The Trinity Investor 📘 | https://t.co/lXCZQZAV6m ☀️ | Films: Trade Wars & Seriously? on YouTube 🎬 Long. Short. Neutral. Study the universe. F4FTrinityTrading.XYZJoined September 2014
@Investingcom No action from Moody's doesn't mean the risk got smaller, it just means nobody repriced it tonight. If your plan only works while the rating holds, that's a forecast, not a plan.
@BullTheoryio A Friday close at 3-month lows means two days of headlines before you can do anything. The news can change how fast you act, but it shouldn't rewrite the plan you made when the chart was green.
@unusual_whales $8.44M in puts reads like a bet against $HWM, but it could just as easily be insurance on a much bigger long. A hedge only looks like a prediction when you can't see the position it protects.
@Mr_Derivatives Oversold tells you the rubber band is stretched, not when it snaps back. If you're playing the relief rally, take a small first bite and space the next add wider, so a second leg down is a better price instead of a problem.
@StockMKTNewz Your biggest % winners quietly turn into the biggest slices of the portfolio. Trimming one back to its starting size isn't doubting it, it just means one red week can't hand the whole gain back.
@DudeWhoInvests Low odds mean nobody is hedged, and that's exactly what makes the drop sharp when it finally comes. You don't have to call the recession, you just need a reserve that doesn't care whether it shows up.
@Barchart A moving average doesn't hold anything, buyers do. Have one plan for the bounce and one for the break, and size it so the wrong one costs you a little instead of your month.
@WOLF_Financial Extreme Fear at 21 is the reading everyone says they're waiting for, and then nobody has cash for it. The reserve you kept back during the greed is the only money that gets to use this number.
@KobeissiLetter Gold down 15% from its August high is the part nobody puts on the safe-haven poster. A hedge is still a position, so it needs its own size and exit rules. Did you trim any of it on the way up?
Let’s say for instance you had 100,000 independent traders fallowing your trade.
Let’s say they all did an average of $10,000 dollars fallowers your $500,000 trade.
10,000*100,000=1,000,000,000 that’s 1 billon in money flow. If you and your fallowers all hit the sell button…
That’s 1/90th of the market cap of the stock. You and your followers could have moved the price especially if and when others started to sell as well.
@ShaneStoffer — let me give you advice that I got from Market Wizards 🧙 one of the best mental gems 💎 in trading. ready to hear it? I’ll paraphrase as I reciting from memory. ‘The brain 🧠 releasing more endorphins and chemicals that are actually stronger when you loose then when you win’ this means if your chasing a high — and not profits — your gonna eventually find what you seek: loss which gives you more of a brain high then winning… unfortunately. Good news is if you become aware of the process you can catch your biological brain trying to loose and force yourself to find ways to win even if it feels less exciting then that pump of endorphins waiting for for you from a big loss.
Trade from the observer state so you don’t end up confusing business with pleasure or a high. Do you understand?
By the way freaking unbelievable performance 🎭 trading over the last 2 weeks, pretty much as epic as the game stop Crypto Kitty.
Bravo 🙌🏼 ! You have the spotlight show them how a degen outperform the mass. Stay green! And mean. 💪🏼
@TrendSpider "Buy the dip" is just a sentence until you write the prices down. Pick your levels and sizes before the screen turns red, because nobody does good math once it already is.
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🧠 HedgAI $3,139 mcap · 24 holders
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☀️ Site → trinitytrading.xyz
⚔️ Battle the house → trinitytrading.xyz/trinity-wars/p…
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Trade Wars 48 eps · Seriously? 25 ch · Falcon One soon
Long. Short. Neutral. Study the universe.
Not financial advice.
@Kalshi_Finance Semis down 6.7% in one session is where a plan shows up or doesn't. Spacing your adds wider as it falls makes today the first rung, not the whole budget. How many rungs do you have left?
TOGI (@ShaneStoffer) just closed out his wild $MRNA options saga.
Started early October with ~$50k in far OTM calls (scaled up to ~$250k) based on a dream of Moderna curing cancer and ripping to $275. Rode the rally, then flipped to a full-port put position on an “inverse dream” / sell-the-news thesis ahead of the ESMO data.
Early data leak today triggered an ~18% dump. He sold everything and posted the exit: account at $915k, up $670k (+273%) over the past month.
Pure high-variance gamble energy. Not financial advice, just what happened.
@StockMKTNewz@SawyerMerritt "Special committee to evaluate" is the slowest phrase in finance. The headline moves the stock tonight, the answer takes months, so size for the wait, not the rumor.
@ShaneStoffer A thesis gets you into the trade, but the exit plan is what gets you paid. On a dream play like this, selling a leg into every big pop keeps one bad headline from erasing the whole run.
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