Chris Milsom @MilsomChr
Law and (sky)larks. Proud West Country lad. Joined September 2014-
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The future of this Labour source could be in cyber
Fantastic news
And this is Sunak’s figleaf
Looking ahead to the next GE, what's striking about the patterns we're seeing is that Labour *is* taking a beating in some (mostly urban) areas, perhaps due to Gaza. But these are almost all in safe Labour seats. Meanwhile, huge advances in marginals (and safe Tory territory):
By way of comparison... about an 18% swing from 2021, which if my rough maths are right is in line with national polls
By way of comparison... about an 18% swing from 2021, which if my rough maths are right is in line with national polls https://t.co/zhX5fE3ko7
Zinger
Wise Tory MPs are aware that it is the underlying vote numbers they should focus on not the headlines about Reform coming third rather than second in Blackpool or the retention by a few votes of Harlow council. It would suit Sunak if his MPs can’t count, because the underlying…
Tom Hunt is right: people shouldn't mock him for issues caused by dyspraxia, which affects c.6% of adults. But by his own account, Voter ID has made it harder for those people to vote. If we want neurodiverse voices to be heard in politics, that's the issue that needs addressing
For heaven’s sake, Elon. I’m a middle aged woman tweeting about scones and rhubarb and I’ve got a full day’s work ahead of me. Nudes in profile just about the last thing I need. Sort out your algorithms, please.
Aged like milk in the Sahara
Been on some inspiring doorstep sessions and some negative ones: for the latter we are not up against the Tories... instead the enemy is atomisation, anomie and apathy 1/ ....
In Spain, we’d now be two hours from knowing the final outcome in every vote. In the UK, it’s three more days. That’s utterly ridiculous.
So jealous of the election official who got to turn Johnson away for having no ID. The joy that would swell in your soul when you realised he had none.
Under-rated: voting Over-rated: staying up on local election night
Deputy political editor of ITV News and former political editor of the Guardian. Acclaimed journalist, working mother and 44 years old. “Young lady” is just so chilling…
Deputy political editor of ITV News and former political editor of the Guardian. Acclaimed journalist, working mother and 44 years old. “Young lady” is just so chilling…
Since the Rwanda Safety Act passed, 1600 people arrived across the Channel The government organised one voluntary return to Rwanda. Also arrested & detained people for social media video footage who will now be quietly bailed released in June. (They all arrived 11+ months ago)
Susan Hall has never rescinded her support for this monster. But sure, Streeting’s tweet was overbown.
Susan Hall has never rescinded her support for this monster. But sure, Streeting’s tweet was overbown.
My article in the Guardian today on the legal and moral case for resentencing IPP prisoners. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
Jason Braier @JasonBraier
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707 Followers 1K Following 🎓Prof @KCL_Law + @CambridgeCBR + running for @UCU Gen Sec 🌹Fair pay, democracy, equality, a living planet + free education ✊🏽Transform UCU + UK educationPicture it, 2024 GE night: News anchor: “I’m now speaking to an unseated ex Tory MP, commiserations to you as Labour reach 326 seats. What’s your reaction?” Tory: “I see no real love out there for Sir Keir Starmer, if you were to look at this year’s Harlow Council elections…”
Ben Houchen - waiting for the result- is the only candidate on stage not wearing his party’s rosette.
Labour are winning well where we need to win. But we are being sent a message about Gaza and must listen, understand, and act.
Still a good result for Houchen himself though. Signficantly outperforming the wider Tory vote in the region, as he did last time.
16% swing against Houchen. All the Tory Westminster seats in the area would be lost on that swing.
HOUCHEN HOLDS TEES VALLEY with reduced majority Ben Houchen (Con)81,930 (53.6%) Chris McEwan (Lab) 63,141 (41.3%) Simon Thorley (Lib Dem) 7,679 (5%)
I'd counter that Keir Starmer's ratings (while better than any other party leader) are below David Cameron's in 09-10 and Tony Blair's in 96-7. But then one person's "Keir's the man for me" vote counts exactly the same as another's "could they really do any worse?" vote
I again remind people what the Tories were saying after the 1996 local elections…
If Andy Street does win, primary reason would be his record & reputation to hold together a winning coalition despite national trends If Labour comes close but falls short, a few local (Birmingham finances) and international issues (Gaza) would contribute to *not enough voters"
Another CCHQ source gets in touch to dispute any claim that they are “chipper”. They are also much more cautious about the London mayoral result.
I will have more to say tomorrow (or today!) after a sleep but with a 920 majority in Ham that we worked so hard for, for now I will just say thank you @PlymouthLabour, thank you @CouncillorTudor, thank you Ham ward ⚘️❤️
I won! I am officially the new Councillor for New Cheltenham Thank you to my support team who made this possible and every local resident for trusting me with their vote Thank you to @sandie_davis for your hard work Thank you @IanBoulton for the warm welcome P.S. 👀 😈
what an insane thing to put to a journalist x.com/robmayor/statu…
Labour source: 'It's the Middle East, not West Midlands that will have won Street the Mayoralty. Once again Hamas are the real villains.'
Wigan Council Result #LE2024: LAB: 21 (=) IND/LOC: 4 (+1) CON: 0 (-1) Council Now: LAB 64, IND/LOC 10, CON 1. Labour HOLD.
@EchoNickG @BarronMedia @tburgessjourno He owes you guys big time.
That said, some of these are warning signs for the future. If this opposition to Labour builds in the years to come and rallies behind one candidate (realistically, in most cases it'll probably have to be the Lib Dems or the Greens rather than any indy), Lab could be in trouble.
Lincoln Council Result #LE2024: LAB: 8 (+3) LDM: 2 (+1) CON: 1 (-4) Council Now: LAB 23, LDM 5, CON 5. Labour HOLD.
This isn't "mid-term" - they are six months away from getting annihilated unless something changes.
After an all-out assault on migrants as the flagship election narrative. If Sunak’s replaced by someone even more defined by brutal treatment of migrants they’ll keep losing. We don’t want it. If they had half a brain between them they’d focus next 6 months on the NHS. #r4today
Everything that's happening tonight is consistent with the Tories getting their lowest ever seat total in a general election, probably somewhere in the low 100s. They should be very very worried.
A nice man from UCL Hospital called this week, to say a scan of me showed the cancer I had has all gone. The treatment worked, the cancer bottled it and ran off, the wimp.
Huge congratulations to @ChrisWebbMP, the new Labour MP for Blackpool South! 🌹 Chris won with an incredible 26% swing to Labour - the third biggest by-election swing since 1945. People are fed up with the Tories and crying out for change. This government’s days are numbered.
Narrator: The Greens aren’t unionists!
Excl: Bringing down Humza Yousaf was "the worst thing Unionists could have done" ahead of a general election, Professor John Curtice has said. dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/… dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/…