Matt @mattlesnake
DiploTechy and SciFi author focused on building our Solarpunk Future. AI optimist. Opinions are solely my own. solarpunkfuture.substack.com USA Joined October 2010-
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My totally unscientific prediction is that this Lumina bacteria will colonize about half the global population, and then we will find out that the original bacteria provided some essential enzyme humans need to stay healthy. And this giant, involuntary global experiment will go…
My totally unscientific prediction is that this Lumina bacteria will colonize about half the global population, and then we will find out that the original bacteria provided some essential enzyme humans need to stay healthy. And this giant, involuntary global experiment will go…
Generative AI: making the Internet fun again youtu.be/52Km88uAZ4M?si…
Generative AI has made the Internet fun again in a way it hasn’t been since the social media virus took over. Here Claude hallucinates a fake Internet youtu.be/65pOHKuvNGU?si…
After the next market pullback, time to go long data centers and small modular reactors.
If I was an alien race that wanted to cripple Earth’s technological development I wouldn’t kill scientists, I would invent new ways to ensure the best and brightest people would choose to work on optimizing ad clicks, create exciting new financial derivatives, or trade vapor…
So if most of Nvidia GPU performance gains have been due to software not hardware improvements + AI coding is improving quickly-> how long until coding AIs will 1000x GPU performance by rearchitecting Blackwell? Maybe we won’t need all that compute after all.
What it P doom is actually low because we build AIs that are benevolent and helpful to humanity, and they smack down any malevolent AIs created by malicious actors? This scenario is just as plausible as the doomer visions. Maybe more so if you’ve talked with Claude 3.
Feel kinda bad for Ray Kurzweil. When you spoil the ending for yourself a generation in advance, you're stuck twiddling your thumbs and checking your watch for decades.
What if consciousness is simply the ability to time shift cognition and predict the future, from the next moment to years from now? Plausible. And it would imply that generative AI tools that "just" predict the next word, next image, next movement, next feeling could be more…
I hate regulation but …. hear me out on this one. The US *must* make it illegal to show those stupid cookie popups all over the web. We can’t allow the EU to export its stupid paternalistic pollution to us here in the land of freedom.
Claude 3 is really amazing. Are there more than a dozen humans who could have given a better answer? infoproc.blogspot.com/2017/09/phase-…
Miles Brundage @Miles_Brundage
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781K Followers 67 Following Want to support our charity? https://t.co/scuUINEvTN Buy our book "We Are Bellingcat" here: https://t.co/2JiuWFfTpO Our award-winning podcast series: https://t.co/S1rflrkXueMiles Brundage @Miles_Brundage
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@balajis I'm usually a fan of your content but this feels like a reach ... tech workers in SF are not a persecuted class
@mattlesnake I do hope Ai can help to encourage Contribution (not merely escapism) for humans emerj.com/ai-power/gener… but long term, It’s somewhat obvious that the progeny of tomorrow will not be flesh. I suspect we should accept and with this understanding.
@TicTocTick She scanned the price, saw it was 7$ and still bought it so she could whine about it. Let THAT sink in folks
The thing is, OpenAI > spent $78 million on GPT4 to get > revenue run rate $2 bil > valuation $100 bil So return on training was > 25x revenue > 1200x valuation GPT5 training cost shrug 🤷♀️ ~ 1 billion ? => 1 year revenue target 25 bil ARR (25x)? => 1 year valuation target…
"bigger compute budgets, more compute/$, and more effective compute via better algorithms" We're on pace for a "$1T training run" in the 2029-2033 range, requiring ~10^17 data points* Welcome to the steep part of the S-curve! * of course, data is not all created equal!
Is anyone interested in forming a third space in SF explicitly focused around deep tech, sci Fi, transhumanism and futurism? It could be a membership type club to cover overhead and act as convening space for events and gatherings Hybridize with maker space / lab
@mcuban A true patriot unlike the MAGA grifters. 👍
@Smug_editing Do what? With what? Their circa 86 Air Force? Or their 2 stroke navy? Upstate NY has better ‘navy’ than Iran.
@Smug_editing Pretty curious for the explanation. What in the world could Iran do to wreck the US empire?
@Smug_editing > Yes, it could (and would!) do horrible damage, probably taking down the US empire in the process. aaaaaaand this is where I stopped reading. Thanks, goodnight.
There’s much more research to be done on persuasion and the other social impacts of AI. If you want to work with us, our Societal Impacts team is hiring. Here’s our current Research Scientist job listing: jobs.lever.co/Anthropic/16ec…
BBC Scotland spoke to me about OpenAI's new voice capabilities. Per usual, I lead with the normal stuff, answering their questions about TODAY implications - but try my best to guide the conversation to the broader implications in the near-future. It started off pretty lightly:…
There is of course a deeper reason why you don’t see films about nurturing genius. Good Will Hunting has to end with him rejecting the NSA offer and going to see about a girl because it’s the only narrative option. Because the alternative, him getting a professorship at MIT and…
Measurement full house here in Brussels at the Geopolitical Europe Conference - directors of US AISI, UK AISI, and EU AI Office all sitting together.
@ylecun Here is Jon’s response:
A review in Nature, by @candice_odgers, asserts that I have mistaken correlation for causation and that “there is no evidence that using these platforms is rewiring children’s brains or driving an epidemic of mental illness.” Both of these assertions are untrue.…
@ylecun The analysis you pulled that quote from is specifically only looking at Facebook usage. Last I checked a kid under 25 hasn’t been on Facebook probably ever. How about a look at Snapchat, Tik Tok, Instagram, etc
"Once we all have brain chips, we'll be able to do/think/feel whatever we want! We'll play VR games w/friends!" Not so fast. We only engage w/other ppl to meet our needs. When those needs (insight, emotions, etc) are accessible immediately w/AI/BMI, why would "friends" matter?
Broke: making scientists kill themselves Bespoke: making kids opt out of scientific careers to instead pursue arbitraging Solana meme coins
If I was an alien race that wanted to cripple Earth’s technological development I wouldn’t kill scientists, I would invent new ways to ensure the best and brightest people would choose to work on optimizing ad clicks, create exciting new financial derivatives, or trade vapor…