The Baseball Analyst @ProBaseballData
Luke W. - Data Scientist/Analyst in training. Exploring trends in professional baseball ⚾️📊 Joined September 2023-
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Attack angle and bat speed matter. Steeper attack angles can lead to greater success by wOBA. Is elite bat speed wasted on flat attack angles? Should Caglianone, Walker, Cruz, Adell, and Caminero adjust their angle of attack? #TheBaseballAnalyst @enosarris @ratesandbarrels
New Statcast metrics show different swing profiles can achieve similar results by xwOBA - there is no one best approach. Interesting that top hitters tend to have above average consistency (lower standard deviations) swing-to-swing #TheBaseballAnalyst @enosarris @ratesandbarrels
Is there a handedness advantage for corner outfielders? The results say yes, but is the impact significant? #TheBaseballAnalyst
I built a model with exit velocity and launch angle to simulate average batted ball results over 1000 minor league seasons for Rafael Devers. Some exit velocity/launch angle "buckets", especially those at lower velocities, were less predictable ⚾️ #TheBaseballAnalyst
Surprise, surprise hard-hit balls have greater outcomes of H, XBH, and HR. Also, note the high-variability and unpredictability of batted balls hit at lower exit velocities ⚾️ #TheBaseballAnalyst
How to pitch Rafael Devers (in 2015): Fastballs up and above the zone, backdoor breaking balls from RHP, breaking balls down and below the zone #TheBaseballAnalyst ⚾️
If you want to play the percentages in the MLB Draft, take college position players early and then focus on pitching ⚾️ #TheBaseballAnalyst
Matt Olson will likely be joining this list soon ⚾️🏆
Zack Wheeler was dominant in the '23 postseason... Here are the top 10 single-postseason pitching performances by FIP and K-BB% 👀⚾️
By K-BB% Spencer Strider has been a🦄 dominating the strike zone the last 2 seasons #TheBaseballAnalyst
👀 Rafael Devers 2015 Minor League Batted Ball Data Here are Devers' Major League Totals (Baseball Savant): 11.4 Barrel%, 92.4 EV, 116.7 maxEV, 11.4 LA, 49.3 HH% #TheBaseballAnalyst
From 2015 in low A, to his breakout '19 campaign in Baltimore, John Means increased fastball velocity while maintaining his changeup in the low 80s. This velocity gap (along with adding a slider of similar velo) helped turn the changeup into a weapon! #TheBaseballAnalyst
Are additional rule changes needed to reverse the trend of increasing K rates? Move the mound back to 63' 6" - the middle of the infield diamond #TheBaseballAnalyst
Top 20 MLB single season home run leaders and strikeout rates again, with a few new columns added... #TheBaseballAnalyst
We used R code to create this list of the top 20 MLB single-season home run leaders... 👀 their strikeout rates compared to the league average for that season #TheBaseballAnalyst
Masataka Yoshida's big 1st half of the '23 season was propped up by an absurd number of infield hits #TheBaseballAnalyst
The run expectancy matrix provides insight on efficient base running. Here are the break even success rates for each situation. If the probability the runner will be safe exceeds the percent listed, then GO! #TheBaseballAnalyst
Acuña doesn't always hit fly balls, but when he does it is often a home run. What could his home run totals be if he hit the ball in the air at even a league average rate? #TheBaseballAnalyst
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