Arvind Subramanian @arvindsubraman
Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics; Former Chief Economic Adviser, Govt. of India Cambridge, MA Joined September 2011-
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Pure gold. @MagnusCarlsen 's thoughts on: the Candidates @DGukesh 's "ambitious" style, why he "deserved" to win @rpraggnachess, his openings, strengths, his game w/ Gukesh "bluffy" lines of play whether @DingLiren will revert to his best & lots more open.spotify.com/episode/1eRgSZ…
@samirsrivastava @rodrikdani & @arvindsubraman have a classic paper on this distinction.
Terrific piece. . .How important Is the econ uncertainty Modi (Hindu nationalism) poses? SInce relegated to the very end, not much? Honest question....
Terrific piece. . .How important Is the econ uncertainty Modi (Hindu nationalism) poses? SInce relegated to the very end, not much? Honest question....
Making my way through @amitvarma's magnus opus with my friend, the economist @rohlamba. Was struck by this particular section where Rohit talks about his mentors (at the 3:48:40 mark), including some we share like Devesh Kapur @arvindsubraman open.spotify.com/episode/57dHBW…
A really insightful interview by @sagarchess1 with @DGukesh 's trainer Grzegorz Gajewski on the chess and non-chess dimensions of Gukesh's performance, preparation and talent; on openings and the evolution in chess; and also on the trainer's role: youtube.com/watch?v=-h2RXi…
Chess history: @DGukesh wins the 2024 Candidates Chess tournament, the youngest ever The baton passes from @vishy64theking @DGukesh and @DingLiren will compete for the world title Re-upping my @ProSyn piece of of 3 years ago on the rise of Indian chess: project-syndicate.org/commentary/ind…
An exciting & potentially historic day today for Indian chess as @DGukesh leads heading into final round of the Candidates @sagarchess1 has a terrific post after yesterday’s win against @AlirezaFirouzja The final round is a must watch on @ChessbaseIndia w/ @AmrutaMokal & Sagar
A piece by @FelmanJosh and me "Is India Really the Next China?" in the latest issue of @ForeignPolicy which is devoted to India: foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/08/is-… (paywall kicks in after one article)
I love this "negative tariffs" idea from @JustinSandefur & @arvindsubraman, such a simple and elegant new proposal cgdev.org/publication/lo…
“The AGOA Renewal and Improvement Act" Last week @ChrisCoons & @SenatorRisch dropped a new AGOA renewal bill. A couple reactions... foreign.senate.gov/press/rep/rele…
Piece by @FelmanJosh and me in today's @bsindia on what the recently released NSS consumption estimates in India imply for consumption and GDP numbers in the national income accounts: business-standard.com/opinion/column…. Ungated version attached
@CGDev In our paper with @arvindsubraman we outline a couple ambitious tweaks Congress might consider: 1. *Negative tariffs* for some African products to restore the region's tariff advantage to what it was 20 years ago 2. Reorienting the @DFCgov's work in the region to manufacturing
“As for the economy, it is true that the Chinese experience of the last 40 years was a very specific type of miracle that is unlikely to be replicated. Even so, there is a case for India because it is no longer the economically constrained giant that it once was.” 1/17
“As for the economy, it is true that the Chinese experience of the last 40 years was a very specific type of miracle that is unlikely to be replicated. Even so, there is a case for India because it is no longer the economically constrained giant that it once was.” 1/17
#Opinion | NSS data's implications on GDP estimates are significant. Discrepancies with NIA underscore the need for precise measurement of consumption trends. Policymakers must address these complexities for effective policy formulation, write @FelmanJosh & @arvindsubraman…
Despite the favorable portents, any declaration of India displacing China is premature, @FelmanJosh and @arvindsubraman write in the latest FP print issue. foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/08/is-…
Looking forward to chairing @arvindsubraman in Princeton next week..
Looking forward to chairing @arvindsubraman in Princeton next week..
Despite favorable portents, declaring India displacing China is premature. Encouraging signs are not yet convincingly reflected in economic data & government policies remain inadequate to realize new opportunities, write @arvindsubraman & @FelmanJosh:foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/08/is-…
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EMISSIONS not jobs: Fascinating that in @FT two-parter on Bidenomics & ensuing debate with @DanielaGabor the climate policy impact barely features. ft.com/content/1c6be8… At same moment as @JesseJenkins publish striking report on real importance. repeatproject.org/docs/REPEAT_Cl…
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My latest Substack post on what crossed connections and wrong numbers (and their disappearance) in Hindi cinema tells us about Indian political economy. A story in 18 movie clips. srajagopalan.substack.com/p/sorry-wrong-…
Oh my god. What a loss. The creator, effectively, of “global poverty” as a concept. RIP
So sad to hear of the tragic loss of @MartinRavallion — pioneering poverty researcher, one of the most influential economists of the @WorldBank, and a respected @Georgetown professor. His contribution to our understanding of development was truly enormous.
