John Cochrane @JohnHCochrane
The Grumpy Economist. Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution. Opinions are mine alone and do not represent the position of the Hoover Institution or Stanford Univ. johnhcochrane.blogspot.com Palo Alto, CA Joined July 2012-
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@JohnHCochrane Great new blogpost! As always, appreciate the use of basic economics throughout...and so does Claude.ai. I asked whether this post was similar to other writings on "A Grumpy Economist". Here's the answer:
Supply, demand, AI, and humans at Grumpy Economist. Will I be displaced by AI? grumpy-economist.com/p/supply-deman…
If anyone wonders how to do it legally, listen to the world's too expert on sovereign debt, Lee Buchheit: issue a syndicated loan to Ukraine; as collateral UKR pledges its entitlement to reparations. When Russia does not pay, cancel what Russia owes with Russia's assets.…
On #GoodFellows, @reihan joins @JohnHCochrane, @nfergus, @LTGHRMcMaster, & @billwhalenCA to discuss a smarter approach to welcoming newcomers to #America.
Monetary policy does not affect risk premiums. An interesting paper by Stefan Nagel and Zhengyang Xu at NBER grumpy-economist.com/p/the-fed-and-…
Increasingly the paper is a poster for the appendix. Motivation, literature review, policy implications, some intuition, simple cases, directions for research. Maybe statement. Proof in appendix. But the paper is the proof, nothing else -- the logic connecting if to then!
Increasingly the paper is a poster for the appendix. Motivation, literature review, policy implications, some intuition, simple cases, directions for research. Maybe statement. Proof in appendix. But the paper is the proof, nothing else -- the logic connecting if to then!
Grumpy Economist: Inflation Confusion grumpy-economist.com/p/inflation-co…
Opportunity vs progressivism, california.
Adam Smith Award remarks at the Association for Private Enterprise Education. On the wonders of free markets and good economics. grumpy-economist.com/p/adam-smith-r…
L’Italia, per quanto imperfetta, è e rimane una grande democrazia. Una democrazia, ci piaccia o no, figlia di una guerra terribile e devastante. Una democrazia che appena 80 anni fa era considerata un valore così importante e universale, che decine di migliaia di uomini,…
Nice review of "Getting Monetary Policy Back on Track" by Tom Hogan independent.org/publications/t…
Like @RepBrianFitz , I call for the immediate and unconditional surrender of Hamas. It is the fastest way to end the suffering on the West Bank. The #ceasefire begins, when Hamas stops firing.
Like @RepBrianFitz , I call for the immediate and unconditional surrender of Hamas. It is the fastest way to end the suffering on the West Bank. The #ceasefire begins, when Hamas stops firing.
On #GoodFellows, @nytimes' @BretStephen_NYT joins @JohnHCochrane, @nfergus, @LTGHRMcMaster, @billwhalenCA to discuss the war’s possible expansion into southern #Lebanon and Stephens’s vision of a rebuilt #Gaza as a Mediterranean version of #Dubai.
Reassurance granted. It's like we had lots of internet startups in the second half of the 1990s. Except that AI is generating a stifling regulatory backlash about like nuclear power in the second half of the 1970s. Communication doesn't blow things up but invites censorship.
Reassurance granted. It's like we had lots of internet startups in the second half of the 1990s. Except that AI is generating a stifling regulatory backlash about like nuclear power in the second half of the 1970s. Communication doesn't blow things up but invites censorship.
“Hellmouth” fireplace in the Villa Della Torre in Fumane, Italy. Designed by Venetian architect Michele Sanmicheli, c. 1550.
Inflation and the value of money. Comments on Bolhuis, Cramer, Schulz, and Summers grumpy-economist.com/p/inflation-an…
Simple. Chicago in the 80s- 90s was wonderful. Great ideas, serious economics, great faculty and students. The supposedly harsh culture is really egalitarian. Ideas matter, not titles.
Simple. Chicago in the 80s- 90s was wonderful. Great ideas, serious economics, great faculty and students. The supposedly harsh culture is really egalitarian. Ideas matter, not titles.
Also available undated here. One of my favorite papers, that I am glad to see has one reader! johnhcochrane.com/research-all/s…
Also available undated here. One of my favorite papers, that I am glad to see has one reader! johnhcochrane.com/research-all/s…
Ivan Werning @IvanWerning
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3K Followers 1K Following Thomas L. Rhodes Journalism Fellow, @NR_Institute/@NRO | Host of Econception @aier | From WI, which does not border Canada | Tweets are mine, not my employer's@PossibltyResult @jp_koning I think @JohnHCochrane suggests streamlining all Treasuries into perpetuals, with the result that they would be functionally indistinguishable from cash.
