Brett Caughran @FundamentEdge
Completed my hedge fund tour of duty (Maverick, D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Schonfeld). Adjunct at ASU. Now building an exceptional analyst training firm. DMs open! fundamentedge.com Scottsdale, AZ Joined September 2018-
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$NVDA & THE POWER OF THE "SECOND DERIVATIVE" As stock pickers, we are advised to identify stocks that trade at a price-value gap. To repeatedly buy stocks below their intrinsic value. Certainly that seems like prudent advice. Who wouldn't want to buy a dollar bill for 75 cents?…
Printing out the entire 500 page 10k, 2 60 page deep dive initiating coverage reports, last 5 years of call transcripts, 100 slide investor day deck (single sided), and 10 recent sell side reports (including the 4 extra disclaimer pages)
Quarterly reminder that a factor-constrained, beta-neutral firm generating 5-6% in a quarter is impressive. These firms aren't designed to outperform the market, and whether the S&P 500 is up or down 10% doesn't structurally matter to returns. ~6% net P&L, by my estimation, is…
Quarterly reminder that a factor-constrained, beta-neutral firm generating 5-6% in a quarter is impressive. These firms aren't designed to outperform the market, and whether the S&P 500 is up or down 10% doesn't structurally matter to returns. ~6% net P&L, by my estimation, is… https://t.co/upAAiaafYS
A bad short: Trades 30x consensus estimates, but it’s actually 25x bc they both manage expectations and execute exceptionally … re-rates to 35x as everyone recognizes they’ll continue to beat AND consensus moves up so you lose 2x (fundamentals and multiple) A decent funding…
Such a good framing As a hedge fund analyst there is an interesting dichotomy where your job is to be the resident expert on a name. To be able to answer any possible question. It's easy to get stuck in complexity and deliver a "book report". What I've noticed about the best…
Such a good framing As a hedge fund analyst there is an interesting dichotomy where your job is to be the resident expert on a name. To be able to answer any possible question. It's easy to get stuck in complexity and deliver a "book report". What I've noticed about the best…
So good Thanks for sharing @__paleologo ! If your firm has a risk model, Gappy's book Advanced Portfolio Management is a must read. It's a top practitioner's distilled view of risk from years in key risk management seats. Most investment books might have 2-3 good nuggets (and…
So good Thanks for sharing @__paleologo ! If your firm has a risk model, Gappy's book Advanced Portfolio Management is a must read. It's a top practitioner's distilled view of risk from years in key risk management seats. Most investment books might have 2-3 good nuggets (and…
Friday afternoon curriculum development for our new elective program: Factors for the Fundamental Investor Not pictured: Colorado / Florida game on my iPad
Link to Excel: I currently use FactSet for these pulls, fyi. Kept the links live in another tab but also flattened out the relevant pulls. Enjoy! Brett docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Link to Excel: I currently use FactSet for these pulls, fyi. Kept the links live in another tab but also flattened out the relevant pulls. Enjoy! Brett docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
"THE MARKET IS BROKEN": WHY STOCKS MOVE We are in a stage of markets where it is fashionable to look at the massive moves in $NVDA (+90% YTD) and $SMCI (+242% YTD) and conclude that the market is broken and price discovery is dominated by quants, pods & retail momentum traders.…
ROADMAP FOR JUNIOR BUY-SIDERS, II CONFERNCE I am really excited to give a presentation "Roadmap for Junior Traders" at the Institutional Investor Trader Forum Annual Conference at the Scottsdale Princess tomorrow. Times have changed a LOT on the buy-side since I joined in 2008.…
Speaking of weak links - I've had a few interactions in the last few days that reinforce one of my beliefs: one of the silent killers of an investment career is personal overhead. In our business, you have to start from scratch, reinvent yourself, and/or constantly find new…
Speaking of weak links - I've had a few interactions in the last few days that reinforce one of my beliefs: one of the silent killers of an investment career is personal overhead. In our business, you have to start from scratch, reinvent yourself, and/or constantly find new…
ANNOUNCING: BREAKING IN, A FREE WEBINAR (UPDATED & LIVE) Our primary goal at Fundamental Edge is to become the default buy-side learning platform. But a big part of our personal mission is to demystify buy-side strategies and lower the ladder for the next generation of buy-side…
So awesome to have you, @alixpasquet. And agree - I’d have no shot getting a buy-side job in 2024 against this competition. As we did with our WITG/Wharton competition, we are preparing to share the finalist pitches broadly with X community - stay tuned.
