Those were always stupid. We barely tapped 5 in 2023 for a hot second but we were suddenly going to moon to 6 with an economic shock and a slowing economy.
Stupid is as stupid does.
Those were always stupid. We barely tapped 5 in 2023 for a hot second but we were suddenly going to moon to 6 with an economic shock and a slowing economy.
Stupid is as stupid does.
If you can bankrupt a casino (which is basically a glorified legalized money laundering operation) you’ve got a good shot at causing a recession.
Stable Genius. 😂
If you can bankrupt a casino (which is basically a glorified legalized money laundering operation) you’ve got a good shot at causing a recession.
Stable Genius. 😂
One of the most ridiculous and yet most important statements from a trading perspective is that markets will look through weak fundamentals because dealers are long gamma, systemic strategies are re-leveraging, etc. Mechanical flows are turning markets into fundamentals-agnostic…
Humbly submitting for you consideration:
Buying the bottom/shorting the top isn’t about getting the turning point in the economy right.
The economy trends. Markets don’t always follows those trends.
When markets deviate dramatically from those trends— those are the turns
This isn’t going to move the needle bc the majority of mortgages are fixed below this.
Way below.
Get after it and figure wut moves it.
pinebrookcap.com/p/market-comme…
This isn’t going to move the needle bc the majority of mortgages are fixed below this.
Way below.
Get after it and figure wut moves it.
pinebrookcap.com/p/market-comme…
As you all know Pinebrook went long home builders back in July 22.
Best one is DHI at 23%; NVR is the laggard at 9.78%.
Average of the sectoral basket is 16.40%.
Did a few other thingys. This note here covers the why of the sectoral trade.
Hint: It’s not the 30yr…
You get bigger revisions around economic shocks.
The administration intentionally chose to inflict a shock through their policy choices
Shameless https://t.co/iT6D5rCueT
If you are trading today and getting whipsawed ur doing it wrong. ❌
If you were positioned appropriately and are making money today you are doing it right. ✅
I don’t trade on days like this. And I’m happy.
If you are trading today and getting whipsawed ur doing it wrong. ❌
If you were positioned appropriately and are making money today you are doing it right. ✅
I don’t trade on days like this. And I’m happy.
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