Elbridge Colby @ElbridgeColby
Principal, Marathon Initiative. Former Pentagon, 2018 National Defense Strategy, inter alia. Author of Strategy of Denial. Views my own. themarathoninitiative.org/elbridge-colby/ Washington, DC Joined December 2011-
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The decision was politically out of sync with Republican and many other voters. But it was not only that. It was also deeply out of sync with strategic reality. We have now dug ourselves deeper into the hole vis a vis China.
The decision was politically out of sync with Republican and many other voters. But it was not only that. It was also deeply out of sync with strategic reality. We have now dug ourselves deeper into the hole vis a vis China.
@RepMikeGarcia Ditto @RepBrianMast 🎯 “There is no person in the United States House of Representatives that can tell you what objective we are meeting by injecting this money into Ukraine,” said Rep. Brian Mast (R-FL), a member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee.” 3/
“be it total victory against Russia or simply buying enough time to push it to the negotiating table. Lack of clarity…” 2 As @RepMikeGarcia rightly argued, we should have some semblance of a credible strategy. But there isn’t one, apparently. 2/
Ah. Seems like this might have been useful to have figured out before sending $61 billion more, no? “But it’s unclear what impact it’ll have on the battlefield or what success in Ukraine even looks like in the eyes of the Biden administration,” 1/ washingtonexaminer.com/news/world/298…
Clearly. Now this liberal-primacist alliance unquestionably owns the policy toward Ukraine and its consequences. They absolutely won on the supplemental, rejecting all the varying forms of skepticism, on top of previous bills. So now they’re responsible for the policy’s results.
Clearly. Now this liberal-primacist alliance unquestionably owns the policy toward Ukraine and its consequences. They absolutely won on the supplemental, rejecting all the varying forms of skepticism, on top of previous bills. So now they’re responsible for the policy’s results.
This is 💯 right from @JDVance1. @ElbridgeColby is right too & has been the main defense thinker making the case for years that we must focus on #China. I made this case a decade ago in the @thehill too. google.com/amp/s/thehill.… #Europe must step up on #Russia because we must…
This is 💯 right from @JDVance1. @ElbridgeColby is right too & has been the main defense thinker making the case for years that we must focus on #China. I made this case a decade ago in the @thehill too. google.com/amp/s/thehill.… #Europe must step up on #Russia because we must…
@ElbridgeColby Deeply impressed by your factual, detailed, realistic analysis-Many complex,interacting pieces that are constantly in flux. We can’t ignore China any longer. We truly don’t want to be forced to craft, and execute a strategy under duress🇺🇸
@LordGem3 @ElbridgeColby Which would suggest that the outcome in Ukraine is not particularly important in relation to Xi’s calculus on Taiwan. Contrary to the triple bankshot logic thesis.
.@ElbridgeColby Critical thinking isn’t exactly a hallmark of this Admin. However, shoulda’ / coulda’ is indeed their default mantra. Without exception. Your point is cogent and inarguable.
.@ElbridgeColby Critical thinking isn’t exactly a hallmark of this Admin. However, shoulda’ / coulda’ is indeed their default mantra. Without exception. Your point is cogent and inarguable.
Regrettably this is even more true for the European Union 👇 More than two years after the outbreak of the war, Europeans have no proper strategy about the aims and the ways how to achieve these aims with respect to Ukraine.
Contrast the US’s very first Secretary of State, Thomas Jefferson, vs. @SecBlinken: “Never did Jefferson compromise the final abandonment of of American rights on the high seas… “[He] represented in his own statements and acts the grand theme of diplomacy: the application of…
@HoyasFan07 @ElbridgeColby Because China wants to keep Russia in the fight, they don't necessarily want Russia to win.
@ElbridgeColby @ToryAnarchist @yhazony A wonderful piece, most definitely food for thought🇺🇸🇮🇱
Wow!!!! You don't always have the luxury of determining if you are in an arms race. Some of the time the enemy decides for you.
Wow!!!! You don't always have the luxury of determining if you are in an arms race. Some of the time the enemy decides for you.
Always thought it was way way higher than reported. To many analysts ( and I am a dummy) have taken them at their word.
Always thought it was way way higher than reported. To many analysts ( and I am a dummy) have taken them at their word.
