James Glynn @JamesGlynnWSJ
Senior Economics Reporter Dow Jones/Wall Street Journal/RBA Watcher. Has covered the Australian economy for more than 35 years. #Collingwood #drums #Shakespeare wsj.com Sydney Joined April 2009-
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RBA May Have Been Too Timid in Fight Against Inflation, Economist Says wsj.com/economy/centra… via @WSJ
What a difference a few months makes...
Matter-of-fact Kiwi leader’s shaking off Ardern fairy dust theaustralian.com.au/inquirer/shaki…
Fears are rising over the fate of the remaining hostages held in Gaza after Hamas said it was unsure whether it could bring forth 40 Israeli civilian captives wsj.com/world/middle-e… via @WSJ
Something I have also been saying for a while tax exempt universities reap the benefit of overseas students and incur none of the responsibility. Most universities have sufficient land to build a lot more housing for students and should be made to macrobusiness.com.au/2024/04/make-u…
Inflation has emerged as the most intractable domestic policy issue facing President Biden less than seven months before the election—but there isn’t a whole lot the White House can do to fix it wsj.com/politics/polic… via @WSJ
The U.S. and Russia are using a confidential channel to discuss the issue of exchanging prisoners that could include the release of jailed Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich wsj.com/world/u-s-and-… via @WSJ
Mortgage rates again rose to nearly 7%, a key psychological threshold that threatens the housing revival that many had hoped for this year wsj.com/economy/housin… via @WSJ
RBA’s caution pays off as Fed script is rewritten theaustralian.com.au/business/econo…
Glynn’s Take: RBA’s Caution Continues to Pay off as Fed Script Is Rewritten wsj.com/economy/centra… via @WSJ
Stubborn inflation pressures persisted in March, weakening the case for the Fed to begin reducing interest rates in June wsj.com/economy/inflat… via @WSJ
Another firmer-than-anticipated inflation report delivered a meaningful setback to the Federal Reserve’s hope that it could buoy prospects of a so-called soft landing wsj.com/economy/centra… via @WSJ
The reasons why the RBA won’t shift into neutral theaustralian.com.au/business/econo…
Glynn’s Take: RBA’s Only Certainty Is That Nothing Is Certain wsj.com/articles/glynn… via @WSJ It's not a neutral bias. It's something new #ausbiz #ausecon
Bullock’s obfuscation is no game theaustralian.com.au/commentary/bul…
Glynn’s Take: RBA’s Stubborn Refusal to Provide Rates Guidance Pays off wsj.com/articles/glynn… via @WSJ The RBA's small target policy looks smart. #ausecon #ausbiz
RBA OIS meeting date pricing post the statement. May 4.285% Jun 4.223% Aug 4.128% Sep 4.055% Nov 3.955% Dec 3.89%
I'm not seeing much if any evolution in the RBA's message today. I think there's a lot of wishful thinking that the central bank has adopted a neutral stance. I doubt that they will hike, but this is pretty much a rehash of February. Bullock will confirm that shortly. #ausecon
Pressure on RBA’s new team to perform theaustralian.com.au/business/new-e…
Glynn’s Take: New Era Dawns at RBA as Leadership Transition Completes wsj.com/articles/glynn… via @WSJ
Stephen Koukoulas @TheKouk
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@cctvidiots this dad is a legend ❤️
@ZacGross Brisbane median price threatening to surpass Melbourne! Cashed up net interstate migrants from other states
@Morbidful Mystery?? What mystery? They were abandoned in the middle of the sea. Pretty sure we know what their fate was.
@mattjcan Where is the 2022 data point, it looks like the biggest decline in the graph was under the watch of the LNP.
Absolutely horrible labour force data. Employment is stalled; hours worked are in free fall; unemployment is rising at a worrying clip & underemployment - you guessed it - is going up. RBA needs to cut interest rates - pencil in May. My Two Minute Take
RBA keeps rates steady, as expected. Releasing its latest outlook, with the underlying assumption that the cash rate will be at 3.9% by year's end. Yet the board statement says a further rate increase "cannot be ruled out"... Desperately trying to jawbone consumers...
AOFM Investor Insight on sovereign green bond issuance. aofm.gov.au/investors/whol…
Employment falling very materially in December after recent strength (fully reversing last month's result), accompanied by a huge fall in participation leaving the unemployment rate edging higher. The volatility making it difficult to draw firm conclusions but not good.
It’s worth asking the question how Australia can be inches from a technical recession and also boast close to full employment?
OIS pricing for the RBA dates for 2024 has about 9.3bp of tightening in May and then 9bp of easing (from current cash rate) by November (4.263%).
So many experts on the Argentinian economy now. Same ones, it appears, who think house prices will crash, the RBA hasn't hiked enough, the ABS is corrupt in the way it calculates inflaiton & rely on their mum to clean their bedroom
ICYMI RBA decision today was something of a non-event, even though for the past 4 months a number of folk have been screaming for more rate hikes. No way Jose
Bad news for those who for the last 1,2,3 & now 4 months thought the RBA needed to hike - another 'no change' decision today. RBA notes pipeline of tight policy which is yet to bite; inflation is falling; growth is weakening & unemployment is rising. Why hike? My Two Minute Take
@JamesGlynnWSJ Might suggest Jim Chalmers listen to this wise man.
Just re-read Keating's Redfern speech. Talk about ahead of his time. One of the best and bravest political speeches in Australian history: johnmenadue.com/redfern-speech…
@TheKouk handguns, bunkers and canned food - its coming
Bitter, disgusting, offensive & even libellous abuse on this platform, based on inflation falling & house prices recovering. Strange issues to get personally affronted & upset about. Some folk must have a sad existence. All too gutless & cowardly to say who they are of course
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