So awesome to have you, @alixpasquet. And agree - I’d have no shot getting a buy-side job in 2024 against this competition. As we did with our WITG/Wharton competition, we are preparing to share the finalist pitches broadly with X community - stay tuned.
So kind. Thank you so much, JRo.
Frederik Christopher .. @NeckarValue
85K Followers 1K Following at the intersection of Money and a Meaningful life master money before it masters youBrandon Beylo @marketplunger1
73K Followers 2K Following Writer | Investor | Listener || ~ There are no great businesses, only great bets. Nothing you read here is investment advice. Read 👉 https://t.co/rVOdJUnxQIGavin Baker @GavinSBaker
126K Followers 4K Following Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. Barbarian, Diablo 4. Warlock, Destiny 2. No investment advice, views my own.Patrick OShaughnessy @patrick_oshag
268K Followers 2K Following backing leaders doing their life’s work @psumvc 🟣 @joincolossus 🎙️ “do unto others…and do it first”Pythia Capital, Baron.. @PythiaR
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13K Followers 1K Following Because I am an innocent man. This is the end of the innocence. Not investment advice. Do your own work. Relentlessly pragmatic. You are all “Pedo Guys”.Chairlift Capital @ChairliftCap
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28K Followers 755 Following Tweets are informational only, never investment advice.Lawrence Hamtil @lhamtil
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23K Followers 530 Following I invest in unrecognized/underappreciated excellence. "Trying to spot a great manager remains a game very much worth playing". Mostly small capsTashfia Mosharraf Moh.. @MohonaTashfia
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120 Followers 344 Following Refer to me as anything other than he/him and you finna get slapped like Chris RockRiskfree Rate @risk4eerate
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0 Followers 51 FollowingManjeet Singh Yadav @manjeet_kgpian_
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32 Followers 140 Following Dad, Finance Professor at Huron, Western University. Spend too much time following stocks and newsCarol Greenbaum @Carolg8899
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1 Followers 201 FollowingAaron Fleishman @AarFleishman
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5 Followers 121 FollowingClint Myers @clint__myers
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64 Followers 167 FollowingFrederik Christopher .. @NeckarValue
85K Followers 1K Following at the intersection of Money and a Meaningful life master money before it masters youBrandon Beylo @marketplunger1
73K Followers 2K Following Writer | Investor | Listener || ~ There are no great businesses, only great bets. Nothing you read here is investment advice. Read 👉 https://t.co/rVOdJUnxQIDaniel S. Loeb @DanielSLoeb1
124K Followers 993 Following Investment analyst at Third Point LLC since 1995. Columbia College ‘83 🥲Gavin Baker @GavinSBaker
126K Followers 4K Following Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. Barbarian, Diablo 4. Warlock, Destiny 2. No investment advice, views my own.Patrick OShaughnessy @patrick_oshag
268K Followers 2K Following backing leaders doing their life’s work @psumvc 🟣 @joincolossus 🎙️ “do unto others…and do it first”Pythia Capital, Baron.. @PythiaR
54K Followers 687 Following Multibillionaire space pirate. CIO of Vader Capital LP. Activist engagements include Jeddha and Alderaan.Prepared Remarks @Rebrand_As_Y
19K Followers 925 Followingmodest proposal @modestproposal1
101K Followers 807 Following I shall now therefore humbly propose my own thoughts, which I hope will not be liable to the least objection. https://t.co/NuC25VaSffJerry Capital @JerryCap
41K Followers 568 Following Not selling anything. Not investment advice. My personal but public journal. Arguing with you to spare my family. DMs open. DM a mutual friend to unblock.Mostly Borrowed Ideas @borrowed_ideas
132K Followers 2K Following Equity Analyst. I publish one in-depth research on a public company every month. Subscribe: https://t.co/bBHyta1OmyRicky Sandler @rsandler21969
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22K Followers 37 Following Ex p72/Citadel/GS. schooled in Boston. (she/her). Will adjust on ur ebitda until u free cash flow. PM (Portfolio Maestro), SS (Stock Shokunin), CFA (lvl9000).InnocenceCapital.AI (.. @InnocenceCapit1
13K Followers 1K Following Because I am an innocent man. This is the end of the innocence. Not investment advice. Do your own work. Relentlessly pragmatic. You are all “Pedo Guys”.PJB @PaulBieber
1K Followers 676 Following IR/Strategic Finance professional (seeking new role). Also, building Compound IR. Recovering sell-side analyst. Capital markets/soccer junkie. Always curious.PHNX Cardinals @PHNX_Cardinals
11K Followers 396 Following We make it more fun to be an Arizona Cardinals fan. #BirdGangPE Guy @PEGuy288
134 Followers 210 Following Junior PE investor; looking to connect with like minded folksBrandon Pierron @BrandonCPierron
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130K Followers 3 Following The private and flexible writing app that adapts to the way you think. For help and deeper discussions, join our community: https://t.co/QsDArfFSa3superwhisper @superwhisperapp
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178 Followers 120 Following Get AI generated podcast summaries sent to your inbox, for free.at the risk of being banal - if you’re young & interested in investing, study the trajectory leading up to meta & tesla’s earnings and then the stock reaction to the earnings call. it helps to give a sense for the scenario that was being priced in the days leading up to the call
Watching the interview of Leon Shaulov & Josh Resnick at Sohn took me back about 10 years. Nice to see TMT SM investors who have performed/scaled in a changing landscape without the usual excuses. Still eager to see which newer funds will have the same staying power.
