Find the probability behind every headline.
400k+ prediction questions, powered by @Polymarket, @Kalshi, @HyperliquidX & more.predxy.com GlobalJoined January 2026
As Polymarket reportedly parts ways with CMO Matthew Modabber, a May 2026 clip is resurfacing: on an IRL Kick stream with Clavicular, Modabber appears to start sharing something, then stops abruptly on noticing his microphone.
Hike odds went from 54% to 7% in eight days, and no new data caused it. Warsh just declined to say anything.
That's all the market has had to go on.
The Fed has been silent since October 17, and the calendar is empty until the decision on October 28, 2:00 PM ET.
Polymarket active traders:
- October 2025: 477,850
- October 2026: 204,329
What will bring the next wave back?
Midterms, a token, or a market nobody's thought of yet?
A Polymarket trader is up $17.4K in the past 24h on Serbia's election markets
- $246K on Vučić's United Serbia to win the most seats
- $227K on the Student List not to win the most seats
- $82K on Vučić to be the next Prime Minister
Vučić's party went from 69.5% to 72% in a day
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