Col meechan @cocochel1

Trump to the UN: “I’m really good at this stuff. Your countries are going to hell.” One of the most embarrassing & humiliating moments in American history.

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Joni Askola @joni_askola

a year ago

How long until Trump does a 180 on Ukraine once again?

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Decodïng Trolls @DecodingTrolls

a year ago

⚡️Russia to split into 5-6 new sovereign states unions - by March 2026. In this December 2025 scenario, republics act as "leaders" bartering bilaterally at first, but winter desperation (freezing temps, food riots) pushes toward formal unions by spring 2026. Predictions assume: (1) Self-sufficiency as the core criterion—new states need balanced resources (energy + food + water + ports/minerals) to withstand sanctions/isolation; (2) Proximity and cultural ties reduce integration costs; (3) Dissolution accelerates if federal aid fails (e.g., Putin regime collapse); (4) Smaller unions (2-5 republics) form first for agility, avoiding overstretch. Larger federal remnants (e.g., Moscow + central oblasts) aren't considered here, as focus is on republican alliances. I predict 5-6 new sovereign states emerging from these symbioses, covering ~60% of republics. Each is designed for ~80% self-sufficiency: e.g., 50%+ domestic energy, diverse food sources, defensible borders. Probabilities based on resource fit (high=80%+ chance), logistics, and historical autonomy movements (e.g., Tatarstan's 1990s independence push). Continued from tweet above.., 3. **Chechnya ↔ Dagestan** (North Caucasus) - **Chechnya**: Oil (Grozny fields), some gas; limited arable land but mountain pastures for livestock. - **Dagestan**: Agriculture (fruits, grains, wine), fisheries (Caspian Sea), hydro; minor oil. - **Symbiosis**: Chechnya provides oil for Dagestan's food/fish. Cultural/ethnic ties (Caucasus Muslims) and roads aid barter. Combined pop. ~3M; counters food scarcity with diverse microclimates. 4. **Komi ↔ Khabarovsk Krai** (but republics: Komi ↔ Mari El) - **Komi**: Oil/gas (Timan-Pechora basin), coal, timber; poor soils for farming. - **Mari El**: Agriculture (potatoes, grains, dairy), timber; no energy. - **Symbiosis**: Komi's fuels/timber for Mari El's food. Volga-Ural proximity. Combined pop. ~1.5M; balances northern energy with central farming. 5. **Buryatia ↔ Kalmykia** (East-West Contrast) - **Buryatia**: Coal, gold, timber (near Lake Baikal); livestock and grains. - **Kalmykia**: Vast steppes for livestock (sheep, cattle—Russia's top per capita); arid, no energy/minerals. - **Symbiosis**: Buryatia's coal/minerals for Kalmykia's meat/dairy. Trans-Siberian rail connects despite distance. Combined pop. ~1.3M; steppe-northern food-energy loop. Other notable but less immediate pairs: Yakutia ↔ Chukotka (Arctic minerals/gas for fisheries/reindeer); Ingushetia ↔ Kabardino-Balkaria (Caucasus hydro/livestock swaps). #### Broader Symbiotic Clusters - **Volga-Urals Energy-Agriculture Hub**: Tatarstan, Bashkortostan, Chuvashia, Mordovia (oil/gas + grains/forestry). - **Siberian Resource Belt**: Buryatia, Tuva, Altai (coal/hydro + livestock/timber). - **Caucasus Food-Energy Net**: Chechnya, Dagestan, North Ossetia-Alania, Karachay-Cherkessia (oil + diverse ag/hydro). - **Arctic-Far East Periphery**: Sakha, Komi (minerals/gas) + Kamchatka, Magadan (fisheries, but Magadan is oblast). These relationships prioritize intra-regional logistics to avoid federal transport chokepoints.