@QuahogCapital@PythiaR Also important to mention, he’s trying to just not lose money on longs, it’s on the short side where he generates most of the alpha
@QuahogCapital@PythiaR He’ll get alpha decay at some point, but the performance speaks for itself
Also, important to keep in mind, when you invest for a long time, you become familiar with different industries and sectors, the screening process becomes more efficient when you know what to look for
@QuahogCapital@PythiaR That’s what the public markets are really, casinos
And if you can take the best bets, you get the best chances of winning
More fundamental research doesn’t equal better results
@dj_invests It’s a good company, but this price action is due to general sentiment around AI spending . As you know, Rolls Royce’s fastest growing business is the power systems segment. Lately it moves more with the ai basket than with the defense stocks
@phithetasigma These momentum plays or the companies where you suspect the management of fraud ( I wanted to short AAOI at 30 lol) are actually the hardest shorts. Much easier to short a company that’s in a structural decline, a perennial loser,also way less left tail risk with those
@cyberprince_rwo@DeepValueBagger Few understand this. Narrative is everything. There are companies that compound earnings year over year and their stocks aren’t moving
@Temple_Eight Imo there’s chance for a countertrend rally, especially if Meta comes out with good results and increases CapEx. The setup for a great short might come by year end after the market traps in buyers again
Good luck! 🍀 🤞
@St0nks5000ox5t@Kaizen_Investor It trades at ~15X P/S, >10X P/B while not turning a profit , even after the downturn it is still overvalued . And those pipelines and backlogs mean nothing, $NOC has a backlog of $110B, and a market cap <$80B, while guiding for >$3.5B in FCF and offering a 1.93% dividend yield
@XFinancialX@BissiChrissi It had one of the greatest runs in this bull market.
But once momentum faded, it became clear that it was all multiple expansion, narrative and reflexivity
@BissiChrissi@XFinancialX Yep, still 30x sales. If a market wide correction does happen, I’ll be looking to add rocketlab around 5X sales. Of course, in the case that the company can live with such low equity and won’t have to raise cash any further
@AtlasShrug1@GavMcCracken I would just watch for the moment the 8week moving average breaks, for now it respects it, and yesterday it bounced 3% from it
It had a similar kind of double top structure with declining RSI at 45 but it never lost the 8W. Anyhow, precaution is warranted after a 200% ytd move
@JohnnyXAngelo@amitisinvesting Tesla’s eps did a backflip and never looked back
SpaceX is not even profitable lol and It needs constant access to the capital markets for funding
They literally can’t afford to giveaway a dime
@bestppl123@tuff_4r Yes, it trades based on the momentum factor, and now that factor is dead, there aren’t any fundamentals to support the price
The run up was due to general market conditions , expectations of rate cuts and cheap money that triggered a big rally in speculation from 4Q24-1Q26
@LeverageSecured@compound248 They need a 45-60 year old experienced trader on board, someone that has lived throughout different market cycles. I mean, just by looking at the market today, this guys must be bleeding unless they have enough shorts to be delta neutral, which I highly doubt
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