Stephen Wertheim @stephenwertheim
America in the world, past, present, and future. Senior Fellow, @CarnegieEndow. Visiting Lecturer, @PrincetonSPIA. Historian and author of @TomoTheWorld. columbia.edu/~saw2156 Washington, DC Joined June 2009-
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SCOOP: I reviewed an internal State Dept memo, parts of which was classified, that included the most extensive and serious to date warnings to Secretary Blinken over Israel’s possible non-compliance with international humanitarian law. Here’s what I learned 1/X
Applies across the board: the Biden administration stakes out ambitious, primacist objectives in Asia, Europe, and the Middle East simultaneously and then desperately tries to avoid escalation while hoping for cooperation from the same countries it treats as adversaries.
Applies across the board: the Biden administration stakes out ambitious, primacist objectives in Asia, Europe, and the Middle East simultaneously and then desperately tries to avoid escalation while hoping for cooperation from the same countries it treats as adversaries.
Exactly this. But the Biden administrations continuous fluctuations over the intensity of competition with China also reflects the strain of pursuing primacy. America simply can't predominate in three unruly regions at the same time.
Exactly this. But the Biden administrations continuous fluctuations over the intensity of competition with China also reflects the strain of pursuing primacy. America simply can't predominate in three unruly regions at the same time.
“I cannot say what the answer is, but I am sure that it will come through education and argument and not through prohibitions, political interference and police actions.” Mark Mazower in @FT: on.ft.com/3QltF6F
2/ Team Biden hopes that those angry with him over Gaza will come back to him, if only to keep Trump away. Many will, but many absolutely will not, unless he profoundly changes course – and even that may not be enough.
Join us for our tenth episode of #engagingtheeaglepod as we meet with @stephenwertheim to discuss the need for the U.S. to choose between prioritisation and primacy
“What are Ukraine’s war aims and strategy to achieve them? As serious doubts about the viability of Kyiv’s current strategy are being raised, Ukraine and—just as important—its allies on both sides of the Atlantic must address this dilemma.” carnegieendowment.org/2024/04/25/u.s…
PSA: If you are on a plane or train or other confined public place and your device is emitting sound into the air around you, you need to take a look in the mirror and then bash yourself over the head with it.
A great pleasure to take part in the annual trilateral dialogue in Singapore. My sincere appreciation to our hosts at @RSIS_NTU for bringing American and Chinese experts together to have difficult but productive conversations, and to speak truth to both of us!
A great pleasure to take part in the annual trilateral dialogue in Singapore. My sincere appreciation to our hosts at @RSIS_NTU for bringing American and Chinese experts together to have difficult but productive conversations, and to speak truth to both of us!
Following the turmoil on U.S. college campuses over the past week from Singapore, I find America's unconditional support for Israel's war all the more lamentable. It is tearing at the fabric of American society for no good purpose — and alienating countries in Southeast Asia.
Cancel the alarm bells: more European defense procurement is good for the United Stares. If you want more capable and responsible allies, you want Europe to grow its defense industrial base.
Cancel the alarm bells: more European defense procurement is good for the United Stares. If you want more capable and responsible allies, you want Europe to grow its defense industrial base.
Excited to join Fiona Hill and @CChivvis on May 1 for a timely conversation about what an effective long-term US strategy toward Russia should look like.
Excited to join Fiona Hill and @CChivvis on May 1 for a timely conversation about what an effective long-term US strategy toward Russia should look like.
📘🇺🇸🌪️Sovraestensione e malcontento popolare obbligano gli Usa a ridurre la proiezione. Come ritirarsi da Europa e Medio Oriente. La Cina è l’unica minaccia, ma la parola d’ordine è ‘convivenza’. @stephenwertheim nel numero in edicola, "Mal d'America". limesonline.com/rivista/la-fin…
Some cheer aid for Ukraine and deplore aid to Israel. Others, the reverse. Structurally, though, the outcome is this: $95 billion to prop up an unsustainable U.S. global primacy, in this case to fund wars for which we and our partners conspicuously lack a sound strategy.
The sheer volume of bullets and bombs this country can ship overseas is a grim measure of leadership. You can reflect on this capacity without rejoicing in it.
The sheer volume of bullets and bombs this country can ship overseas is a grim measure of leadership. You can reflect on this capacity without rejoicing in it.
Time to America-proof, not just Trump-proof, European defense.
Time to America-proof, not just Trump-proof, European defense.
“The U.S. begged [Israel] not to do it,” said one of the U.S. officials. “At this point, it’s truly embarrassing how much Israel does not listen to us, but yet this doesn’t keep President Biden from blind fealty.” politico.com/news/2024/04/1…
No matter what U.S. officials might prefer Israel to do, Congress risks effectively giving “a green light for an invasion of Rafah,” as @RepBeccaB puts it, if it now approves more military aid as Israeli leaders vow to move into Rafah.
No matter what U.S. officials might prefer Israel to do, Congress risks effectively giving “a green light for an invasion of Rafah,” as @RepBeccaB puts it, if it now approves more military aid as Israeli leaders vow to move into Rafah.
