Cardascapital @InvCardas
Finance and Economy Content Creator Economy Analyst at Alpha Community Swing Academy Team Non Financial Advisor 🚫 linktr.ee/CardasCapital Portugal Joined January 2024-
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📊 Mercado de trabalho EUA – Agosto 2025 ➡️ Job Openings (JOLTS): 7,23M (em alta face a julho e acima das previsões) - Mas atenção: pela primeira vez desde abril de 2021, há mais desempregados do que vagas disponíveis. - O rácio JOLTS/Unemployment ficou negativo → sinal de…
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump says US will 'probably' have a government shutdown.
🏭Durable Goods Orders – EUA (Agosto 2025) - Novas encomendas de bens duradouros subiram +2,9% após duas quedas seguidas → $312,1B. - Transporte liderou o ganho (+7,9%), puxado por encomendas de aeronaves (+21,6%). - Encomendas não-defesa de bens de capital, indicador-chave de…
🏠Existing Home Sales – EUA (Agosto 2025) - Vendas de casas existentes caíram -0,2% no mês, para uma taxa anualizada de 4,00M → ainda abaixo da média do ano. - Inventário caiu -1,3% para 1,53M casas, equivalente a 4,6 meses de oferta. - O preço mediano subiu 2% YoY, para uma…
🏠 Vendas de Casas Novas – EUA (Agosto 2025) - 800K casas vendidas (SAAR) → +20,5% vs jul | +15,4% vs ago/24 - Casas à venda: 490K (↓1,4% MoM) → 7,4 meses de oferta (vs 9,0 em jul) - Preço mediano: $413.500 (↑4,7% MoM | ↑1,9% YoY) 🔎 Forte recuperação em agosto, com o…
O abismo entre Wall Street e a economia real dos EUA 📊 ⬅️ À esquerda: Desde 2010, o S&P 500 disparou muito acima do PIB nominal, lucros corporativos e outros indicadores económicos. ➡️ À direita: Fora das 10 maiores empresas, as estimativas de lucro do S&P 500 estão…
📊 Dot Plot – Fed (Set 2025) ➡️ 2025: cortes moderados → 4,0%–4,25% ➡️ 2026: mediana em 3,25%–3,5% ➡️ 2027: perto de 3,0% ➡️ 2028: 2,75%–3,0% ⚠️ Destaque: FED parece admitir que a taxa neutra já não é 2%, mas sim ~2,5%. Ou seja → juros mais altos vieram para ficar.
📉 FOMC – Setembro 2025 - Atividade económica moderou na 1ª metade do ano. - Mercado laboral arrefece: menos contratações, desemprego ligeiramente ↑. - Inflação voltou a subir e mantém-se elevada. - Riscos para o emprego aumentaram, incerteza segue elevada. Decisão: Fed corta…
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