Emma Ashford (@emmamashford.bsky.social) @EmmaMAshford
Senior Fellow @Stimsoncenter. Columnist @ForeignPolicy. Adjunct @GeorgetownCSS. Working on a book on US grand strategy for a multipolar world. All views mine. emmamashford.substack.com Washington, DC Joined September 2014-
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Scenes out of The University of Texas–Austin last night were shocking. Let’s be clear: Using government force to suppress peaceful protest is un-American, especially in places where it should be sacrosanct— a public university like UT Austin. 🎙️: @1AMorey
"Our Europe is mortal. It can die. It all depends on the choices we make, and those choices need to be made now," said Macron before (I assume) taking a deep drag from his Gauloise cigarette. bbc.com/news/world-eur…
'American officials, notably Brett McGurk, Biden’s coordinator for the Middle East and North Africa, continue to hold a quixotic belief in the imminence of a Saudi-Israeli deal that calls into question their reading of regional dynamics.'
'American officials, notably Brett McGurk, Biden’s coordinator for the Middle East and North Africa, continue to hold a quixotic belief in the imminence of a Saudi-Israeli deal that calls into question their reading of regional dynamics.'
Yet again, @mcsweeneys nails it. mcsweeneys.net/articles/a-mes…
If true (?) this is a very bad idea. Either the US embraces being an energy exporter, or not. Over-engineering where exports end up is misguided. And it undercuts a unique strength of US energy exports: flexibility. foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/23/uni…
FEATURE: If you've wondered how TSMC's venture into Arizona is going, our reporting over the past four months will answer all your questions and more (and probably make you laugh, too) Incredible story by @violazhouyi! restofworld.org/2024/tsmc-ariz… @restofworld @mvzelenks #longread
This line re: the aid package = journalism's major malfunction: "It capped an extraordinary political saga that raised questions about whether the United States would continue to play a leading role in upholding the international order and projecting its values globally." (1/5)
Ah, yes. The George F. Kennan Roundtable series welcomes Victoria Nuland to talk about why the U.S. needs to fight wars on three different fronts. 🥴 On the upside, Kennan is spinning in his grave so fast we've probably solved our renewable energy problem.
I feel the need to remind progressives in particular that these are the same smear tactics used against opponents of Iraq, or of continuing the war on terror. By all means, let's debate the merits of Ukraine aid! But this rhetoric just makes us all worse off in the long-run.
america continuing to send ukraine 60 billion in support year after year: unrealistic no matter who wins the presidency what you really want to do at this point: position ukraine as well as possible for eventual negotiations @gzeromedia
🚢🚉🇷🇺 - Western decoupling from Russia is reshaping global trade/transport routes • Moscow is developing rail transport corridor to India (via Iran) and Arctic Sea shipping route • Routes could cut 30%-50% off transit times vs. Suez Canal and avoid security problems in Red Sea
Another must-read by my @StimsonCenter colleague @EmmaMAshford theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
The supplemental has passed! A good time to read my friends Dan Caldwell’s thoughtful piece: “What happens if the US runs out of bombs?” on the physical constraints of the DIB. reason.com/2024/04/01/wha…
<grabs conference mic> Excuse me, well, it's more of a comment than a question, but I can't help noticing you left out Extremely Offensive Realism, a term I coined in my poorly-cited article in the 1997 edition of the Journal of Inter-Realist Arguments...
<grabs conference mic> Excuse me, well, it's more of a comment than a question, but I can't help noticing you left out Extremely Offensive Realism, a term I coined in my poorly-cited article in the 1997 edition of the Journal of Inter-Realist Arguments...
The NATO 2% spending threshold was never a good measure of actual commitment to common defense, but it's about to get a whole lot fuzzier as European states use budgetary tricks to get themselves over the 2% threshold before a potential Trump presidency.
The NATO 2% spending threshold was never a good measure of actual commitment to common defense, but it's about to get a whole lot fuzzier as European states use budgetary tricks to get themselves over the 2% threshold before a potential Trump presidency.
.@AgatheDemarais: “trade turnovers with 🇨🇳 of 🇷🇺, 🇧🇷 & 🇦🇺 are all broadly equivalent… not enough to lead to the conclusion that such ties between 🇷🇺 & 🇨🇳 are nothing special, but it does at least suggest that rhetoric about a special relationship.. rests on shaky foundations.”
.@AgatheDemarais: “trade turnovers with 🇨🇳 of 🇷🇺, 🇧🇷 & 🇦🇺 are all broadly equivalent… not enough to lead to the conclusion that such ties between 🇷🇺 & 🇨🇳 are nothing special, but it does at least suggest that rhetoric about a special relationship.. rests on shaky foundations.”
