Scot Marciel @MarcielScot
Retired diplomat, writing about Southeast Asia at Stanford University’s Asia Pacific Research Center. Senior advisor at BowerGroupAsia. Views are my own. Joined January 2021-
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Michael Haack’s arguments are thoughtful and worth considering, but I tend to agree with @hmarston4 on this question. There are risks with any approach, but the best hope for Myanmar lies with the resistance prevailing over the junta.
Michael Haack’s arguments are thoughtful and worth considering, but I tend to agree with @hmarston4 on this question. There are risks with any approach, but the best hope for Myanmar lies with the resistance prevailing over the junta.
🎧 A return to the U.S.-Thai alliance’s heyday may be doubtful, but a more fruitful bilateral relationship is achievable with patience and adaptability to evolving geopolitical dynamics, says @MarcielScot on @usasiainstitute's Asia Unscripted podcast ⏬ usasiainstitute.org/asiaaunscripte…
Clear and important points made here by @MarcielScot via @Diplomat_APAC. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar thediplomat.com/2024/04/how-th…
New UN Special Envoy to #Myanmar Julie Bishop has a tough job ahead of her, but @StanfordSAPARC's @MarcielScot has five recommendations for how to make a seemingly impossible task more tenable. 🇲🇲 Read more in @Diplomat_APAC ↘️ ow.ly/MefC50RlJkq
Former US Ambassador to Myanmar @MarcielScot, APARC's Oksenberg-Rohlen Fellow, outlines strategic recommendations for newly-appointed UN Special Envoy to Myanmar @HonJulieBishop in her daunting task of bringing peace to the country. Read via @Diplomat_APAC thediplomat.com/2024/04/how-th…
What about the basic fact that an arbitral tribunal ruling under UNCLOS that is binding on the PRC and the Philippines ruled that Second Thomas Shoal is within the Philippines’ Exclusive Economic Zone and is a low-tide elevation that can’t be sovereign territory?
What about the basic fact that an arbitral tribunal ruling under UNCLOS that is binding on the PRC and the Philippines ruled that Second Thomas Shoal is within the Philippines’ Exclusive Economic Zone and is a low-tide elevation that can’t be sovereign territory?
A new trilateral chapter between our three nations begins today. 🇯🇵🤝🇵🇭🤝🇺🇸
A new trilateral chapter between our three nations begins today. 🇯🇵🤝🇵🇭🤝🇺🇸
Encouraging discussion with @NUGMyanmar leaders across a wide range of issues on their efforts to foster a federal, representative democracy in Burma. state.gov/counselor-chol…
The joint US-Japan-Philippine plans discussed at today's trilateral summit to counter China's belligerence in the South China Sea are part of a broader strategy to signal to Beijing that dominating the region won't be easy, @MarcielScot tells @PhelimKine politico.eu/newsletter/chi…
Today’s Marcos-Kishida-Biden trilateral is a big deal on many levels. Worth reading Politico’s piece.
Today’s Marcos-Kishida-Biden trilateral is a big deal on many levels. Worth reading Politico’s piece.
Today's @politico China Watcher: Biden & Kishida boost defense ties w/eye on China; South China Sea tensions power U.S.-Japan-Philippines trilateral summit today; How TikTok has "lost the war of ideas," and "wolf warrior diplomacy" - Not dead yet. politico.eu/newsletter/chi…
This is interesting. It’s important that the US continues to engage Cambodia, even when it is on a path we don’t like. Diplomacy has to be viewed as a long-term effort, worth sustaining even when things don’t go well.
This is interesting. It’s important that the US continues to engage Cambodia, even when it is on a path we don’t like. Diplomacy has to be viewed as a long-term effort, worth sustaining even when things don’t go well.
President Biden tomorrow will host Japanese Prime Minister Kishida & Philippine President Marcos Jr. in a summit set to bolster trilateral cooperation in the South China Sea. APARC's @MarcielScot considers the summit's likely outcomes & challenges ahead ⬇️ politico.eu/newsletter/chi…
Why is a rusting WWII ship in the South China Sea making China so upset? @StanfordSAPARC's @MarcielScot sits down with @politico to explain the rising tensions between China and the Philippines, and what it may mean for the U.S. ow.ly/6mtR50RaWrI
Sounds great, but what kind of deal? If the military doesn’t agree to surrender political power and accept some kind of civilian control, then there’s no viable deal.
Sounds great, but what kind of deal? If the military doesn’t agree to surrender political power and accept some kind of civilian control, then there’s no viable deal.
This is a good step. Now if only a few ASEAN members (Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, Singapore, etc) would conduct a similar exercise, without outside powers.
