Abacus Data @abacusdataca
Canada's most sought-after, influential, and impactful polling & market research firm. abacusdata.ca Toronto, Ottawa, + the world Joined June 2010-
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Going to do a deep dive on the NDP using 8,700 interviews from @abacusdataca polling over on my newsletter. Is the NDP doomed? Will an election change things? How is the NDP positioned today compared with a year before 2019 and 2021? Subscribe, link in my bio #cdnpoli
For context: Average NDP vote share in elections Since 1958 - 16.4% Since 1984 - 16.8% Since 2004 - 19.4% Today's polling average according to @338Canada is - 18%. The NDP is doing no better or worse than it historically has.
For context: Average NDP vote share in elections Since 1958 - 16.4% Since 1984 - 16.8% Since 2004 - 19.4% Today's polling average according to @338Canada is - 18%. The NDP is doing no better or worse than it historically has.
Stephen Harper (2014) vs. Justin Trudeau (2024) 18 months before the next federal election Positive: Harper - 30% Trudeau - 25% Neutral: Harper - 23% Trudeau - 17% Negative: Harper - 43% Trudeau - 57% Source: @abacusdataca polling
Now let's look at where votes are flowing out to. Vote Outflow from 2021 to today Liberal = 27% 🔵CPC 14% 🔴LPC 59% 🟠NDP 9% ⚜️BQ 2% 🟢GPC 2% 🟣PPC 1% ❔UND 14% Conservative = 28% 🔵CPC 89% 🔴LPC 3% 🟠NDP 1% ⚜️BQ 1% 🟢GPC 1% 🟣PPC 1% ❔UND 4% NDP = 15% 🔵CPC 12% 🔴LPC 4%…
What has happened to the NDP vote is interesting. It has gain 9% of past LPC voters, but has lost 12% of its own to the Conservatives. In other words, the NDP lost 2% of its vote share to the Conservatives but has gain 2% of Liberal share which is why it has held fairly steady…
Let's look at where current vote intentions are coming from. Vote Share Composition: Based on 2021 voting behaviour of those likely to vote Conservative = 41% 🔵CPC 29.1% 🔴LPC 4.1% 🟠NDP 1.8% ⚜️BQ 0.8% 🟢GPC 0.1% 🟣PPC 1.6% ❌DNV 3.3% Liberal = 21% 🔵CPC 0.9% 🔴LPC 18.2%…
For #cdnpoli enthusiasts and political managers, a 🧵on some aggregated polling data for you. Exploring voter flows from 2021 to today using four of our most recent @abacusdataca surveys from March 11 to April 28 (includes data from a survey we are currently fielding and should…
Over the next 4 to 6 weeks, Team @abacusdataca will be focused on all things health, wellness, and healthcare. This week we released some new data on how Canadians feel about healthcare in Canada. In the same survey, we asked whether people had access to a family doctor. 1 in…
Abacus Data is proud to support cycling in various ways. One of which is supporting Canadian & Ottawa-native Carson Miles as he races in Europe. Here's his April by the numbers! 67+ hours in the saddle is a lot!
In our last @abacusdataca #cdnpoli survey, we asked Canadians which of Trudeau or Poilievre is better at different scenarios. I think the results are insightful and tell us that Canadians believe the kitchen is on fire and right now are looking for someone who can put it out.…
ICYMI: Our latest #cdnpoli poll Trudeau vs. Poilievre – Who is better at hosting a party or putting out a kitchen fire? Plus, Conservative maintain 20-point lead. abacusdata.ca/trudeau-poilie…
ICYMI: Our latest #cdnpoli poll Trudeau vs. Poilievre – Who is better at hosting a party or putting out a kitchen fire? Plus, Conservative maintain 20-point lead. abacusdata.ca/trudeau-poilie…
On CTV Power Play with @VassyKapelos last night talking about reaction to the budget and impact on #cdnpoli
Bridging the Gap: Addressing Healthcare Confidence and Accessibility in Canada Eddie Sheppard kicks off our month+ long look at public perceptions about the healthcare system, health, and wellness abacusdata.ca/addressing-hea…
Team @abacusdataca Chair & CEO @DavidColetto was on @CTVNews Power Play last night talking about the public reaction to the federal budget and #cdnpoli. Tune in here: youtube.com/watch?v=ENAVUw…
ICYMI: Our latest #cdnpoli poll Trudeau vs. Poilievre – Who is better at hosting a party or putting out a kitchen fire? Plus, Conservative maintain 20-point lead. abacusdata.ca/trudeau-poilie…
KEY INSIGHT: Among 18 to 29 year olds, the 27% approve and 48% disapprove of the federal government’s job performance. Compared with the average over the first three months of 2024, approval is up 1 and disapproval is down 11. This is a noticeable decline in “disapproval” and…
Latest @abacusdataca conducted prior to Tuesday’s budget but while all big announcements made 🔵 CPC 43 🔴 LPC 23 🟠 NDP 18 abacusdata.ca/trudeau-poilie… #cdnpoli
Great listen on @petermansbridge ‘s podcast this week. One quibble - @ChantalHbert you said that Leger’s last poll was substantially different than the @abacusdataca poll in Quebec. But that’s not the case at all. @bruceanderson 👇
So happy to join!
