David Aragona @HorseToWatch
🏇 Horse Racing + @DailyRacingForm handicapper / TimeformUS PPs + Morning Lines for @TheNYRA tracks + TimeformUS podcast host Joined February 2012-
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My TimeformUS Picks & Plays for Saturday at Aqueduct are posted. nyra.com/aqueduct/racin…
I doubt I'll be doing a Horses to Watch next week, but at least I now have one horse for the next show.
The Friday @TimeformUS Highlight Horse comes in Race 6 at Aqueduct. Who is the play for @HorseToWatch ? ⬇️ ⬇️ drf.com/news/friday-ti…
Will this year's #KentuckyDerby really be a two-horse race? @MattRybaltowski discusses this scenario with Daily Racing Form handicapper @HorseToWatch. usbets.com/kentucky-derby…
And to be clear, there are quite a few horses who should have been much higher than 33/1 (and would have in the past) in the 5 Triple Crown events since Rich Strike won the Derby.
This talk about Fierceness being 2/1 or lower in the Derby largely hinges on how the rest of the field gets bet. Since Rich Strike, no horse has gone off higher than 33/1 in a Triple Crown race. If that trend continues, highly unlikely anyone is under 5/2. The math doesn't work.
Barksdale looking like a future stakes horse there. The track is obviously pretty quick today, but that was smoking.
What I’ll say about Fierceness’s workout is that it’s important to view it in context of his typical morning work (always “wow”). And the same goes for his partner Agate Road, for that matter (usually “meh”).
We unfortunately have to skip today’s TimeformUS Forecast, but @TimeformUSfigs and I will be back on the podcast next week with a deep dive into the Kentucky Derby field. Please leave us any questions you want us answer.
My TimeformUS Picks & Plays for Friday at Aqueduct are posted. nyra.com/aqueduct/racin…
Congratulations, @DRF_DanIllman. So well deserved!
Congratulations, @DRF_DanIllman. So well deserved!
Who is going to be leading after a quarter mile in the Kentucky Derby?
Which of these mid-tier prices is most likely to win the Kentucky Derby?
The Thursday @TimeformUS Highlight Horse comes in Race 5 at Aqueduct. Who is the play for @HorseToWatch ? ⬇️ ⬇️ drf.com/news/thursday-…
🏇👀 On a new Horses to Watch, I look back at trip and pace dynamics in 3 races from last week, one at Keeneland and two at Aqueduct. youtube.com/watch?v=DbTXdb…
📺 Here's the final edition of @DailyRacingForm Derby Watch for 2024. @BradFree1 and I discuss what might change between now and the draw. We also analyze potential pace scenarios and preview how we might approach the race as handicappers. youtube.com/watch?v=_YswJJ…
My TimeformUS Picks & Plays for Thursday at Aqueduct are posted. nyra.com/aqueduct/racin…
📺 This week's TimeformUS Pacecast is out. @TimeformUSfigs and I recap last week's racing including the Oaklawn Handicap, Elkhorn, Ben Ali, turf racing in NY, and more. Watch on YouTube to see us go through the TFUS charts and watch the replays. youtube.com/watch?v=S3AlAX…
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@HorseToWatch @TimeformUSfigs Any notice about Encino s rider?
@HorseToWatch @TimeformUSfigs Any suggestions for comparing the speed and class of forever young to the non shippers. I think last year Derma Sorake looked good and was added to the pace projector any thoughts for this year?
Will this year's #KentuckyDerby really be a two-horse race? @MattRybaltowski discusses this scenario with Daily Racing Form handicapper @HorseToWatch. usbets.com/kentucky-derby…
@trifectabox @HorseToWatch Man, imagine Todd's scowl at me when I bring up his 2-64 record in the Derby.
@HorseToWatch David, a 2yo champion on dirt better “outwork” a turf horse. Otherwise, the Headline would have been much different.
@HorseToWatch Also, if you go back and read what connections and railbirds said before Fierceness’s duds, you would see the same hyberbole
@HorseToWatch 4 options in a poll and they’re all in the 20%’s is an incredible poll. Wish the guy doing the NYRA morning line was this good
@HorseToWatch They all could, post position is going to force someone to be pushed harder if out wide.
@HorseToWatch Thanks, David. That means a great deal.
@HorseToWatch They also are doing everything they can to get him used to the kickback at CD. They are anticipating that he may be in behind horses depending on draw and are being proactive. Somehow that has become a big negative narrative but after the Derby it may look like great training :-)
@HorseToWatch At one turn, his record was 18 12-4-1. Nowadays, he would've had an amazing career as a one turn specialist.
@HorseToWatch Nothing like running a horse in the Met Mile right before the Belmont after running in the Derby and Preakness
@HorseToWatch Agree 100%! His main goal in 1988 was the BC Sprint, but Lukas did a great job running him in races like the Californian and Iselin to get him some bottom, ran a good second in the Vosburgh…trainers lived by a schedule, didn’t fear losing a race. The goal was the focus.
What is the reason for a horse that won 10 grade races (7 G1)? Don’t enter the hall of fame? @HorseToWatch
This is some set of past performances. Sure, he wasn't always a win machine, but he was competitive at the top level in races from 6F out to classic distances, mixing it up with all the champions of his time. A BC Sprint winner who was 3rd in the Belmont Stakes!
@HorseToWatch Such a shame❗️That’s why we did a short feature on him @TheNYRA Gulch also sired @KentuckyDerby @BelmontStakes and #TraversStakes winner Thunder Gulch 💪⭐️ #OnAndOffTheTrack