This is a good step. Now if only a few ASEAN members (Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, Singapore, etc) would conduct a similar exercise, without outside powers.
Once a top foreign policy priority, #Myanmar has faded from Washington's radar. The limited U.S. response to its travails lacks energy and commitment, says @MarcielScot, former U.S. ambassador to Myanmar, sharing insights with @TheAtlantic @TMclaughlin3 theatlantic.com/international/…
The answer is probably not, unless Bishop adopts a very different approach than her predecessors have taken. No international envoy is going to persuade the junta to be reasonable nor facilitate the political dialogue so many foreigners advocate.
The answer is probably not, unless Bishop adopts a very different approach than her predecessors have taken. No international envoy is going to persuade the junta to be reasonable nor facilitate the political dialogue so many foreigners advocate.
I just finished @pwinn5’s new book, Narcotopia. Fascinating story of the Wa, including the origins of the United Wa State Army and USG infighting. Patrick’s interviews with key players allowed him to offer a much-needed nuanced view of the Wa. I highly recommend the book.
I’m overwhelmed by the history - not to mention resilience - represented here. Phan Thi Kim Phuc and Nick Ut, both captured in a tweet from legendary journalist Elizabeth Becker.
I’m overwhelmed by the history - not to mention resilience - represented here. Phan Thi Kim Phuc and Nick Ut, both captured in a tweet from legendary journalist Elizabeth Becker.
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Elon musk Tesla @MuskElon20951
43 Followers 342 Following I’m Elon musk the founder CEO and the chief Engineer of SpaceX and Tesla https://t.co/5LxRK5pG25 here to give car try to be serious and win a car thanks
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Unsupervised Policy T.. @AdlerVolantis
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34 Followers 364 Following I'm a Rohingya youth #genocide survivor. Peace builder, #Fight for the right and justice .#Working under at #UNICEF education project as a #teacher.
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วิไลเมื.. @c51aO57A01oWoti
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79K Followers 48 Following Minister of Human Rights for @NUGMyanmar and Prominent Human Rights Advocate promoting human rights in Myanmar. Retweets not endorsements. Tweets my own.
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199K Followers 1K Following Covert group of activists working to dismantle the military cartel and improve the lives of all the people of Myanmar. Join us and help bring #JusticeForMyanmar
UN Special Rapporteur.. @RapporteurUn
371K Followers 151 Following UN Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in Myanmar; Robina Senior Human Rights Fellow, Yale Law School; Former US Congressman from Maine; Dad.
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553K Followers 431 Following Welcome to the Twitter page of the Embassy of the United States of America in Rangoon, Burma. Terms of Use: https://t.co/ggbt7NjT6F
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26K Followers 55 Following Husband, father, dog owner, cornhusker, proudly serving @POTUS Biden and @SecBlinken as Counselor of the Department of State.
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150K Followers 626 Following Human rights org working to secure release of political prisoners in Burma, improve life during & post-incarceration. Documenting junta coup since 1 Feb, 2021.
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429K Followers 43 Following An independent, bilingual Myanmar news agency delivering insightful stories.
Saifuddin Abdullah �.. @saifuddinabd
124K Followers 82 Following Former Foreign Minister of Malaysia | Ahli Parlimen Indera Mahkota -Member of Parliament for Indera Mahkota
Nay Phone Latt (Spoke.. @bloggernpl
5K Followers 146 Following Spokesperson of NUG Prime Minister Office, Writer, Blogger, Former Political Prisoner
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131K Followers 5K Following Special Correspondent @Reuters, Southeast Asia. Formerly Yangon, Phnom Penh, London. Part of Pulitzer-winning team, 2019. DMs open for tips, cat pix.
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13K Followers 2K Following Independent journalist & researcher focusing on Myanmar using a collaborative approach. Conflict, resources, investigations. @AJEnglish @frontiermm @TIME...
Ambassador Kyaw Moe T.. @AmbassadorTun
73K Followers 18 Following Permanent Representative of Myanmar to the UN
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15K Followers 13K Following Author, Poet, Podcaster, Wildlife Conservationist, Film maker. Former foreign correspondent (India, SE Asia, USA). RTs not endorsements.
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23K Followers 2K Following D.C.-based China corro @Politico; Past @hrw @DowJones @phnompenhpost; DMs open;Tips to [email protected]; Subscribe to my newsletter: https://t.co/4pgDdTttRX
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12K Followers 618 Following Books, Radio, Docs • Asia correspondent for The World, airing on NPR stations • Author of NARCOTOPIA • https://t.co/8vtM5Ai8zE
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180K Followers 2K Following The official Twitter account of ASEAN - One Vision, One Identity, One Community - Retweets ≠ endorsement | contact: [email protected]
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Ambassador Robert F. .. @USAmbThailand
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Meredith Weiss @merweissphd
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3K Followers 57 Following Emeritus Professor, The University of New South Wales at the Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra.
