Matthew C. Klein @M_C_Klein
Founder of THE OVERSHOOT and UN/BALANCED | co-author of TRADE WARS ARE CLASS WARS | For speaking: https://t.co/bD8a12V37O theovershoot.co Chicagoan in exile Joined November 2012-
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At this minute - 20 years ago - Estonia 🇪🇪 joined the EU 🇪🇺. I will just remind that Estonian GDP at the time in 2004 was 12 billion USD. In the end of 2023 it was 42 billion. Average monthly salary in 2004 was 466 EUR and it was nearly 2000 EUR by the end of 2023.
A new report from me, @alexbhturnbull & @vebaccount, on why @ENERGY can and should help build and support the financial and market infrastructure for critical minerals. Short answer: it would make our clean energy supply chain more resilient. A thread 🧵1/
Fascinating thread. Did @PatrickMRucker just discover a violation in the separation of banking and commerce? Has the @federalreserve been paying attention or like SVB has its head in the sand?
Fascinating thread. Did @PatrickMRucker just discover a violation in the separation of banking and commerce? Has the @federalreserve been paying attention or like SVB has its head in the sand?
Employment cost index came in fairly strong. An interesting note is that pay for unionized workers is now only catching up to the wage growth for non-union workers.
Turkey’s trade with Russia drops after US pressure. One of the clearest signs of how the Biden administration’s Dec 2023 executive order is affecting trade incl in military linked dual use goods -> on.ft.com/4bhASNb w/ @xtophercook @maxseddon
Many possible explanations for the relentless decline in the (nominal) yen exchange rate. One I haven't heard that sort of makes sense: prior real declines came from weaker inflation, but as BOJ gets closer to achieving 2% target the nominal rate has to move to keep REER trend.
"the composition of [China's] economy has become more not less energy intensive, offsetting any underlying efficiency improvements" --@JKempEnergy reuters.com/markets/commod…
"Russia fired up to 60,000 shells a day before autumn 2022—an amount that has dropped to about 10k/day...it can only produce at most half of the 4mn 152mm-calibre shells and 1.6mn 122mm-calibre shells Putin’s military estimates it needs to break through" ft.com/content/1e7204…
The structural undersupply in the housing market isn't just about the number of units, its about the efficiency of use for units. Boomer + Silent generations have basically taken 50% of the housing market offline for those who want to raise children in a single family home.
one of the most pervasive inversions of perception and reality is the distribution of religiously-motivated hate crimes harvard faculty think anti-muslim bias happens ~50% more than than anti-semitic bias, but Justice Dept hate crime data shows antisemitic hate crimes happen…
one of the most pervasive inversions of perception and reality is the distribution of religiously-motivated hate crimes harvard faculty think anti-muslim bias happens ~50% more than than anti-semitic bias, but Justice Dept hate crime data shows antisemitic hate crimes happen… https://t.co/y8LyXbHtqN
[Spiderman pointing dot PNG]
"The big question is, can Mitchell be trusted to balance his duties as an evangelical Burgundian Chevalier with a role on a committee that must select the best wine for diplomats, and produce the best value for money for taxpayers?" --@Louis_Ashworth ft.com/content/cf6931…
"perhaps the key to understanding him as a political phenomenon is to see how in him the mere schmuck can become deified" --@lionel_trolling unpopularfront.news/p/trumps-two-b…
Imagine supporting this while also claiming that the current account deficit is too wide...
Imagine supporting this while also claiming that the current account deficit is too wide...
"How can international law offer more effective protections against moves on the property of a state than against that state’s severe breaches of the prohibition of aggression and war crimes?" --@MESandbu ft.com/content/0cca70…
Real GDP growth came in at 1.6% in Q1, softer than expected. But that appears to be driven by weakness in volatile components, especially net exports. Private domestic final purchases--"core GDP" made up of consumption & fixed investment--grew 3.1%, a very strong print.
