HF Reflections @hfreflection
L/S PM at Fund redacted by Compliance. Ny, ny Joined October 2011-
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10 year old me would be having a field day making biz sim games - any other investors get the investing bug in part playing old maxis / education / biz sim games?
10 year old me would be having a field day making biz sim games - any other investors get the investing bug in part playing old maxis / education / biz sim games?
I gave ChatGPT Codex an article & screenshot from a famous, lost Maxis simulation, SimRefinery, and asked it to create it for me. It built a playable prototype for me while I did other stuff, never touching any code once, instead just occasionally poking Codex for small changes.
What duopoly/monopoly type of industries or businesses are being disrupted by AI today? I have a few but one interesting name that comes to mind is $adbe -- pricing power and retention likely to decline vs historical rates due to alternatives like Midjourney.
One of the better ones I’ve read in awhile. Great on the ground detective work - really impressive and worth reading the whole thing or at least scrolling through the images.
One of the better ones I’ve read in awhile. Great on the ground detective work - really impressive and worth reading the whole thing or at least scrolling through the images.
Idea thread time! What's the cheapest stock you like that has growing earnings? (any geo/mc) Add a sentence explaining why you like it + valuation. As usual, I will compile the responses and share them with everyone. Please retweet for visibility. Thx in advance!🙏
Many investors with the best track records over 1-3 year periods end up with very bad capital weighted returns. This period is long enough to convince the GP and LPs that outlier performance is skill, when often it was a healthy dose of luck and poor risk management.
This is a fun thought experiment - the context was that if you are a LT investor you should want your 3 largest positions to fall 50% for no reason. I disagree with multiple aspects of @KevinLMak here and would love to debate - a 🧵 1) Most stocks don’t fall 50% on no news - a…
This is a fun thought experiment - the context was that if you are a LT investor you should want your 3 largest positions to fall 50% for no reason. I disagree with multiple aspects of @KevinLMak here and would love to debate - a 🧵 1) Most stocks don’t fall 50% on no news - a…
I don’t understand why more good funds don’t capacity constrain sub $1b. It’s much easier to raise and maintain a smaller fund. But instead GPs lie to themselves and/or LPs, unable to resist high incremental margins, and keep going until mediocrity or the wheels fall off.
This is a must follow - excellent researcher, trained by the best, excited to see what they put out and can accomplish!
This is a must follow - excellent researcher, trained by the best, excited to see what they put out and can accomplish!
Those of us who never understood bitcoin can revel in the minor victory that NFTs played out as expected.
Those of us who never understood bitcoin can revel in the minor victory that NFTs played out as expected.
I don’t post philosophy stuff as much as I used to, but I like a lot of the stuff this account puts out / find it provocative, even if I don’t agree 100% with all of it.
I don’t post philosophy stuff as much as I used to, but I like a lot of the stuff this account puts out / find it provocative, even if I don’t agree 100% with all of it.

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