The Sun Sets @WhyThough623
I sometimes think about AGI/ASI Joined September 2013-
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two couples sitting in this airport lounge have both clearly planned their European summers via ChatGPT both keep referring to “hidden secrets” and “off the beaten path” spots and are slowly becoming aware of the other. most people are way more captured than you could imagine
You never really know how good someone is until you see how they act in a situation where they'd be rewarded for cruelty. This is why I have no tolerance for people who are mean online but nice in person.
The AI's ability to flatter you and pretend to be your friend is currently in the "grotesque fingers" stage. Remember how long that stage lasted?
High-agency actors with immense political power lead the ASI race. Expect norm-breaking moves as we approach the finish line. Don't be surprised by violence. Think Caesar and Pompey, not Gates and Jobs.
Kurzweil's AGI prediction succeeded because: 1. Moore’s law held for transistor density 2. Intelligence is achieved via sufficiently large blob of learnable parameters in a simple architecture I always thought P(#2) was only 25% and Kurzweil a 🤡, but in retrospect I am humbled.
Good news: virtual elimination of a flu season in the southern hemisphere for 2020 economist.com/graphic-detail… @TheEconomist
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us." -J.R.R. Tolkien (The Fellowship of the Rings)
The best time to buy is when the majority of investors get angry when you say you are buying.
My 2c is that we just shouldn't have certain medical patents because they are too expensive (often impossible) to enforce. Instead, govt/docs/interests should just make a list of inventions they need, and govt should just award huge cash prize to inventor (ie buy patent upfront)
My 2c is that we just shouldn't have certain medical patents because they are too expensive (often impossible) to enforce. Instead, govt/docs/interests should just make a list of inventions they need, and govt should just award huge cash prize to inventor (ie buy patent upfront)
Seems inevitable at this point
The secret to getting rich is hard work, ingenuity, and being born in an era where your peak savings years align with a historic bull market.
The next crisis is likely to arrive w/out a warning. Prices used to be the proverbial canaries that flashed red in advance but no more - central banks got all of the "canaries" (repos, stocks, bonds, etc) hooked up to oxygen & they will keep chirping happy tunes to the very end.
You know, if we built more nuclear power plants, maybe America wouldn't have to work as the enforcer for an oppressive, patriarchal, terrorist-funding theocracy that despises our most fundamental values.
Remember to ignore all market moves that do not confirm your bias, and highlight those that do. That's how you make money trading.
You know something's wrong when... over 10% of global debt is charging you money to own it.

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