Stop First 🛑 @ItsStopFirst
Trader in Helsinki 🇫🇮 | US stocks & indices | Daily charts | Wave counts + momentum setups | The level that kills the idea is in the chart | Not advice Helsinki, Finland Joined October 2018-
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@peachteadrink37 Close: $38 to $140 is 1 of (3) on my chart, so the third wave is the bigger one still ahead. The box is the same either way.
$INTC closed $89.85 Friday, 37% off the June high and 3% above the 200-day at $87, the first stop I had for this leg. On my chart the whole drop from $140 is 2, a w-x-y, and this is the y. The $70-$81 box where the August low sits is where I expect it to end, and earnings on the 29th give it a deadline. Wave 3 starts from there, not from here. Below $40.64 the count is off.
@StockSavvyShay Up 10% to the top of the box, back down inside it. $65 is the lid of my $58-$65 box, so today tested the lid, not the floor. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
$CRWV is back at $64, the third visit to the $58-$65 box in a year, and it’s the one I’ve been waiting for. On my chart the whole slide from last June’s $187 top is (2), a W-X-Y. W bottomed in this box last November, the first leg of Y bottomed here in July, and this drop is the
@KobeissiLetter Eight red sessions and today $SMH is +3% with $NVDA back out of my $217-$210 box. Streaks end at boxes, not on headlines. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
Four charts for the week. Boxes are where I expect the dips to end, each with the price that proves me wrong. $QQQ: 2 of (iii) inside the $700-$712 box, Friday closed $709.80. A week or two of chop here, then 3 toward $800. Wrong below $660. $TSLA: (i) topped at $388, (ii) is
@zerohedge The target got cut, the shelf didn't move: $CRWV is still inside the $58-$65 box, third visit in a year. Below $33 I'm wrong. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
$CRWV is back at $64, the third visit to the $58-$65 box in a year, and it’s the one I’ve been waiting for. On my chart the whole slide from last June’s $187 top is (2), a W-X-Y. W bottomed in this box last November, the first leg of Y bottomed here in July, and this drop is the
@kiantrades Below the 8/21 and the 50 at $726, yes, but back out the top of my $700-$712 box. A 3 starts from the box, the averages catch up later. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
Four charts for the week. Boxes are where I expect the dips to end, each with the price that proves me wrong. $QQQ: 2 of (iii) inside the $700-$712 box, Friday closed $709.80. A week or two of chop here, then 3 toward $800. Wrong below $660. $TSLA: (i) topped at $388, (ii) is
@sspencer_smb Friday's low sat inside my box, $700-$712, and today it's trading back out the top of it. A close above $712 and the 2 is done for me. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
Four charts for the week. Boxes are where I expect the dips to end, each with the price that proves me wrong. $QQQ: 2 of (iii) inside the $700-$712 box, Friday closed $709.80. A week or two of chop here, then 3 toward $800. Wrong below $660. $TSLA: (i) topped at $388, (ii) is
@LizAnnSonders QTD: High Beta Momentum Long -17.7%, Consumer Staples +8.7%, $SPX +0.1%. A flat index hiding a 26-point rotation underneath.
@StockSavvyShay Goldman argues the financing math, my chart argues the shelf: $58-$65 stopped every drop for a year, third visit now. Below $33 I’m wrong. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
$CRWV is back at $64, the third visit to the $58-$65 box in a year, and it’s the one I’ve been waiting for. On my chart the whole slide from last June’s $187 top is (2), a W-X-Y. W bottomed in this box last November, the first leg of Y bottomed here in July, and this drop is the
@LeifSoreide Failed breakouts are what a second wave does to the leaders. My count has $QQQ in a 2 inside $700-$712, the breakouts come back with the 3. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
Four charts for the week. Boxes are where I expect the dips to end, each with the price that proves me wrong. $QQQ: 2 of (iii) inside the $700-$712 box, Friday closed $709.80. A week or two of chop here, then 3 toward $800. Wrong below $660. $TSLA: (i) topped at $388, (ii) is
@sunxliao Everyone sold into the same box: $SNDK is in the $1,346-$1,193 zone, the (ii) on my chart, 200-day inside it. Under $1,000 I’m wrong.
$AMD is already inside the box. The run from $440 to $658 was five clean waves, i on my chart, and this 20% pullback is ii, now $529 between the 0.5 at $550 and the 0.618 at $524. Second waves in a stock with RS 98 are the ones I want on my screen. iii is next, and the chart has room toward $760. Earnings on November 3rd sit just outside this window.
@Brownmoose $SNDK is in the (ii) box on my chart, $1,346-$1,193, 200-day inside. $MU hasn’t reached its box yet, $760-$830, so one of them is early.
@DeItaone The 2-year at 4.8% with Fed funds at 3.9%. The bond market priced the hike long ago, the 20% is only about the date.
@TradingThomas3 Semis led the drop, so they lead the bounce. $NVDA sits inside my $217-$210 box and $QQQ inside $700-$712, both from Sunday’s map. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
Four charts for the week. Boxes are where I expect the dips to end, each with the price that proves me wrong. $QQQ: 2 of (iii) inside the $700-$712 box, Friday closed $709.80. A week or two of chop here, then 3 toward $800. Wrong below $660. $TSLA: (i) topped at $388, (ii) is
@Mr_Derivatives Goldman’s upgrade landed on the same shelf my chart has been waiting for, the $58-$65 box, third visit in a year. x.com/ItsStopFirst/s…
$CRWV is back at $64, the third visit to the $58-$65 box in a year, and it’s the one I’ve been waiting for. On my chart the whole slide from last June’s $187 top is (2), a W-X-Y. W bottomed in this box last November, the first leg of Y bottomed here in July, and this drop is the
$CRWV is back at $64, the third visit to the $58-$65 box in a year, and it’s the one I’ve been waiting for. On my chart the whole slide from last June’s $187 top is (2), a W-X-Y. W bottomed in this box last November, the first leg of Y bottomed here in July, and this drop is the last leg, (y) of Y. Three touches of the same shelf, each one on worse headlines, with 18% of the float short into it.
$ASML tagged the lower triangle line on Thursday, $1,594, and closed the week at $1,641, inside the $1,689-$1,497 box. That’s the (e) on my chart, the fifth and last leg of the triangle for 4. Triangles end quietly, which is why nobody is looking at this one. 5 is the leg back above $2,000, and the first sign it has started is a daily close above the (d) high near $1,874. Under $1,497 I’m wrong on the 4.
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