MARKETS PRICE IN A SHORT U.S. SHUTDOWN
Prediction markets now peg a government shutdown at roughly 4.8 days, up from earlier forecasts. Kalshi’s chart shows a steady rise, signaling traders expect a brief disruption rather than a prolonged standoff.
Historically, shutdowns are short-lived due to political pressure, economic impacts, and public backlash. Markets see limited risk—but the upward trend reflects growing congressional uncertainty.
Live updates: 👇
kalshi.com/markets/kxgovs…
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