Sabbaticals are the most powerful psychotechnology. Stronger than psychedelics in leading to real change
algorithms and legible paths suck the joy out of life career paths become highly legible and high schoolers plot out 10 years paths to the top the chances of slowly falling in love with the kind of work these paths offer is minimal because you are competed away by people aiming…
Blowing up your life away from high prestige career worlds is a useful way to acquire new desires from other people that aren’t the default expensive dual income life path
@JaredKubin @ChairliftCap I agree re: writing, even if it's for yourself. Nothing gives as much clarity as being able to summarize investment themes/ideas succinctly. It also helps to know if you are spending your time wisely & are focused on where things could go next.
One thing I see analysts get wrong, is to properly distinguish between what is interesting and what is useful. Many more things are interesting than useful.
Back in ‘15 I was short a $1B small cap. EPS had gone from ~$0.50 every year for a decade to >$1 and the multiple re-rated from 10x to 25x. (25x was considered high 8-10 yrs ago). $1B was small for us so had to short nearly 10% of the float. Risky, but thesis was compelling 1/n
By unpopular demand, I am sharing the ToC of the first few chapters of my upcoming (in a year) "Elements of Quantitative Investing", for a sample of breadth & depth. Much, much more on performance attribution, hedging, backtesting (will be great!), etc.
It took me 3 months to put 10 years of research on curiosity into a 20min presentation... ...So when @GrahamDuncanNYC challenged me to compress it down to 5min for the @SohnConf yesterday, I obviously went insane. Here it is.
its been three years since I memed myself into not worrying too much about retirement by actually doing the math and realizing if I broke even for 30 years, I could have about $5k a month in retirement (which still seems plenty) now I've saved even more, need to re-run the…
“It’s a great time to be a value investor. There is so little competition that the opportunities to buy fine companies with double digit cash-on-cash returns are more abundant than at any time in my career other than at the bottom of a bear market.” - @davidein on CNBC right now
With all of the noise that analysts have to sift through, this is in fact spot-on advice
Such a good framing As a hedge fund analyst there is an interesting dichotomy where your job is to be the resident expert on a name. To be able to answer any possible question. It's easy to get stuck in complexity and deliver a "book report". What I've noticed about the best…
@NateSinger_CA The secret Nate is buying the stuff with a min 10 pct in place yield or greater. Value fluctuates less based on how much of value is in terminal value ! You buy smthg at 10x earnings w long runway for growth… a lot can go right or not wrong
@FundamentEdge That high praise but mom, I think I found the secret account you use to tweet
@FundamentEdge thank you so much for sharing that, Brett. that was one of my favorite parts of your course: you did a superb job teaching analyst to narrow in on the few drivers that will move the stock price and to identify the key parts of the bull/bear debate
@AReviewOrTwo1 @FundamentEdge @GavinSBaker @rsandler21969 @honam @hfreflection For me, I try for my longs to have 3 attributes: 1) Significantly under-earning its potential with inflection close at hand, 2) Well-below historical valuation, which will normalize as earnings inflection, so E and P/E both increase, and 3) In an industry w/ a secular tailwind.