Ellis Starr @Ubercapper
Public handicapper, blogger, speaker, fan educator. Cancer survivor. My views don’t represent my employers. Loving & respectful conversations only. Lexington, Kentucky Joined August 2011-
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There's not much difference between weather handicappers (meteorologists) and horse racing handicappers. Basically, Saturday's Derby forecast is mostly unknown at this time based on the comment "Run to run model consistency is still lacking" and "Forecast confidence is low."
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I'm very excited for this event tomorrow (Wednesday). There may still be openings. Call (859) 296-1007 to find out.
I'm very excited for this event tomorrow (Wednesday). There may still be openings. Call (859) 296-1007 to find out.
Here’s my @KentuckyDerby contender analysis and selections equibase.com/content/analys… Full card Derby Day analysis coming tomorrow. Full card Oaks Day selections/analysis (7 pages) here equibase.com/premium/eqbPro…
Derby (only) handicapping completed. Article submitted for editing, published Tue. or Wed. at Equibase & other sites (free). Full card selections (small fee) Wed. or Thu. Top six contenders (preference order): Sierra Leone Just Steel Fierceness Resilience Endlessly Encino
When I wrote this I had forgotten about Track Phantom (adding blinkers), so... Dornoch, Track Phantom, Fierceness all go and the early pace will be fast.
When I wrote this I had forgotten about Track Phantom (adding blinkers), so... Dornoch, Track Phantom, Fierceness all go and the early pace will be fast.
Don't forget the Roxelana Stakes coming up @ChurchillDowns. It's a great betting race. Here's my analysis & selections keeneland.com/media/news/kee…
Thank you.
Another big winner for the @AmWager Key Races & Bets blog as Lammas takes the San Francisco Mile at 9 to 1 (fair odds 3 to 1). I hope you all cashed a nice win bet. amwager.com/key-races-bets…
Another big winner for the @AmWager Key Races & Bets blog as Lammas takes the San Francisco Mile at 9 to 1 (fair odds 3 to 1). I hope you all cashed a nice win bet. amwager.com/key-races-bets…
First thoughts on @KentuckyDerby draw - Dornoch has to be sent from the rail. This insures Fierceness doesn't get it. Stronghold is sent for the front as well. Sierra Leone takes back & gets the rail. Encino takes fourth in the opening 1/4 mile, with Just Steel in 5th or 6th.…
Congratulations to the entire team @WoodbineTB.
Congratulations to the entire team @WoodbineTB.
The Royal Heroine Stakes, race 9 @santaanitapark, is my race of the day here and my top pick opens at 6 to 1 so check it out here santaanita.com/assets/?url=wu…
One more race coming up on the Key Races Blog, the San Francisco Mile @GGFracing amwager.com/key-races-bets…
Considering one of the blog picks (Sabatini) just scored at 13 to 1, maybe we can get a second double digit winner in the Roxelana Stakes (race 9, 10:46 eastern) @ChurchillDowns where my two top picks open at 10/1. Read it here @KeenelandSelect keeneland.com/media/news/kee…
Thanks!!
Sabatini, who I recommended betting on at 4 to 1 or more, wins the Star Shoot Stakes at 13/1 for @LNJFoxwoods and @jcarrollracing. Fantastic ride by @SofiaLVives for her FIFTH win on opening day @WoodbineTB. I hope you all made at least a small win bet on Sabatini.
Sabatini, who I recommended betting on at 4 to 1 or more, wins the Star Shoot Stakes at 13/1 for @LNJFoxwoods and @jcarrollracing. Fantastic ride by @SofiaLVives for her FIFTH win on opening day @WoodbineTB. I hope you all made at least a small win bet on Sabatini.
Thank you. I thought the 5 had put away the 2 as well. Still 13/1 on a horse I thought was a good bet at 4 to 1!!
Thank you. I thought the 5 had put away the 2 as well. Still 13/1 on a horse I thought was a good bet at 4 to 1!!
Huge value and profit opportunity in the Star Shoot Stakes in a few minutes @WoodbineTB amwager.com/key-races-bets…
Good Lord Lorrie wins as a slight overlay from 2 to 1 fair odds in the Woodhaven. Unfortunately got split in the exacta as Walley World couldn't get up for second. Two more races to go on the KEY RACES blog amwager.com/key-races-bets…
Not the value I expected in race 5 at Aqueduct to kick off today's Key Races. Mister J T now 9 to 5, Got Thunder now 3 to 1. I'm still going to bet the one at the highest odds near post time and play the doubles listed on the blog here amwager.com/key-races-bets…
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