#MacroStrategy | Markets research | Data-driven investing and trading.
Ex-central banker | Ex-multilateral banker | Fund analyst.
No Financial Advice. Washington, DCJoined February 2025
I have been telling this to many “expert analysts” since long ago, at that time they laughed at me. Now they aren’t laughing anymore since they are realising how ChatGPT and many similar LLMs are nothing more than Google Search 2.0 (and far from “intelligent”)
I have been telling this to many “expert analysts” since long ago, at that time they laughed at me. Now they aren’t laughing anymore since they are realising how ChatGPT and many similar LLMs are nothing more than Google Search 2.0 (and far from “intelligent”)
Spoiler
You don’t need to burn everything down and nuke anything
You just need to force the USD to collapse and replace it with hard money that can’t be counterfeited
Why there is a sense that US economy is doing bad? Data tells a different history. Basically, US is a consumption-based economy. And rich people (1% of population) consume almost 50% of the goods and services of the country. Their purchases and expectations maintain the economy
If you are a U.S. taxpayer, know that $20 billion are about to be used to bailout Argentina’s IMF backed libertarian economic experiment of shock doctrine and austerity, which took only a year and a half to complete collapse like a house of cards.
If you are a U.S. taxpayer, know that $20 billion are about to be used to bailout Argentina’s IMF backed libertarian economic experiment of shock doctrine and austerity, which took only a year and a half to complete collapse like a house of cards.
Unpopular opinion: #US economy is still solid. The economy is highly flexible when facing multiple shocks. The problem comes in the distribution of labor and wealth. But in aggregate, everything is in good shape
Ok, after the spring meetings of the IMF-World Bank, I am back.
Equity markets in Europe and US equity index futures are in retreat after political turmoil in Germany and worries about the trade war dampened sentiment, although Asia had a positive session.
🧨Some EU central banking and supervisory officials are questioning whether they can still rely on the Fed to provide dollar funding in times of market stress, six people familiar with the matter said told @Reuters 🧨 reuters.com/markets/some-e…
#FED has a lot of confidence about inflation getting back to long-term targets. They even say that their simulations include full retaliation of trade partners.
Well, they rose inflation projections, but they are still expecting two rate cuts.
I consider that the Fed is stuck,…
The selling side of the financial markets is misleading if we ignore the macroeconomic environment. Neither of these ratings will achieve their objective if current volatility does not decrease. Even if that is that is the case, I am not that confident on these ratings.
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