I wrote a piece on the ways that failed Ukraine peace talks disprove some common narratives about the war, even if the big sensational stories aren't accurate. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
Paul Poast @ProfPaulPoast
95K Followers 473 Following Was `Tweeting to teach', now `Posting for pedagogy'. International Relations and Foreign Policy. @UChicago Prof. @ChicagoCouncil Fellow. @WPReview Columnist.Patrick Porter @PatPorter76
22K Followers 2K Following Prof, Int Security, @unibirmingham. Snr Assoc Fellow @RUSI_org. Adjct Scholar @CatoFP. Snr Research Fellow @RANDEurope. Realist. Strategy, history, IR. 🇦🇺🇬🇧Sergey Radchenko @DrRadchenko
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36 Followers 592 Following Programs Director @defpriorities | Interests: international relations, space, science fiction, remote work, and how to live the best life.Bret Devereaux @BretDevereaux
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40K Followers 3K Following Co-founder @projectbrazen. THE PROFESSOR. 11/27 https://t.co/JM6YPSfXfTThe four most foreboding words in English: “unexpected partner Lindsay Graham”
NEW: A deeply reported look at the Biden admin’s high-stakes negotiations that would normalize diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia & Israel & new reporting on the unexpected partner they've found in Lindsey Graham w/ @kylieatwood @Phil_Mattingly cnn.com/2024/04/24/pol…
This gets me. Anti-Semitism is terrible but it isnt illegal to hold anti-semitic views in America nor should it be. What is illegal is breaking the law - vandalism, threatening lives, destroying property, etc. Breaking the LAW should not be tolerated. Thought & speech must be.
Arrests being made right now & will continue until the crowd disperses. These protesters belong in jail. Antisemitism will not be tolerated in Texas. Period. Students joining in hate-filled, antisemitic protests at any public college or university in Texas should be expelled.
As a few folks have asked why I’ve been so quiet lately (especially given the news!), I thought I’d just write and confirm that it is for the best of possible reasons. See everyone when I’m back in the working world mid-May…
I know we all gloss over it but it is genuinely darkly hilarious that someone named a missile "attack-'ems."
Interesting exchange between @RaviReports & @MatthewKroenig @ForeignPolicy. I'll have to read the book ('We Win You Lose'), but I struggle to see how Trump's foreign policy had any throughlines aside from chaos. foreignpolicy.com/live/trump-for…
@EmmaMAshford My like endorses your quip, not Nuland's thesis. As you were..
This is a great example of bad faith reporting. There’s been a guy hanging outside Columbia *for years* with a sign that says the Jews did 9/11. Was that also representative of anti-Semitism at Columbia? Welcome to New York City, for chrissake.
One sign here at the Columbia protest. This man is ranting about Jews controlling the universe. He has a black face mask on.
oh, and this is the NYT story from which that graf in the first post was excerpted. nytimes.com/2024/04/23/us/…
Oh yeah, let's not forget this package is "projecting its values globally." But not always in the way we might think... Numbers from @natpriorities & photo via @nytimes. (5/5)
What did it rescue... or "uphold"? Is it a righteous defensive by Ukraine or a (less righteous) offensive by Israel? Is it wars of territorial dispute? Nope, it's an entire international order! What do you mean, 'what does that phrase mean?'? Go back to the kids' table. (4/5)
The suspense! an "extraordinary political saga"! Or was it just the very ordinary sausage-making and deal-cutting bw competing interests? As two of my old profs wrote, horse-race policy coverage depresses learning and activates cynicism. (2/5) electionstudies.org/wp-content/upl…
The teleological determinism! The package "capped" the saga -- an inexorable conclusion to the dramatic narrative. The beleaguered-but-ultimately -heroic white knight (🇺🇸) to the rescue! Phew.😮💨(3/5)
This line re: the aid package = journalism's major malfunction: "It capped an extraordinary political saga that raised questions about whether the United States would continue to play a leading role in upholding the international order and projecting its values globally." (1/5)
It's hard not to feel that if the youthful protesters directed their efforts at their congressional delegations rather than university presidents, they might make more of a difference in the urgent task of ending Israel's killing in Gaza. But, of course, it's their choice.
We are delighted to welcome @RenanahJoyce to the faculty starting in the fall! 🎉 An SSP alumna herself, Joyce returns to teach classes in international security, US national security policy, and more. Full article: css.georgetown.edu/2024/04/23/sec…
It really is just one smear after another. No defense, no substantive engagement. Just smears and “this debate is beneath me,” and “how dare this person have a platform.” Neocons haven’t been challenged in 50 years and it shows.
Pastor Loran Livingston tore the church up with this one.
The Overton Window will not shift itself but here drifts … reminder during Syria there were actually intelligent people who thought Assad was the real enemy not Daesh and the answer was arming “moderate Al Qaeda”
It took less than 24 hours for the folks arguing that aid to Ukraine is a good deal because we don't have to fight Russia to pivot to arguing that the US should send advisors, and that European states should send combat troops to Ukraine to fight. foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/europe…