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494 Followers 125 Following This is the Twitter presence of the Burma Studies Group, accessible to any student, scholar, or researcher of the region's many ethnic nationalities + cultures
Kyaw Htet Aung @KyawHte03102113
164 Followers 2K Following Upcoming PhD student @UNSWCanberra/ Program Head (Conflict, Peace and Security Program) @ISPMyanmar/ Political Economy Alumni @NCKU_Official
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Ian Chong 莊嘉穎 @ChongJaIan
5K Followers 4K Following Political scientist from Singapore, security issues relating to China, Asia (esp SE Asia), Taiwan, and the United States. RT=/=endorsement. Opinions my own.
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17K Followers 1K Following Tweets on Asian security. Senior Fellow @AEI. Lecturer @PrincetonSPIA. Partner at Armitage Int'l. Wrangler of children. Former Pentagon and White House staffer.
Jeff Hutton @jeffreyhutton
1K Followers 721 Following Bali based regional correspondent for the Straits Times, co-host of Reformasi Dispatch, co-founder of On The Level Media, wannabe Muay Thai fighter, dog dad
Peter Mumford @MumfordAsia
680 Followers 471 Following Practice Head SE Asia @eurasiagroup. Recovering British diplomat (China & SE Asia). Tweets on Asia geopolitics/trade/economics and sometimes UK. Views my own.
Alexander Arifianto @DrAlexArifianto
2K Followers 714 Following Senior Fellow, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University. All views expressed are my own, retweets are not endorsement.
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3K Followers 1K Following Writer & researcher, interested in Vietnam and Asian affairs. PhD in Political Science from Victoria University of Wellington. Visiting fellow at ISEAS.
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666 Followers 1K Following 41 years law enforcement-PHXPD/DOJ & MIL(Civ), MLK Award winner, 22 years in South Central/SE Asia-AZ Native, MARSEC advisor in SEA.
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317 Followers 103 Following Nikkei Asia associate editor and writer since 2014, former Asiaweek special correspondent, biographer, FCCT board member, watching Southeast Asia.
Center for Arakan Stu.. @arakanstudies
329 Followers 0 Following We’re an independent, non-partisan and research institute conducting research and analyzing issues related to Arakan affairs and beyond. [email protected].
Dr. Shona Loong @ShonaLoong
839 Followers 677 Following Political geography researcher/lecturer @UZH_ch | associate fellow @IISS_org | DPhil @oxfordgeography | conflict, peacebuilding, #WhatsHappeninginMyanmar
Oren Samet @realosamet
1K Followers 879 Following Opposition parties, civil society, and authoritarianism in Southeast Asia and beyond. PhD candidate @UCBerkeley. Formerly @ASEANMP @Altsean @CarnegieDCG
East-West Center @EastWestCenter
16K Followers 990 Following Promotes better relations and understanding among people & nations of the United States, Asia, and the Pacific. RTs are not an endorsement.
Georg Bauer @GeorgBauer8
2K Followers 729 Following PhD Candidate, History of Human Rights and Democracy @ University of Vienna. Prior working in the Union of Myanmar.
Rodion Ebbighausen @R_Ebbighausen
1K Followers 838 Following Head of DW's Asia desk, @dw_hotspotasia, https://t.co/GzU6iNEL4i, journalist and author, podcaster, https://t.co/4vRsYsrN2K.
Zaw Wai Soe @ZawWaiSoe4
175K Followers 39 Following Union Minister of Health and Education, National Unity Government , Myanmar
National Unity Govern.. @NUGMyanmar
217K Followers 53 Following NUG – National Unity Government (အမျိုးသားညီညွတ်ရေးအစိုးရ)
Civil Disobedience Mo.. @cvdom2021
205K Followers 477 Following We are the campaigners of Civil Disobedience Movement which erupted as a response to the coup #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar. For inquiry, [email protected].One of the most indignant accusations thrown at Myanmar’s resistance movement is how we are supported by either US or China. If that’s the case, we would have won ages ago. Ours is a homegrown revolution - and it’s not something that we have a choice. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
On board a Philippines coastguard ship, being hounded by at least 5 Chinese vessels, near Scarborough Shoal. Aggressively tactics by the Chinese, completely blocking one Philippines boat and hammering ours with water cannon.
