Mitchell Owens @MitchOFInc
married, 3 sons, MBA and doctoral work, 20+ years experience in financial planning; now retired and no longer a CFP® practitioner. Annapolis, MD Joined January 2011-
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World food prices steady in March, UN's FAO says reut.rs/44it1i2
scoop: Microsoft is the unnamed hyperscaler that had been in negotiations with Applied Digital $APLD for a massive data center in North Dakota. $MSFT has backed away from the talks. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
I used the formula and it turns out that I have a substantial trade imbalance with Amazon.
Humanoid robots will be larger than the auto industry within 20 years. —@vkhosla and @peterdiamandis
BREAKING: President Trump has posted on social media regarding a phone call he's just had with the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam. Sky's @GarethBarlow has the details... Live updates ➡️ trib.al/Rej6mXI 📺 Sky 501 and YouTube
*POWELL: ECONOMY STILL IN GOOD PLACE DESPITE HIGH UNCERTAINTY *POWELL: RISKS OF HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT, HIGHER INFLATION ELEVATED *POWELL: ECONOMIC IMPACT OF TARIFFS LIKELY LARGER THAN EXPECTED
People are hanging on the thinnest of reeds here for hope. Gasparino, hearing from non-White House sources that Bessent is trying to *quietly* to *moderate* the tariffs.
SCOOP: I have heard from Wall Street sources close to the Trump White House that @SecScottBessent is trying to moderate--albeit quietly--the president's hard line stance on trade. If he ramps it up it would be the first significant in-house battle in the new administration,
FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR POWELL SAYS TRUMP TARIFFS BIGGER THAN EXPECTED, RISKING HIGHER INFLATION, SLOWER GROWTH
State capture is a broader concept than corruption, since it includes acts that are not against the law, but should be. That is one reason why it is so difficult to overcome econ.st/4lhzwrG
The downturn in Canada's services economy deepened in March as U.S. tariffs and the start of a general election campaign led to an increase in economic uncertainty that cut client spending, S&P Global's Canada services PMI data showed on Thursday. reuters.com/markets/canada…
The NY Fed's measure of inflation persistence (the "multivariate core trend" rate) stood at 3% in February. January was revised up to 3.1% from a previously reported 2.9%. The recent low for this somewhat revision prone series was 2.5% in June.
Never before has an hour of Presidential rhetoric cost so many people so much. Markets continue to move after my previous tweet. The best estimate of the loss from tariff policy is now is closer to $30 trillion or $300,000 per family of four.
The Fed gave us a clear ‘signal’ that wasn’t ‘noise’ today. The 4.4% unemployment rate call for year-end would take it 100 basis points above the cycle low. Back to 1948, that has never happened without an NBER-defined recession. By the time the jobless rate rises this much, the recession has already been in play, to everyone’s surprise each and every time, for five months on both a mean and median basis. The dot plots are still at two cuts for this year, but the historical record suggests that we are going to see a lot more because if past is prescient, the recession nobody believes will rear its ugly head will materialize as early as July. Buy bonds on (price) dips.
India has undermined a popular myth about development (from @TheEconomist) economist.com/finance-and-ec…
China’s alarming sex imbalance (from @TheEconomist) economist.com/china/2025/02/…
Who works where, doing what, in China (from @TheEconomist) economist.com/china/2025/02/…
The last time the % of AAII bears was at this level, the S&P 500 had fallen by 24.1% from its high ... certainly not the case today
January durable goods orders +3.1% m/m vs. +2% est. & -1.8% prior (rev up from -2.2%); orders ex-transportation 0% vs. +0.3% est. & +0.1% prior (rev down from +0.3%)
Per @Redfin , 30.6% of U.S. homes were bought with all cash in December … down from 33.8% year earlier but up from last September’s low
Jessical Smith @JessicalSmgbsf
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NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 ... @NOELreports
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466K Followers 354 Following Founder of Palinuro Capital | Founder of The Macro Compass: Institutional Macro Research
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Wall Street Journal O... @WSJopinion
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