Gaurav Kumar @gauravphoenix
dubito, ergo cogito, ergo sum San Francisco Joined August 2021-
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This got me thinking about forex — and which side of the trade you’d want to be on. The chart above shows the USD/INR trend since 2004. Over this period, the Indian rupee has lost about half its value against the dollar. Who benefits from this? A weaker rupee has supported…
This got me thinking about forex — and which side of the trade you’d want to be on. The chart above shows the USD/INR trend since 2004. Over this period, the Indian rupee has lost about half its value against the dollar. Who benefits from this? A weaker rupee has supported… https://t.co/L3XnStGxWM
I just finished reading it — quite a different angle compared to The Price of Time (which focused more on interest rates). Not much to report, except the core takeaway: you have to decide which side of inflation you want to be on — ideally as a user of inflation, meaning one of…
I just finished reading it — quite a different angle compared to The Price of Time (which focused more on interest rates). Not much to report, except the core takeaway: you have to decide which side of inflation you want to be on — ideally as a user of inflation, meaning one of… https://t.co/emvjnaPhLS
now down 25% since this tweet. there is a lesson to be learnt here - don't just blindly buy high quality business. you need to pay right price too.
now down 25% since this tweet. there is a lesson to be learnt here - don't just blindly buy high quality business. you need to pay right price too.
the correct answer is - less than 20%. that's right: less than 20% of the Norway's GDP is funded by oil and gas revenues. so what do they do with all that oil money? they invest via their sovereign fund (GPFG). The fund is a major owner of listed companies worldwide, holding…
the correct answer is - less than 20%. that's right: less than 20% of the Norway's GDP is funded by oil and gas revenues. so what do they do with all that oil money? they invest via their sovereign fund (GPFG). The fund is a major owner of listed companies worldwide, holding…
it has been my learning that it is rarely the quantitive risk that bites you; rather it is mostly the qualitative risk. the risk that you can't put a number(probability) on. why so? well, the quantitative risk is already priced in for the most part. everyone is looking at the…
it has been my learning that it is rarely the quantitive risk that bites you; rather it is mostly the qualitative risk. the risk that you can't put a number(probability) on. why so? well, the quantitative risk is already priced in for the most part. everyone is looking at the…
Welcome to the club $amnf. There is so much alpha in microcap shareholders meeting. It was great to see @offtherunbonds in person and rest of the management team. The new CEO knows her stuff. This investment belongs to my forever hold bucket.
Welcome to the club $amnf. There is so much alpha in microcap shareholders meeting. It was great to see @offtherunbonds in person and rest of the management team. The new CEO knows her stuff. This investment belongs to my forever hold bucket. https://t.co/NZo5603PP3
Without looking it up, what % of Norway's GDP is funded by oil & gas revenue (including servicing)?
One thing I have learned is that in any commodity like industry- "The primary cause: too much <industry> capacity." you can replace industry with trucking, shipping, oil, metals etc. the trick is to find management that believes in and executes contra-cycle.
One thing I have learned is that in any commodity like industry- "The primary cause: too much <industry> capacity." you can replace industry with trucking, shipping, oil, metals etc. the trick is to find management that believes in and executes contra-cycle.
Melhus Sparebank ($MELG.OL) small Norwegian bank trades below book value. Yields 8%. Has paid dividends for the last 25 years (gone through GFC etc). low ROE but looks well capitalized. need to study this. anyone looked into it?
Now read this. smile.amazon.com/dp/0802160069
Now read this. smile.amazon.com/dp/0802160069
this is not going to end well.
this is not going to end well. https://t.co/n2VKpDgHJe
bought some more today. currently #4 position. I am in it to clip coupons.
bought some more today. currently #4 position. I am in it to clip coupons. https://t.co/AvZmKg7mNn
Demand aggregation only creates a strong moat when demand is highly fragmented—but that’s not the case here. Think about it: in the next decade, how many ride-sharing apps will people keep on their phones? Realistically, just a handful—Uber, Waymo, Tesla, Lyft. Now, will people…
Demand aggregation only creates a strong moat when demand is highly fragmented—but that’s not the case here. Think about it: in the next decade, how many ride-sharing apps will people keep on their phones? Realistically, just a handful—Uber, Waymo, Tesla, Lyft. Now, will people…
this is why trying to time/predicting macroeconomics is pointless. you just don't know what is already priced in and what's not. and even if you are right, you don't know whether it was luck or skill.
this is why trying to time/predicting macroeconomics is pointless. you just don't know what is already priced in and what's not. and even if you are right, you don't know whether it was luck or skill.
finally a good question. ROIC is already above 10%. What really stands out is the steady expansion in profitability over the past decade: operating margin has risen from about 15% in 2015 to around 21% today—a roughly 40% improvement—and net margin has improved from 9% to 15%.…
finally a good question. ROIC is already above 10%. What really stands out is the steady expansion in profitability over the past decade: operating margin has risen from about 15% in 2015 to around 21% today—a roughly 40% improvement—and net margin has improved from 9% to 15%.…
Systems beat willpower. Your prefrontal cortex fatigues under constant choice, but habits remove the decision. Lay out clothes at night, prep meals in advance, silence notifications. Each system shields your brain so discipline isn’t effort, it’s the default.
$ADB.MI (Italian airport operator) looks appealing. PE of 8 (TTM). Passenger traffic recovering to all time highs. They stopped (rightly so) paying dividends during the covid years but have resumed now. No debt concerns. Simple, easy to read annual report in English. Full of…
I don't know of any start-up started in the last five years that uses any $ADBE product. When companies of tomorrow don't buy products from companies of yesterday, you have a big problem that no buyback can fix.
I don't know of any start-up started in the last five years that uses any $ADBE product. When companies of tomorrow don't buy products from companies of yesterday, you have a big problem that no buyback can fix.

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