MądryKot316 @MKot316
Joined October 2021-
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Russia faces a death spiral.🧵 And they know it. Russian economy is running into a coffin corner with each day the war on Ukraine continues. Some observers of Russian economy and society look at RF commodity trade as rescue and forget long term cost. 1/ x.com/anneapplebaum/…
Z drugiej strony, liczba ataków lotniczych spada. To samo dotyczy ataków MLRS. Problemem jest to że Rosjanie coraz częściej wlatują dronami na głębokie zapłacze wojsk ukraińskich i dokonują rażeń precyzyjnych celów, które do tej pory były poza zasięgiem ich środków…
Z drugiej strony, liczba ataków lotniczych spada. To samo dotyczy ataków MLRS. Problemem jest to że Rosjanie coraz częściej wlatują dronami na głębokie zapłacze wojsk ukraińskich i dokonują rażeń precyzyjnych celów, które do tej pory były poza zasięgiem ich środków… https://t.co/wQ8ntQtpSi
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@JulianRoepcke did you quote the person who geolocated the footage and offered the original analysis? no. Because you prefer to make it sound like you did the work, and replace actual analysis with your uneducated opinion.
@MKot316 @HighMarsed Perfectly agree with you there. The Russian army will be an odd mix with a base more or less like the classic arty based army of the past with pockets of modern tech and doctrine mixed in.
@MKot316 @HighMarsed The real danger lies in the weakness of Western societies - and their governments. The first target of Putin is article 5 of the NATO statute. We, as the West, need to address the issue of populism - and corruption (which I regard as Russia's main export).
@MKot316 @spartyflyboy @HighMarsed So true. Good point!
@MKot316 @HighMarsed A problem often overlooked is, that RF will have major money drains even if they would win. 1. Restructure economy 2. Rebuild infrastructure 3. Rebuild mil deep storage 4. RnD new equipment 5. Restock active forces 6. Finance occupation 7. War veterans x.com/spartyflyboy/s…
Russia faces a death spiral.🧵 And they know it. Russian economy is running into a coffin corner with each day the war on Ukraine continues. Some observers of Russian economy and society look at RF commodity trade as rescue and forget long term cost. 1/ x.com/anneapplebaum/…
@MKot316 @HighMarsed Cześć, Germany. The situation yet is fundamentally different from post WWII, geopolitical, technologically and RF domestic social situation. My point is, that the war is increasingly creating huge future reconstitution needs that compete for draining ressources (f ex manpower).
@MKot316 It might be systems, or barrels, or ammunition, but I think its mostly ammunition types. Russia still has a lot of 152mm systems including 2S3, and 2S19 SPGs, maybe not as many as they would like but still the 152mm is generally more effective and they would use more if they…
@MKot316 Nie wyciągam pochopnych wniosków. Wskazują tylko, że ich magazyny nie są studnią bez dna (jak niektórzy pisali) 😉 Nie wiem, czy zwróciłeś uwagę, ale od tygodnia, może dwóch, Rosjanie bardzo ograniczyli wykorzystanie "techniki" w szturmach na pozycje SZU (no, może z wyjątkiem…
@MKot316 @Jonpy99 @Vishun_military It was a good point. Thank you two of yours
@MKot316 @Vishun_military I don't understand what do you mean.
@MKot316 @Vishun_military Yeah, but that's the total amount of AFVs per base. They're exactly the same numbers as I posted here, but without differentiating by AFV types, such as BMPs, BTRs, etc.
@MKot316 @Vishun_military They did for the tank article, but they didn't bother for BMPs considering how few there are.
1/ Analysis on @Vishun_military footage of the 22nd, 227th/769th, 1295th, 111th, 1311th, 3018th/6018th and 2544th Russian storage bases.
2/ Here you have the numbers of all bases and the comparison with the prewar numbers @HighMarsed and I counted. First, BMPs:
4/ BMDs, MT-LBs, BTR-50s and BRDM-2s, alrady shown along with numbers at the rest of storage bases in my previous threads:
5/ So, now that you have seen the numbers at the seven major Russian AFV depots, let's see what has changed in them in these plus 2 years of warfare in Ukraine.
6/ Let's start with the 3018/6018th base. Although it might look like this place still holds a lot of equipment, it's to practical effects mostly depleted by now. I can't share footage of this base because Vishun didn's show it in their recent article. Still, some tips on it:…
7/ This base was one of the major MT-LB storage bases, and a good one at that too, with most of them pretty well preserved. Now they're almost all gone.
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