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77K Followers 726 Following Your Canadian Public Aggregator For Polling, Data, and Other Related Canadian Content // 338Canada Contributor // Consider Supporting: https://t.co/93gDMtcjn9David Coletto @DavidColetto
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748 Followers 837 FollowingFor context: Average NDP vote share in elections Since 1958 - 16.4% Since 1984 - 16.8% Since 2004 - 19.4% Today's polling average according to @338Canada is - 18%. The NDP is doing no better or worse than it historically has.
Going to do a deep dive on the NDP using 8,700 interviews from @abacusdataca polling over on my newsletter. Is the NDP doomed? Will an election change things? How is the NDP positioned today compared with a year before 2019 and 2021? Subscribe, link in my bio #cdnpoli
Going to do a deep dive on the NDP using 8,700 interviews from @abacusdataca polling over on my newsletter. Is the NDP doomed? Will an election change things? How is the NDP positioned today compared with a year before 2019 and 2021? Subscribe, link in my bio #cdnpoli
Love love love Sundays. Especially when it’s 22 degrees Especially when I can ride my bike outside Especially when I’m riding it in @NCC_GatPark
For #cdnpoli enthusiasts and political managers, a 🧵on some aggregated polling data for you. Exploring voter flows from 2021 to today using four of our most recent @abacusdataca surveys from March 11 to April 28 (includes data from a survey we are currently fielding and should…
In our last @abacusdataca #cdnpoli survey, we asked Canadians which of Trudeau or Poilievre is better at different scenarios. I think the results are insightful and tell us that Canadians believe the kitchen is on fire and right now are looking for someone who can put it out.…
On CTV Power Play with @VassyKapelos last night talking about reaction to the budget and impact on #cdnpoli
Latest @abacusdataca conducted prior to Tuesday’s budget but while all big announcements made 🔵 CPC 43 🔴 LPC 23 🟠 NDP 18 abacusdata.ca/trudeau-poilie… #cdnpoli
@DavidColetto @abacusdataca This reminds me a little of the Brazeau-Trudeau boxing match. Great questions for a survey. Or a charity event! Would watch them putting up a shelf; putting out a kitchen fire; being the navigator for a road trip; negotiating a discount...
If you don’t think most Canadians have developed a sense of who they think Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre is, this @abacusdataca survey should convince you otherwise. Full poll results: abacusdata.ca/trudeau-poilie…
If you know @KerryPattersonB than you know she’s amazing. And this makes her even better! Thanks for sharing
I absolutely LOVE everything about this story. Thank you @KerryPattersonB for talking about Freedom 55 or why aging is awesome - The Honest Talk thehonesttalk.ca/honest-thought…
Thanks for giving me the chance to share some data and insights on #cdnpoli and #skpoli
@DavidColetto of @abacusdataca presenting #SUMA2024 @SUMAConnect Great speaker!
Thanks for the hospitality Regina! Loved meeting dozens of municipal leaders from across SK with @SUMAConnect
Taking a cue from a @JLPartnersPolls poll in the 🇬🇧, @abacusdataca is in the field asking Canadians... Who of Justin Trudeau or Pierre Poilievre would be better at…? 🪛 Putting up a shelf ❔ Solving an escape room 🦃 Making Thanksgiving dinner 👶 Babysitting your kids 💰…
So thrilled to join @VassyKapelos on her show this evening to discuss @abacusdataca's latest #cdnpoli poll.
Thanks for working with Team @abacusdataca and for welcoming me to the convention in Vancouver
At #COFI2024, @DavidColetto, Chair and CEO of Abacus Data (@abacusdataca) led the conversation “From Crisis to Consensus: How Wildfires are Changing the Public Conversation on Forestry in BC”. This session was moderated by David Elstone, Managing Director, Spar Tree Group.…
Great listen on @petermansbridge ‘s podcast this week. One quibble - @ChantalHbert you said that Leger’s last poll was substantially different than the @abacusdataca poll in Quebec. But that’s not the case at all. @bruceanderson 👇
Next week I’m coming to Regina and then going to Washington DC. Excited to speak at the @SUMAConnect annual conference and university presidents at a @univcan There’s so much happening and keeping a pulse of and analyzing public perceptions and opinion is challenging and so…
More coverage of the latest Team @abacusdataca poll on @CityNewsTO #cdnpoli
Big housing announcement yesterday from the federal government. Was asked for my thoughts based on our polling, especially as it relates to young people. Here's the segment on @GlobalNational last night. #cdnpoli #housing
Redefining Loyalty: Understanding Canadians’ Relationship with Financial Institutions Team @abacusdataca continues to explore the opportunities and threats posed by open banking to both legacy institutions and the rising FinTech universe. abacusdata.ca/redefining-loy…