PredictWise @PredictWise

PredictWise aggregates, analyzes, and creates predictions on politics, sports, finance, and entertainment. Also @DavMicRot/@KonitzerTobias PredictWise.com Joined December 2009

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

4 years ago

@PredictWise is hiring a Senior Data Engineer in New York City, San Francisco angel.co/l/2umAJT

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Giovanna Fernandes @gioamorim

5 years ago

This is exactly why I changed careers to #DataScience. I wanted my work to have a positive impact and I’m so glad to be accomplishing this at #PredictWise 👇🏽👩🏽‍💻

tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

This is exactly why I changed careers to #DataScience. I wanted my work to have a positive impact and I’m so glad to be accomplishing this at #PredictWise 👇🏽👩🏽‍💻

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

2/4 Break grounds in combining attitudinal/survey data with behavioral/telemetry data to build stronger, more accurate, more dynamic Machine Learning models of political attitudes

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

4/4 Finding new ways in validating and re-validating our Machine Learning models in the field in rigorous randomized control trials. And, above all, pushing for always-on data pipelines, now that 2020 is (firmly) behind us more important than ever

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

3/4 Re-think identity resolution, and the related precision-recall trade-off, to build high-precision data bases of unregistered Americans and using this data to power text banks with accurate cell-phone numbers, and mobile-first advertising campaigns

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

1/4 In the 2020 cycle, @PredictWise was at the forefront of technological innovation, bringing sophisticated data to bear on behalf of progressives up/down ballots. @NikhGarg has written up all that he and @gioamorim accomplished last year: predictwise.medium.com/what-all-we-di…

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

4/4 Our targeting leads to measurable results (far beyond the typical “we worked with campaign A, and campaign A won”). Together with TruthNotLies, we moved a Trump 2016 universe away from Trump (stat. significant; RCT). Thank you for all @PredictWise to making this possible!

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

2/4 Better targeting: our scores are based on always on survey AND behavioral data collection, dynamic Bayesian Machine Learning built on GPUs, and projection/extrapolation built on CuBLAS, allowing us to score all Americans within hours

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

3/4 Platform independent technology means that our targeting fed right into demand-side platforms, not just Facebook, providing a crucial alternative when Facebook shut down political ads, and performing better

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

1/4 In the 2020 cycle, @PredictWise was active at the national level, and in all major states. We helped progressives w/ 1. Better targeting through machine learning and always-on data collection 2. Platform-independent technology predictwise.medium.com/2020-in-depth-…

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

Check out predictwise.com/careers for open positions @PredictWise !

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

PredictWise is hiring a Senior Data Engineer in New York City, San Francisco angel.co/l/2umAJT

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David Rothschild 🌻 @DavMicRot

5 years ago

4 suggestions Democrats by @KonitzerTobias (1) fund spending off-cycle, rather than all at end of election campaign (2) move digital beyond Facebook for stability & reach (3) understand why voters support causes & parties (4) address them directly & continuously all cycle long

tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

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PredictWise @PredictWise

5 years ago

Our thoughts on what to learn from this election...

tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

Our thoughts on what to learn from this election...

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PredictWise @PredictWise

5 years ago

The whole team @PredictWise has paved the way for a new era of digital outreach, focused on thinking beyond Facebook. Hard to overstate the impact of this work, especially over the last few weeks of the cycle. Thank you!

Nikhil Garg @NikhGarg

5 years ago

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David Rothschild 🌻 @DavMicRot

5 years ago

Hat-tip to @KonitzerTobias @PredictWise who are tracking 250+ questions each week, all geared towards underlying issues & values, to better understand true nature of electorate, rather than fleeting position on short-term policy debates.

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David Rothschild 🌻 @DavMicRot

5 years ago

4 biggest policy issues of 2020: healthcare/COVID, economy, racial justice, climate change. Lots of polls try to capture snapshots of sentiment on these policies. @PredictWise has been tracking underlying sentiment for on these topics for years. Here are a few thoughts:

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

new research @PredictWise : estimating size of news audiences, or the number of viewers for Trump's covid briefing, with surveys just does not work -- behavioral data is needed: thehill.com/opinion/campai…

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tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias

5 years ago

Proud to officially launch SIGNAL, our digital audience builder @PredictWise, allowing you to target at intersection of attitudes & behaviors (real time location? check! Reaching COVID-decree adhering Republicans? check!) Read more here medium.com/@predictwise/s…

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David Rothschild 🌻 @DavMicRot

5 years ago

.@PredictWise has run a battery on risk & investing for a few years, and I am annoyed that this concept of "We all Benefit" from the stock market going up has not shifted in the face of reality: yet.