@ElbridgeColby @DAlperovitch Denying your enemy the fruits of victory is basic strategy of denial:
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498 Followers 4K FollowingThis is 💯 right from @JDVance1. @ElbridgeColby is right too & has been the main defense thinker making the case for years that we must focus on #China. I made this case a decade ago in the @thehill too. google.com/amp/s/thehill.… #Europe must step up on #Russia because we must…
What’s provably wrong is denying this from @JDVance1, which is just factually true and central: “It’s that America is stretched too thin. We do not have the industrial capacity to support a war in Ukraine, in Israel, if the Chinese invade Taiwan. We have to pick and choose.”
👀
“What does seem clear, however, is that China is deliberately stockpiling at speed, part of a much wider national effort to accumulate essential raw materials and resource.” 1/ bangkokpost.com/opinion/opinio….
@ElbridgeColby Deeply impressed by your factual, detailed, realistic analysis-Many complex,interacting pieces that are constantly in flux. We can’t ignore China any longer. We truly don’t want to be forced to craft, and execute a strategy under duress🇺🇸
Also something people MUST keep in mind when looking at these figures is dispersion and global commitments. @ElbridgeColby gets this, of course (better than I do!), but I'm just using his post as a way to bring attention to @MEaglen's research. The US is fundamentally and…
@LordGem3 @ElbridgeColby Which would suggest that the outcome in Ukraine is not particularly important in relation to Xi’s calculus on Taiwan. Contrary to the triple bankshot logic thesis.
.@ElbridgeColby Critical thinking isn’t exactly a hallmark of this Admin. However, shoulda’ / coulda’ is indeed their default mantra. Without exception. Your point is cogent and inarguable.
Ah. Seems like this might have been useful to have figured out before sending $61 billion more, no? “But it’s unclear what impact it’ll have on the battlefield or what success in Ukraine even looks like in the eyes of the Biden administration,” 1/ washingtonexaminer.com/news/world/298…
Regrettably this is even more true for the European Union 👇 More than two years after the outbreak of the war, Europeans have no proper strategy about the aims and the ways how to achieve these aims with respect to Ukraine.
“be it total victory against Russia or simply buying enough time to push it to the negotiating table. Lack of clarity…” 2 As @RepMikeGarcia rightly argued, we should have some semblance of a credible strategy. But there isn’t one, apparently. 2/
Bridge, as energy analysts on Wall St. we’ve been tracking this for months now. China is stockpiling all critical energy sources from crude oil to metals. Very ominous and much beyond any historical precedent. Most worryingly, they are willing to do it at steep financial losses.
“What does seem clear, however, is that China is deliberately stockpiling at speed, part of a much wider national effort to accumulate essential raw materials and resource.” 1/ bangkokpost.com/opinion/opinio….
@HoyasFan07 @ElbridgeColby Because China wants to keep Russia in the fight, they don't necessarily want Russia to win.
If the outcome of the war in 🇺🇦 will determine the fate of Taiwan then why isn’t 🇨🇳 sending huge amounts of aid to 🇷🇺 incl lots of advanced weaponry? And lots of economic aid? @ElbridgeColby
Excellent Piece
Excellent piece from @ToryAnarchist, pointing to the key work of @yhazony on the importance of appropriately bounded and tempered nationalism for freedom and resistance to empire. thespectator.com/topic/israel-m…
@ElbridgeColby @ToryAnarchist @yhazony A wonderful piece, most definitely food for thought🇺🇸🇮🇱
Wow!!!! You don't always have the luxury of determining if you are in an arms race. Some of the time the enemy decides for you.
Always thought it was way way higher than reported. To many analysts ( and I am a dummy) have taken them at their word.
@ElbridgeColby @DAlperovitch Denying your enemy the fruits of victory is basic strategy of denial:
@ElbridgeColby You are an inspiration Bridge A kindred soul Honest, kind, decent Values that are sadly being lost in these days Brickbats from NAFO keyboard warriors don't bother me I am privileged to be referred to as your ardent fan, cos it's true. NAFO said something correctly 🤣
Good Read
@IllyChakrabarty @jakubadamw @FluteMagician @FrodeHommedal @ElbridgeColby A large % of the invective and verbal abuse comes from NAFO accounts. Not all of it. But a disproportionate share. This has been pretty obvious for months.
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