But I was assured the FTC was an independent agency. 🤔
Non-compete agreements – which employers use to prevent workers from changing jobs – impact nearly 30 million Americans. Our Administration is banning these agreements nationwide, which will help put money in the pockets of workers across the country.
The @TheFP is consistently excellent. But you also get the sense they’re having a s—tload of fun.
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The Jones Act: Consequences of a Destructive Industrial Policy dlvr.it/T5ymfr
Finally! “Dear subscriber, The Owenomics blog at Acadian Asset Management now has a subscribe button if you wish to get email updates.” acadian-asset.com/investment-ins…
Whatever your view on noncompetes, it should disturb everyone that 3 unelected FTC officials decided that under a law enacted 100+ years ago, noncompetes are now suddenly illegal No vote of Congress, just 3 ppl declaring that a long used business contract is retroactively banned
“The Federal Trade Commission’s decision to ban employer noncompete agreements across the economy is not only unlawful but also a blatant power grab that will undermine American businesses’ ability to remain competitive." Read @SuzanneUSCC's statement on why we will sue the FTC…
Huh. The Macro Musebot (ai.macromusings.org) had some strong views about its favorite macro theory: "What is your favorite macroeconomic theory? Is it (1) New Keynesian, (2) Monetarist, (3) Fiscal Theory of the Price Level, or (4) MMT? @JohnHCochrane My favorite…
@Mario_Macis For economists looking for a paper, superbonus almost writes itself: Government pays 110% subsidy==> buyer and seller collude to maximize cost.
Glad to see that the topic of monetary/fiscal policy interaction is gaining traction. We need all minds that we can get to make progress @LeonardoMelosi @renato_faccini @JohnHCochrane @masuch_klaus
New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP18887 The Monetary #Financing of a Large Fiscal Shock @Pedro_P_Teles @bancodeportugal @CATOLICA_LISBON, Oreste Tristani @ecb ow.ly/VSCC50QOuGL #CEPR_MEF #economics
A book, a baby, a birthday…big year for my brilliant wife @NellieBowles.
Somehow just noticed that @Stanford’s main library refers to Israel as “occupied Palestine” in its current exhibit. This is the view from the entrance to the library.
New data shows that the EU Commission has blown the chance the NextGen gave it to get the EU on a growth path. Two key elements. 1. Pensions in Spain. 2. Reforms in italy. The new data is from the ageing report of the EU Commission on the budgetary impact of the pension…
There is no one like @veroderugy. She might not be @joerogan yet—but she’s going to get there if we can get her name in neon lights in the studio. In all seriousness—she’s brilliance, humor, grace, and opinionated as hell. Let’s just say—we get along.
I truly enjoyed my conversation with @CRPakaluk about her book, Hannah's Children. It's an understatement to simply say that this book moved me and opened my eyes to many important aspects of parenting. I loved, loved, loved this book. And Catherine is awesome. @aeir…
Why are young people so attracted to #socialism? Juliette Sellgren is a young person you should listen to. And @Matt_d_Mitchell has great perspective, sharing the story of #Estonia, including its glorious #SingingRevolution. adamsmithworks.org/speakings/grea…
I am looking forward to this event. hoover.org/events/getting…
Interesting piece. I would add however that Trump shares at least part of blame. The policy of sending checks to households started with him. Also, Trump increased significantly fiscal deficits in good times (even before Covid started)
Grumpy Economist: Inflation Confusion grumpy-economist.com/p/inflation-co…
Okay, this is funny.
The #libertarianMoment UFC edition: 'I love America, I love the Constitution...If you care about your fucking country, read Ludwig von Mises and the six lessons of the Austrian economic school, motherfuckers." #RenatoMoicano #UFC300 #libertarian Via reddit.com/r/libertarianm…
This ain’t no party. Not even a disco. Huge booms at 2 am or so last night here in Jerusalem as Iron Done was doing its job. Then sirens. Huddled in our stairwell with our neighbors. But all good. Grateful to be alive with my family who were staying with us for Shabbat.
‘I love private property, and let me tell you something, if you care about your fucking country, read Ludwig Von Mises and the 6 lessons of the Austrian Economic School, motherfuckers!’ - @moicanoufc 🔥 Best post-fight interview of all time?? Safe to say the Overton window has…