QuantMario @QuantMario
#Bitcoin | Leading Data Science at @glassnode | Ex-Quant and Research Head | Particle Physicist Joined September 2019-
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TL;DR: 🚫 The #Bitcoin Power Law's future price predictions are flawed for two reasons (@Giovann35084111 @dotkrueger ): 1) They ignore USD's future value. 2) Adding a quadratic term fits the data just as well!📈 The #Bitcoin Power Law's attempt at predicting future BTC prices…
First timer: more than a billion USD of net inflows into the US spot #Bitcoin ETFs in a single day.
Yesterday was the most significant inflow into the US spot ETFs, with a total of approximately 18k BTC. Source: studio.glassnode.com/metrics?a=BTC&…
The LG-S2F indicator, originally developed by @QuantMario , is a technical analysis tool designed to analyze the price of Bitcoin (BTC) based on an improved version of the Stock-to-Flow model. tradingview.com/script/XvxQFhG…
This will change everything.
Introducing Cointime Economics, a new framework for #Bitcoin analysis, by @_Checkmatey_ of @glassnode, and @dpuellARK of @ARKInvest This novel framework establishes a new suite of analysis tools, 30+ new metrics, and improved valuation and pricing models get.glassnode.com/cointime-econo…
Removed from the App Store for enabling tipping to everyone in the world without the need for a bank, payment card, or government permission. appleinsider.com/articles/23/06…
On the recent increase of #Bitcoin transactions, and what's driving this 🧵 The number of #BTC on-chain transactions has recently seen an astounding surge, crossing 0.5 million daily transactions, with a record high of 682,000 on May 1st. Chart: glassno.de/3VuwGTL
We have just released a suite of #Bitcoin Price Performance metrics that compare across: - Cycles by Halving, ATH, and Cycle Low - Show Quarterly, Monthly and Weekly performance - Compare to long-term average and ±1σ moves Available live in a dashboard 📊glassno.de/40OoMGB
Approximately 40k $BTC from wallets associated with US Government law enforcement seizures are on the move. Of these, the majority appear to be internal transfers (so far), however approximately 9,861 $BTC seized from the Silk Road hacker have been sent to our Coinbase cluster.
if you think about staking as if it were a stock, it's as-if the company says: if you don't lockup your shares (discouraging selling), the "or else" is they will dilute you. and some of the lockups have no clear end-date. all while management is selling. sounds dodgy.
Verifying my account on nostr My Public Key: npub17cknu4tangzw50qykvj66q5eqkmlsa965nk62camq9yaywjlxqlq6lgg8h Find others at nostr.directory @NostrDirectory #nostr
Will @WClementeIII
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11K Followers 10K Following Empowering #PlebMiners to industry giants, we're your bridge in #Bitcoin mining. North America's one-stop shop for Hardware, Hosting and Repair. Join us!With so many other bullish catalysts coming the rest of the year (election, better macro conditions, etc), I still think you just remain long. But we could still see some strong short term volatility. Expect lower prices but don't panic sell IMO.
@MichaelAArouet As a kid, I loved the Ferrari Testarossa
@alanStacksSats Everyone who knows the number one and the number zero does!
It’s increasingly the case that a lot of good bitcoin apps work in dozens of other countries but not in the United States. The US is kind of slowly firewalling itself from the rest of the world in terms of financial innovation.
On May 3rd, 2024, @PhoenixWallet will be removed from US app stores. Users from the US should empty their wallet: - Settings > Close channels (Android) - Settings > Drain wallet (iOS) We highly recommend *not force-closing* channels, as on-chain fees could be significant.
We're excited to host #Bitcoin for Corporations in Las Vegas next week. Please join @MicroStrategy in person or tune into our livestream to explore the future of $BTC as a capital asset and delve into corporate Bitcoin technology initiatives. microstrategy.com/world-2024/bit…
feels completely unnecessary
On May 3rd, 2024, @PhoenixWallet will be removed from US app stores. Users from the US should empty their wallet: - Settings > Close channels (Android) - Settings > Drain wallet (iOS) We highly recommend *not force-closing* channels, as on-chain fees could be significant.
This is actually a really big deal for traders looking to use onchain data in systematic trading. Profit and loss metrics are the goat, and @glassnode has just shipped a suite with all the great tools, at high resolution, and broken down by age, wallet size, and LTH/STH. Edge.
Glassnode introduces a new suite of 28 cutting-edge On-Chain metrics, adding both holding age, and wallet distribution breakdowns to critical metrics, such as SOPR, MVRV, Realized Profit, and Realized Cap. Discover more in our latest insights article👇 glassno.de/4dhudEL
Me: Another 100 mil straight into the cold storage 💃🏼 Husband: ? Me: 100 milliliters of breastmilk into the freezer
✨ Elon Musk starts selling Tesla's #Bitcoin, exactly 3 years ago. Since then, he's sold 33,000 $BTC... He's missed out on $1.2 BILLION in gains 🤡
This is how stupid and conspiracy-cucked most of y’all sound when you start talking about vax-induced turbo cancers and other shit for which there is no evidence other than chart crime by a guy who thinks water eroded the limestone from the pyramids.
Not a good look for communist cucks like Fred Krueger and for the criminal tyrants whose shit is on his stinky brown lips.
Samourai Wallet Founders Arrested and Charged With Money Laundering. Not a good look for Bitcoin in general.
Nah, it's boring because the real return is effectively zero over 50 years.
The "boring" 8% return in the stock market is only boring because you don't have a lot invested. Getting 8% on a $500,000 portfolio is a $40,000 gain. That is not boring. If you focus on a larger principal amount (aka investing more), the "boring" 8% becomes fun.
Recommend having a look at the latest report from @glassnode, and at their newsletter overall - lots of insights. Great work @UkuriaOC
The fourth #Bitcoin Halving has occurred, leading to a 50% reduction in supply inflation and an inherent increase in issuance scarcity. In this edition, we explore the evolution of the Bitcoin network across Epochs with respect to price performance, and fundamental network…
Just stopped at a grocery store to get some sandwiches. A gentleman is his 70’s stops me at my car, and asks me if I’m wearing a #Bitcoin shirt. I said yes and he proceeds to tell me that he is a Bitcoiner and is on his third trip “up and down,” buying it first in 2015. The…
@Giovann35084111 This type of overreaction is not scientific. I read your Medium blog post, yes. It is not a theory, as you like to say. Earlier I asked why you did not reference the work of Mandelbrot and others who published in the 50s and 60s on the same topic. You told me “it is a draft,…
Gold production going to the moon as technology gets better. Gold has had 6000 years of being scarce. That changed as we moved into the industrial age. #Bitcoin supply growth dropped below gold this week, it's only get scarcer. Yup, this fundamental premise of S2F valuation.
✨ Warren Buffett exactly 1 year ago: "I wouldn't spend $25 to buy all the #Bitcoin in the world." Since then, $BTC is up $500 billion which is why you don't take investment advice from 90 year olds