Anton Jäger @AntonJaegermm
43K Followers 3K Following Historian of political thought | Lecturer @UnivOxford | Works on populism etc. Usual disclaimers.Emma Ashford (@emmama.. @EmmaMAshford
37K Followers 1K Following Senior Fellow @Stimsoncenter. Columnist @ForeignPolicy. Adjunct @GeorgetownCSS. Working on a book on US grand strategy for a multipolar world. All views mine.Paul Poast @ProfPaulPoast
95K Followers 472 Following Was `Tweeting to teach', now `Posting for pedagogy'. International Relations and Foreign Policy. @UChicago Prof. @ChicagoCouncil Fellow. @WPReview Columnist.Patrick Porter @PatPorter76
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271 Followers 2K Following Fictional character. Daughter of Dennis Wheeler and Radhika Patel from a one-night stand when he lived in Houston. Girlfriend of Sean McKinnon. Ex-FBI agent.Steve Rolf @steve_rolf
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46K Followers 1K Following CRACK-UP CAPITALISM on Metropolitan, Penguin, Suhrkamp, Einaudi, Paidos: https://t.co/xuFq8qQSfz.Samuel Moyn 🔭 @samuelmoyn
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28K Followers 384 Following Online magazine of the @Quincyinst promoting diplomacy and military restraint. Send tips, pitches, and ideas to PitchRS@ https://t.co/1PdHsgIP99Matt Duss @mattduss
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29K Followers 5K Following Shangri-La Dialogue senior fellow for Southeast Asian politics and foreign policy at the Singapore office of the IISS, a think tank headquartered in London.Rasmus Søndergaard @RSSondergaard
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326 Followers 7 Following The AWC is a bipartisan legislative commission established by Congress to review key decisions related to U.S involvement in Afghanistan from 2001 to 2021.Bates Gill @batesgill1
7K Followers 135 Following Career-long China-watcher + global nomad; Senior Fellow, National Bureau of Asian Research; Indo-Pac politics + security, with focus on ChinaLyle Morris @LyleJMorris
15K Followers 2K Following Senior Fellow for Foreign Policy and National Security at @AsiaPolicy’s Center for China Analysis. Previous @DOD_Policy; @RANDCorporation; @NBRNews; @CSIS.Time is a flat circle
In 1989, after the PRC leaders sent military to clear Tiananmen Square, the president of Beijing University welcomed students back to campus and KEPT THE MILITARY OUT of the BeiDa gates--protecting his students at great personal political risk. 🧵
Want more context on @Columbia events? Check out Chartbook Newsletter 279 for political economy adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-27… And thank you @FT for running this thoughtful piece by Mark Mazower and do stay for the video of Chris Brown's oratory! ft.com/content/f0e3e8…
Strong condemnations by professors this afternoon @Columbia. Here’s a speech by Christopher Brown, a professor of history, who says the university and president Minouche Shafik made a mistake calling in NYPD to arrest pro-Palestinian protestors last week 🧵
All of the above and more details in my @Reuters story here reuters.com/world/middle-e…
Mark Mazower’s diary of a tumultuous week at Columbia on.ft.com/4aUoGlI
I disagree.
@PatPorter76 @stephenwertheim Boom. Exactly. We don’t have the force structure and resources for involvement in three regions.
@ElbridgeColby The problem with the Biden Admin is that it talks like it is willing to do full scale, whole of society competition with China, but then it wimps out & begs China for help with Russia & in the Middle East. That is an unserious.strategic posture. It shows an administration…
It took a while, but the hysteria over campus protests finally led to journalists talking to the protesters (rather than caricaturing them)
Here’s an interview with a Columbia protester named Ava where she talks about why she’s there, anti-Semitism, and the historical echoes of this movement.
A good question some of us have been asking for months now. Why Does the U.S. Arm Ukraine With Fanfare and Israel in Secret? nytimes.com/interactive/20…
1. Williams-Sonoma claimed its products were made in America even though they were made in China. A repeat violator, Williams-Sonoma will be required to pay a record penalty. ftc.gov/news-events/ne…
USAID “assesses the government of Israel does not currently demonstrate necessary compliance” with the US legal requirement that it facilitate and not impede “the transport of delivery of United States humanitarian assistance” devex.com/news/exclusive…
Can't believe it's been a year! Proud to be part of the team @CarnegieEndow in Berlin, and grateful to our supporters, audience, peers, and friends in the media. Tough times for regional and global security ahead of us, and clear-eyed analysis is essential to the cause of peace.
Memorable pics of last week's launch of the new Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin. Thanks again to Ambassador Michaelis of the German Foreign Office @AuswaertigesAmt, @BoschStiftung, @annakatrein, and Fiona Hill for all your support and friendship! @CarnegieRu
Oddly, there has been little debate in Japan on whether assisting Ukraine advances Japan's strategic interests, writes @Chellaney (1/3) @ElbridgeColby @jekavanagh @ka_grieco asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Japan-… via @NikkeiAsia
@stephenwertheim I’m passionate about this too. This could be the basis of aninsurgent campaign for President —I think there’s a lane
5/ Which is doubling my anger with Joe Biden over a disastrous moral failure on Gaza leading to a disastrous second Trump presidency.
It is also providing a cover for autocratic behavior elsewhere. How can the US censure illiberal regimes if its campuses look like this?
Following the turmoil on U.S. college campuses over the past week from Singapore, I find America's unconditional support for Israel's war all the more lamentable. It is tearing at the fabric of American society for no good purpose — and alienating countries in Southeast Asia.
Memorable pics of last week's launch of the new Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin. Thanks again to Ambassador Michaelis of the German Foreign Office @AuswaertigesAmt, @BoschStiftung, @annakatrein, and Fiona Hill for all your support and friendship! @CarnegieRu