ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

NFL statistical analysis. Team ratings & game projections modeled on ratings and associated point value of every NFL player. profootballlogic.com Joined December 2011

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

5 months ago

Does anyone else find it obnoxious that both ESPN & NFL Network commentators see the draft picks before viewers, and then play a silly game of acting like they're predicting who will be taken when they already know full well who was?

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

2 years ago

Our account was hacked and turned into a different username spreading crypto scams for the past week before Twitter corrected it. Apologies to anyone who saw or was confused. Now back to normal.

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

Check out our full NCAA Tournament advancement odds here: profootballlogic.com/sports/college…

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

The list of QBs that have been on their team the longest might be the most shallow in decades, and getting worse: GB Rodgers: 18 yrs LV Carr: 9 DAL Prescott: 7 KC Mahomes: 6 SF Garoppolo: 5.5

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

Team ratings that fit betting lines for this week & Super Bowl champ odds: KC: 4.0 this week for Mahomes inj, 6.5 for SB CIN: 6.5 PHI: 6.0 SF: 6.5

ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

Team ratings that fit betting lines for this week & Super Bowl champ odds: KC: 4.0 this week for Mahomes inj, 6.5 for SB CIN: 6.5 PHI: 6.0 SF: 6.5

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

Jaguars had the penalty to justify it, but even without it going for 2 when down 4 late is probably always the right choice. Make = turns overtime into a W Miss = turns overtime into a W/L gamble of needing 30 more yards

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

Annual reminder that most teams should call way more QB runs/options during the playoffs, as the risk/reward ratio is much different from regular season

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

Every Wild Card game is a rematch: Wk 3: BUF 19 at MIA 21 Wk 15: MIA 29 at BUF 32 Wk 5: CIN 17 at BAL 19 Wk 18: BAL 16 at CIN 27 Wk 3: JAC 38 at LAC 10 Wk 2: SEA 7 at SF 27 Wk 15: SF 21 at SEA 13 Wk 16: NYG 24 at MIN 27 Wk 1: TB 19 at DAL 3

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

These are the team ratings we get if we scale ours in our playoffs model to match betting odds for Super Bowl champ odds & this week's lines.

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

Our playoffs model gives a bit under a 50% chance of the BUF-KC neutral site AFC Championship occurring, and each team's odds of making the Super Bowl about 5% different vs if it would be at KC.

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

Activations of a player off IR (8 allowed): KC - 3 BUF - 1 CIN - 2 JAC - 1 LAC - 3 BAL - 6 MIA - 4 PHI - 7 SF - 8 MIN - 4 TB - 4 DAL - 2 NYG - 6 SEA - 2

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ProFootballLogic @ProFBLogic

3 years ago

A good All-Pro vote would be surveying coaches & players who their toughest personal opponent this year was, based only on the field & film study. (For instance a CB voting for some DT is no better than asking a random fan).