks to persistent inflation bloomberg.com/news/articles/… via @bpolitics
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