My reflection on a three-year armed resistance movement.. usip.org/publications/2…
Good points made by @TMclaughlin3 and @ZachAbuza - properly understood, there is no macroeconomy in Myanmar anymore, but simply disparate streams of revenue and other resources the SAC seeks to access. The SAC’s economic policy making is little more than organised crime.
Again, per a former high ranking Myanmar official, it is necessary to adjust what economic success for the junta means or looks like. It has been three years, and some difficulty for them, but they plodded along for decades previously with a far less internationalized economy.
The latest from @YeMyoHein5 for @USIP ... 9 key take-aways from his 3 years of analysis usip.org/publications/2…
My new analysis about the resignation of National Assembly Chair Vuong Dinh Hue, an indication of Vietnam's deepening "leadership crisis", and what it means for Vietnam's political future. fulcrum.sg/vietnams-deepe…
“Those measures could include the deployment of cold storage facilities to the Philippines for agricultural products that China might boycott.”
An eight-person State Department team has begun advising the Philippines on how to counter Chinese economic coercion The team has worked with around a dozen nations since it began helping Lithuania during its 2021 dispute with Beijing bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
There's a fundamental difference between having a more independent foreign policy less tied to the United States and a policy of not "provoking China over the WPS." The two are related but not mutually dependent. A genuinely independent FP would not be subservient to China.
Senator Francis Escudero urged the administration to have an independent foreign policy instead of aligning itself with the United States and provoking China over the West Philippine Sea issue. READ: politiko.com.ph/2024/04/28/wag…
Matthew Arnold always spot on.
The Organic Logic of Myanmar’s Revolution #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar ------------------- Help The Irrawaddy Report the Truth from Myanmar bit.ly/3btQYpR bit.ly/3JCAQDO
The Organic Logic of Myanmar’s Revolution #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar ------------------- Help The Irrawaddy Report the Truth from Myanmar bit.ly/3btQYpR bit.ly/3JCAQDO
@SecBlinken met PRC’s top leaders, including Xi. He had 6 hours with Wang Yi. He covered every substantive issue on his agenda. Time will tell whether these efforts yields results. One thing nobody in USG will spend time thinking about is who stood on tarmac when he arrived/left.
Would you say the same for the Philippines then? 🤔
Western media always describe #Maldives as "Pro-#China" or "Pro-#India" as if a small country doesn't have its right to stand for own interest and has to be subjugated by major powers. It doesn't have to be that way: Charles Liu, senior fellow at the Taihe Institute #GlobalArena
@CherylSaunders1 @MsNicolaSW @MarcielScot V interesting. Scot Marciel is our guest at AMI seminar Monday evening.
No reason for him to be "embarrassed" because China plays these petty games.
🇺🇸🇨🇳 EMBARASSING: Blinken arrives in China and is met WITHOUT RED CARPET. No band or anything … he’s welcomed like a somebody unimportant.
Seriously, this is insane. And one hardly needs to be an appellate lawyer to think so. What is going on here?
Kagan: How about if the president orders the military to stage a coup? Sauer: If one adopted the test we advanced, that might well be an official act
Wise words from @MsNicolaSW and in the @MarcielScot piece attached about how the new UN Special Envoy should approach the task in Myanmar and what to expect.
Great to read @MarcielScot's piece on the role of the new UN Special Envoy, Julie Bishop (ANU's Chancellor) thediplomat.com/2024/04/how-th… Having worked in peacebuilding in Myanmar and watched the graveyard of high-level interveners grow, here’s my take (thread):
With the scant info available from Myanmar’s northern Rakhine state, @_christopherwin makes a valid point.
Important to note that the killings, protests, and burnings aren't in ULA/AA-controlled areas, but in SAC-held towns like Buthidaung. Both communities must beware of falling into SAC's trap. Disappointing to see SAC's cards of fueling racial conflicts still work to an extent.
Good idea. More time is needed to understand the impacts of this canal to the Mekong’s bounty. Only fools rush in.
Vietnamese experts say Hanoi should push Phnom Penh to delay a Cambodian canal project to allow consultation in order to protect the Mekong River Delta, home to 17.4 million people. bit.ly/3WefzIa
Great thread @MsNicolaSW!
6. Don’t blow any oxygen into the junta’s approach of pretending that the previous peace process is still running. It’s dead. The democratically elected government are in jail and exile, and some have been killed.
Salient to any discussion of the Myanmar junta's "mismanagement" of the economy. The regime's been in survival mode since the coup; its measures aren't really aimed at creating a prosperous country. The same caveat applies to the junta's "governance" and public service provision.
“My argument is that the junta is not failing from an economic perspective because its original objective is to strengthen itself at the expense of the nation's overall economic development.”
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