Jakub Polec @jakubpolec
Building Profitable Algo Strategies | Quantitative Researcher & Dev | Financial Data Scientist | ML Investing | Sharing Code for Algorithmic Systems | PhD quantjourney.carrd.co Joined February 2023-
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Happens quite often
If that’s true, it’s sad for the World - Personal branding is more powerful than a degree
”Your conscious experience is a side-effect of material neuronal processes. It is illusory in the sense that it has no effect on the body/material - there is no causation from mind to body." - I tend to agree…
That is so true. Hype over LLM is not justified
Looks like it is good time to buy #INTC with their potential.
Window of Weakness Meets Earnings Disappointment. What else besides GOOGL?
From #NEM report, that’s key for 2024 outlook - Gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) calculated using Gold ($1,400/oz.), Copper ($3.50/lb.), Silver ($20.00/oz.), Lead ($1.00/lb.) and Zinc ($1.20/lb.) pricing for 2024.
Pretty simple, but very true. And we see it now, check M1, M2 on USD.
Pretty simple, but very true. And we see it now, check M1, M2 on USD.
My Apple short position from Dec got power💥 - Apple Slashes Vision Pro Shipment Projections By 50% As Demand For $3,500 Headset Craters
And one ask for a reason, it’s so obvious…
And one ask for a reason, it’s so obvious…
a global contagion that will likely play out over an extended period, in the financial markets. Yesterday's US decision will only speed it up.
Chinese Equities - very bullish. The largest China ETF by assets, KWEB ($5.2B) is seemingly the most bullishly configured with expected value at $24.53. #KWEB
I have spending most of my time on regime identification code right now, as said the most powerful parameters are those that help detect the best conditions for the strategy type. #backtesting #algo #regime
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The reason AI historically and consistently fails in healthcare is doctors' handwriting.
@TechEmails as ex-Microsoft employee, once in around 2000s I’ve got Steve Ballmer’s (CEO) laptop to download his emails, and his password. Funny, but that how it worked that time; once he visited countries.
@jakubpolec 2-2.5 is not a typical Sharpe ratio for most real (not overfit) strategies.
Google's flagship Gemini 1.5 Pro is as poor as Llama 3 8b Instruct:
@SJosephBurns I wrote Python code to downloading data from yahoo finance and Binance etc which works 100x faster. You can get this code for FREE from QuantJourney.substack.com
@sama Agree, the more we share, the better we contribute to humanity Quantjourney.substack.com - my backtesting for investors for free
@jakubpolec Agreed but don't readily discount ego and arrogance. Wars have been fought for much less.
@markminervini That’s exposure approach, I personally try to do hedge with both SQQQ, SDS or through volatility VIX or others. And in some cases buying PUTs per some stocks. That cost me max 2-3% per a week or two, but it’s worth to protect from some BS or worse regimes.
@unusual_whales Mostly when Goldman Sachs says something it’s the opposite. It’s better to be careful with them. Take a long play with VIX and volatility, as it’s already 20%+ and may spike anytime soon, and is a good hedge for other long positions now. (still cheap)
@KimDotcom @MikeCristo8 We have to wait for bank or someone collapsing in US. Agree, the Gold or Silver will show the progress to multi-polar World, that’s the only one. Gold to go to 3000-3500$, and Silver to 50-100$. In next 3-6 months, something happen.
@alphatrends @VisualCap Completely not true. Wait for INTEL - Gaudi 3 CPU which outperforms NVIDIA's H100 chip in several key areas. It is expected in Q3 this year. Also check Axion chip is made by AVGO for Google. Another specialised for LLM CPU with is faster in matrix calc. The Nvidia is not easy.
@lisaabramowicz1 Imagine with increasing price of OIL which drives inflation, we may have not any single cut this Year by FED - that may push SPY down even 15-25% till end of the year.
@WSJ Our intelligence is not a sum of intelligence of each person. AI should outthink us in causation and reasoning, not just recall facts. #AIIntelligence @elonmusk
@therobotjames When researching demographics in China, another industry emerges that could yield millions in returns. (Consider the male to female ratio.) / quantjourney.substack.com /
@rafal_zaorski To ten, jak nic Quantjourney.substack.com
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