Laughing Water Capital @LaughingH20Cap
Laughing Water Capital is a value focused private investment partnership focused primarily on public equities. No advice or reccos from this account. laughingwatercapital.com/letters Joined January 2018-
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$HGV "new buyer traffic in Japan is still down about 25% because we source a lot of tours from the international airports in Japan" Q4'23 Call
Might there have been any global pandemics in the last few years that caused companies to get super lean and efficient, thus reducing the need for consultants? Asking for a friend.
Might there have been any global pandemics in the last few years that caused companies to get super lean and efficient, thus reducing the need for consultants? Asking for a friend.
Seems likely this is just a conspiracy theory.... nevertheless, $NN fixes this.
Seems likely this is just a conspiracy theory.... nevertheless, $NN fixes this.
$NN I filed a 13-D on NextNav today after the closing. I think the company owns spectrum that could end up being worth more than the current stock price. The upcoming earnings call will hopefully provide on update on their submission to the FCC to dual use their spectrum.
Please report @LaughingH2O_Cap Seems to be an imposter. No underscore in the real twitter for Laughing Water Capital. Ty
$LFCR. Again, not apples to apples, but its also not truffles to mushrooms. This implies significant upside for $LFCR.
$LFCR. Again, not apples to apples, but its also not truffles to mushrooms. This implies significant upside for $LFCR.
"leading QSR" = $MCD $TACT
2 companies, both travel related, & both considered cyclical. Both expecting upticks in FCF through FY25. Which deserves a higher "normal" multiple? And what multiple of FCF should they trade at? Co 1 increased DSOs for M&A, & is now buying back. Co 2 increased DSOs to survive.
I seem to remember a good deck that someone put together on share cannibals. Does that ring any bells for anyone? If yes can you share? possibly by @mjmauboussin ?
Fin twit: I’m trying to get smart on radio/wireless spectrum. Specifically low band, but mid and high band as well. Please suggest primers, podcasts, follows, write ups etc. thanks in advance!
Brandon Beylo @marketplunger1
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12K Followers 136 Following The name says it all. Not investment advice.More notes on big tech earnings quality, GAAP and FCF. Asset growth at these companies has been so extreme & so recent (PP&E up 3x in 5 yrs) that I'm not sure it's fully appreciated. Great businesses, but $200b of annual capex is likely a headwind to ROICs:
One counterpoint to this idea that intangible investments are causing GAAP earnings to be understated at companies like $MSFT... Their capex is far greater than their D&A currently (e.g. MSFT D&A is ~15b but they will spend 50b+ on capex this year). So perhaps the R&D spend…
STILL watching/waiting on small vs. large-caps. The one thing I can’t say is “when” the turn (in favor of smalls) will happen. The one thing I CAN say is that someday it WILL happen. Jay’s Trading Maxim #52: Patience is a virtue – and also a pain in the rear. h/t: @Callum_Thomas
One counterpoint to this idea that intangible investments are causing GAAP earnings to be understated at companies like $MSFT... Their capex is far greater than their D&A currently (e.g. MSFT D&A is ~15b but they will spend 50b+ on capex this year). So perhaps the R&D spend…
4/ The sizeable impact of intangibles at Microsoft: "Based on figures from June 30, 2023, the end of the company’s fiscal year, the trailing P/E went from 34.9 as reported to 30.5 as adjusted, and EV/EBITDA went from 24.2 to 16.9. These are material differences".
This isn’t funny anymore. What are the dems doing? What are we doing as a country with these two buffoons? youtu.be/6YL1MWUi5Io
Debt jubilee for student loans. Ramp the capital gains tax. Tax and spend ain’t just for the textbooks. #Socialism4Biden2024
@1MainCapital I was telling @LaughingH20Cap at a dinner to buy puts in $PII and continue to roll them I did alright, they expired worthless 2-3 times, and the last time was a multi-bagger. Big ticket, discretionary, rate sensitive
Anyone remember when white supremacists marched in Charlottesville and the media freaked out about how Trump wouldn’t denounce? This is happening daily now across the US. This is incitement. Where is our government?
Philly - shocking speech tonight praising the 10/7 massacre in Israel “If anything we have learned about October 7th … When you’re organized … When you’re disciplined … When you’re focused … You can surprise your worst enemy. Zionist Israel is shaking in their boots.”
@fundiescapital Virtues Signaled 🫱🏼🫲🏽 Identity Obscured
I found myself at the heart of the century's largest distressed trade, and now it's ending. It's sad, really.
This morning, my life changed forever. I’m a father to a beautiful 8lb baby girl. She has no idea how much she’s already loved.
Early morning, April four. Shot rings out in the Memphis sky. Free at last, they took your life. They could not take your pride
'Hands-on' ownership of smaller companies, in its various forms, is going to be a one of the better opportunities for long-term value creation over the coming years.
@Larryjamieson_ @Colgo He means that this long suffering and neglected asset class - US small caps - is ripe for hands on ownership i.e. activism in its large variety of styles and flavors.
Tunnel to Towers is honored to announce a mortgage payoff for the family of NYPD Officer Jonathan Diller, who was fatally shot and killed during a routine traffic stop on March 25th. Officer Diller is survived by his loving wife, Stephanie, and their one-year-old son.
@LaughingH20Cap @lebron_ex Certainly not what we were hoping for but at 5$ with 18 months holding period how isnt this a tremendous opportunity? A low balled $40m EBITDA at 20x lands you around 16$. Today at 5$ or at 8 earlier the opportunity seems atleast as good now? I added materially below 5 tbh
@alixpasquet $100mm on day one to launch (and still think they are sub-scale). Then immediately hire a big team, rent an office, and become much more fragile.
@alixpasquet This is interesting because my experience in the industry has left me feeling that every few take this advice when running their business. I’ve been laughed at by allocators about how low my annual business expenses are and there’s an entire crowd of managers who think they need
@Biohazard3737 The best advice is to put yourself out there with ideas. Write and share in public. I think this will differentiate them in a competitive field.