Patrick Saner @patrick_sanner
Economics and Financial Markets enthusiast. linktr.ee/beingsam_l Zurich, Switzerland Joined November 2018-
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🇺🇸 The S&P 500 forward 12-month P/E ratio is 20.5 as of 7/10/2026. Analysts are forecasting earnings growth of +24.2% for 2026 and earnings growth of +17.4% for 2027 as of 7/10/2026. Chart: Factset
🇺🇸 Semiconductor’s weight in the S&P 500 has grown to 19.7% of the index’s market cap! Chart: Rand Group
🇷🇺 Russia’s crude-processing rates fall to 3.91 million barrels per day. The lowest in more than 21 years! Chart: @Bloomberg
🇺🇸 Fed Fund Futures are pricing in a 25bps rate hike for 10/28/2026 then no more rate moves after that to 12/8/2027. The market might think the neutral rate is 3.75%-4.00%. Chart: @Interest_Rates
🇺🇸 US margin debt +53.7% YoY! Margin debt increased to $1.416 trillion in May or 4.44% of US Q1 nominal GDP. Chart: @topdowncharts
🇺🇸 US margin debt +53.7% YoY! Margin debt increased to $1.416 trillion in May or 4.44% of US Q1 nominal GDP. Chart: @topdowncharts
🇨🇳 China total loans from banks +5.52% YoY. An all-time record low! Chart: @MacroMicroMe
🇺🇸 US average of the big four economic indicators is -0.60% off its high. 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗢𝗳𝗳 𝗜𝘁𝘀 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵: -0.00% Nonfarm Employment -1.40% Industrial Production -0.05% Real Retail Sales -0.94% Real Personal Income Less Transfer Receipts Chart: @Vetta_Fi
🇪🇺 European Union unemployment rate 6%. Eurozone unemployment rate 6.3%. At all-time record lows! Chart: @EU_Eurostat
🪙 The #bitcoin halving cycle suggests downside ahead! Chart: @ChartsBtc
🇺🇸 The rolling 30-day correlation between the S&P 500 and the US 10y Treasury yield is -0.6768. The lowest since September 1999! Chart: Kevin Gordon
🇺🇸 The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell by 8.6 million barrels last week, marking the largest weekly decline on record, per Reuters. Chart: @zerohedge
🇺🇸 US Treasury Security Issuance for April: T-bills $2.215 trillion. By primarily issuing on the short-end of the yield curve, that could be manipulating long-term rates lower! Chart: @MacroMicroMe
🇺🇸 US Treasury 30-year yield reached 5.131%. The highest since July 2007! Chart: @AugurInfinity
🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has expanded and grown by $192.7 billion since December 3, 2025.
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