Here is a 🧵@arvindsubraman wrote on our paper, highlighting the key ideas. It Is an overview of political economy developments and puzzles in India in recent times. @TheEconomist picks up the part on regional divergence in this week’s edition: economist.com/asia/2022/10/2…
Lead paper @rohlamba & me @AEAjournals symposium on India: pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10…. “Constituting 1/7th of humanity, fissured horizontally by region, religion ..ossified vertically by caste & patriarchy, India is as much subcontinent of quasi-sovrgn states as unitary country” 1/n
Good piece on the Indian economy from @arvindsubraman et al: "India’s opportunities, driven by geopolitics and the slowdown of China, are huge" but "[c]aution, perhaps even tinged with concern—not complacency— is the more appropriate sentiment for now.
An assessment of the Indian economy by @abhishekecon, @FelmanJosh and me in @bsindia trying to reconcile disparate signals: business-standard.com/article/opinio… 1/
Despite India's post-pandemic recovery, vulnerabilities remain. And the last chart in this thread suggests that macro-economic vulnerabilities could be higher than what is being acknowledged. (Must add I have less faith in the IIP than the authors)
An assessment of the Indian economy by @abhishekecon, @FelmanJosh and me in @bsindia trying to reconcile disparate signals: business-standard.com/article/opinio… 1/
As you can see in the photos, for the first time that I know of (& I guess the last time), we got to see Andy Murray, Novak Djokovic, Rafa Nadal and Roger Federer jamming on a court together. I truly am grateful I got to see this. @jamescrabtree @arvindsubraman @Being_Max 2/3
#China risks becoming more dependent on exports at a time when prospects for exports are dimming, write @arvindsubraman and @FelmanJosh. The Chinese growth model may therefore be in even more serious trouble than many believe. bit.ly/3zMWGz5
@arvindsubraman @arjun_jayadev Thanks for the kind words Arvind. @econanand and Tamoghna Halder along with @AkbarANoman are the kartadhartas of AGW :)
Thanks for the kind words @arvindsubraman . It was really wonderful to have you here!
What @arjun_jayadev @amitbasole and colleagues are doing through this workshop in mentoring, pedagogy and creating an international and supportive community of researchers is truly special.
White House: "The true global toll is probably much higher [than 5 million]... For example, some estimates put the true death toll in India alone in excess of 4 million (Anand, Sandefur, and Subramanian 2021)." whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
The Great Indian Poverty Debate, 2.0 A new World Bank paper says Indian poverty has fallen, but is higher than we thought. A rival study from India's IMF rep says India, like China, is approaching zero poverty. I tried to parse the debate: cgdev.org/blog/great-ind… 1/
12 more days to apply for the AGW in Bangalore! PhD students from anywhere in the world are welcome. Please consider applying. Some wonderful lecturers already set up. cc: @marialopezuribe @maitreesh @arvindsubraman @rajivatbarnard @Jayati1609 @jccardenas1965 @JosephEStiglitz
On the Indian economy: Fabulous discussion between @Noahpinion and @arvindsubraman based on empirical facts and their potential driving mechanisms. Please do give it a read.
I interviewed @arvindsubraman all about India's economy!! noahpinion.substack.com/p/interview-ar…
In which @arvindsubraman offers an insightful decadal analysis of India's economic growth.
India's development is one of the most important economic stories in the world. Read this interview with @arvindsubraman in order to understand it better. noahpinion.substack.com/p/interview-ar…
@arvindsubraman to @Noahpinion: For nearly 25 years, India's development model was basically E.Asian with one important difference... export growth, even in manufacturing, was based on skill-intensive activities (even though it's a labour-surplus economy) noahpinion.substack.com/p/interview-ar…
My India 101 class at @BrownUniversity this semester, concentrating on the birth of modern India after two centuries of British rule, India's democracy & its recent backsliding, management of ethnic diversity, & political economy | Here is the syllabus | documentcloud.adobe.com/link/review?ur…
A 5-minute video to explain our @ScienceMagazine estimate of ~3M COVID deaths in 2020/21 in India youtube.com/watch?v=pMR2cS… @UnityHealthTO @Rukmini @arvindsubraman @anup_malani @ArielKarlinsky @ChinmayTumbe @paimadhu @MoHFW_INDIA @CensusIndia2021 @KaranThapar_TTP @cdavidnaylor