"There is, of course, reluctance to admit that a policy which the U.S. has long criticized and challenged in the WTO actually has any virtues" liberalpatriot.com/p/time-for-the… <-- Worth reading this piece from @Brad_Setser on how to manage Boeing, which is in practice too big to fail
"Rather than booming, trade ties between Russia and China may well be catching up from an abnormally low base" ft.com/content/4bc097…
Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart
356K Followers 6K Following One half of Bloomberg's Odd Lots Podcast. One quarter of Light Sweet Crude.Michael Pettis @michaelxpettis
147K Followers 208 Following Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment. For speaking engagements, please contact me at [email protected]Joey Politano 🏳️.. @JosephPolitano
64K Followers 1K Following Writing a data-driven newsletter about economics @ https://t.co/IanQ9oPoPi | Nuance? In this economy? | he/him | Bi/panAdam Tooze @adam_tooze
216K Followers 8K Following History - Economics - Theory Columbia University. Born UK, raised FRG. Mensch mit Migrationshintergrund. Chartbook Newsletter: https://t.co/liMOT0CGJKBrad Setser @Brad_Setser
98K Followers 953 Following CFR senior fellow. Views are my own. Retweets are not endorsements. Writes on sovereign debt and capital flows.Bob Elliott @BobEUnlimited
138K Followers 688 Following CIO at @UnlimitedFnds | PM of $HFND | Fmr IC @Bridgewater | Described as one of the few "sane" voices on #fintwit | Comments are not investment adviceSkanda Amarnath @IrvingSwisher
26K Followers 5K Following Executive Director - @employamerica. RTs/likes != endorsements. https://t.co/tKsuuvVYoc @skandaamarnath on other sites. Charitable interpretation advisedTracy Alloway @tracyalloway
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4K Followers 606 Following Economist @sffed | Applied Micro | Applied Macro | Health Economics | Views expressed here are my own | personal account@ddayen @M_C_Klein This is what republicans say about the federal government and it’s hand wavey magic talk to imagine it would cover a major shortfall.
Imagine if a right-wing protest whose organizer said he had to struggle not to murder people illegally stormed and occupied a university building right before finals and well-meaning, generally intelligent liberals claimed that arresting them was a disproportionate act
@ddayen @M_C_Klein @minato71216 The median endowment is less than $50M! If you’re making 8% on your fund, how much opex do you expect to cover with $4M or less for an entire university? That can’t cover opex for a typical elementary school in the US!
@minato71216 @M_C_Klein @ddayen x.com/macsquirelera/…
becoming a "theres too many admin at american unis and thats why theyre expensive" truther. were approaching 1 admin per undergrad now
p.s. For the orthodox take, see the Economist. They have more confidence that the yen hasn't yet overshot the rate differential than I do economist.com/leaders/2024/0…
The economy of Arrakis… where are they making these special suits?
@ddayen @M_C_Klein If you want to criticize endowment management, per the point of @M_C_Klein, you should propose a better way to fund a university like Harvard. Its liabilities and funding needs are idiosyncratic. Hence its primary way of funding them is unusual, too.
If there was a real threat to undemocratically bring down "the system" the US ruling class would ruthlessly crush it and their crushing of it would have overwhelming public support and be very based because people don't like violent psychos trying to overthrow the government
If the US ruling class will do this to their own children over a few small scale protests, it’s frightening to consider what they’d do if there were ever a real challenge to their power
@mehdirhasan Sure but the other side is the one that incited the conflict with a mass murder of innocents and is now holding American hostages and refusing attempts at a negotiated ceasefire. So don’t think activists ignoring that makes much sense.
I love how they say this is "paradoxical" when it's exactly what you would expect from a group of people who are worried about police brutality but also aren't morons and realize that even a bad police department is better than letting gangs run wild
Most Black Americans say that even if crime is declining and new police reforms are not enacted, they would still prefer to maintain (or increase) police patrols and spending. sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
The folks from that nation in South America will really resent you now for spelling it Columbia
@arindube Perhaps what we’re seeing are the consequences of their past actions?
.@gcaw: "Without consideration of the October 7 attacks, something is missing from the ICJ proceedings...The case is going forward almost as if the Gaza war were not preceded by, and in retaliation for, an attack that itself resembled genocide." theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Average Twitter accelerationist
I'm just gonna say it. I think it's important enough that we send a message that we will not support genocide even if it does result in the worst possible election outcome. it's worth burning it all down. it's worth what will happen to my own rights
Trying to imagine what "progressive" commentators would be saying if pro-life protesters performed the same acts of obstruction that we're seeing at Columbia.
If you think this video is what "brutality" looks like, you live a very sheltered life. These obstructors (not protesters) are being treated with great restraint.
SWAT AND SRG HAVE INVADED COLUMBIA’S CAMPUS AND ARE ENTERING HIND’S HALL. THEY HAVE FORCED OUT ALL PRESS TO PREVENT RECORDINGS OF THEIR BRUTALITY.
Are journalists okay
Axios: "For President Biden, the barricades and broken glass on college campuses are a brutal reminder that America has not snapped back to the normalcy he promised in his 2020 campaign." axios.com/2024/04/30/isr…
This is the CPI level for Japan. Three guesses when Japan hiked its consumption tax during this period. fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1lAv8
I don't know of a single economist that would deny raising a consumption tax, whether a state sales tax or a national tariff, would cause prices to increase. If Oren can find such an economist, please identify them
Anyone else who repeatedly questioned a judge’s authority like that would be sitting in jail right now. The only reason Trump isn’t is because the judge doesn’t want to make a martyr out of him.
Biden supporter democrat “judge” in NY imposes fines on Trump for pointing out the fact that all the people trying to put him in jail are also democrats who support Biden