Robin Hanson @robinhanson
Let’s skip witty repartee & discuss fundamental questions. Views are mine, not GMU’s or Virginia’s. Books: https://t.co/hpZgEm5DBI, https://t.co/iFs9C3J2Ek hanson.gmu.edu Fairfax, VA Joined July 2007-
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Some say "Fame is like poison; a little makes you stronger, but too much will kill you." How many Twitter followers is too much, so you are worse off with more?
"Higher-spending [Medicare Advantage] plans tend to reduce enrollee mortality, but existing quality ratings are uncorrelated with plan mortality effects. Consumers place little weight on mortality effects when choosing plans. Good insurance plans dramatically reduce mortality."…
I made exactly this graph, with all these lines and points, as an undergrad in physics, '77-'81, at UC Irvine. Couldn't generate much interest in it.
I made exactly this graph, with all these lines and points, as an undergrad in physics, '77-'81, at UC Irvine. Couldn't generate much interest in it.
I can't recall being more disappointed by a famous book. He may at times have insights, but overall Burke comes across as a pompous blowhard. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reflectio…
Will the few songs of ours saved long after our civ collapses be this bad?
Will the few songs of ours saved long after our civ collapses be this bad?
Successful people are selected for a willingness to break rules when they can get away with it undetected.
Successful people are selected for a willingness to break rules when they can get away with it undetected.
If you beg for regulation, regulation is what you will get. Maybe not exactly the sort you had asked for though.
If you beg for regulation, regulation is what you will get. Maybe not exactly the sort you had asked for though.
Suggests to me that crime vouchers would preemptively institutionalize many people.
"Civil War" movie should have been called "Reporters With a Death Wish".
I respond here to @slatestarcodex critique of my position on medical effectiveness: overcomingbias.com/p/response-to-…
Episode 14 is up, with the one and only @robinhanson! We delve into his new essay "Beware Cultural Drift", ems & elephants, AI risk, institutions, aliens, the future, and much more. This might be the broadest interview I've done yet. Chapters, links, and transcript below. Enjoy!
Says Great Depression was caused by progressive income taxes, pushed by economists as replacement for tariffs they hated. forbes.com/sites/briandom…
Cultural trends regard to predict,
“Onward Christian robots”
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹.. @ESYudkowsky
175K Followers 89 Following The original AI alignment person. Missing punctuation at the end of a sentence means it's humor. If you're not sure, it's also very likely humor.eigenrobot @eigenrobot
68K Followers 7K Following robot. friend. i am trying to achieve greatness longform at eigenrobot dot subst@ck dot comAlex Tabarrok 🛡️ @ATabarrok
76K Followers 673 Following Prof of economics at George Mason, co-founder of the online education platform https://t.co/yocRRymFPV. Advisor to firms, incl MultiversX, TEAL, Bluechip, 0L Network +Razib 🥥 Khan 🧬 .. @razibkhan
72K Followers 4K Following Genes Website: https://t.co/RMRko6hjiZ Cofounder: @genrait_inc YouTube: https://t.co/8qv9j8ivIo Advisor: @boltzmann_net Adisvor: @AtheistsLibertyNick @nickcammarata
60K Followers 734 Following interested in neural network interpretability and meditationSamo Burja @SamoBurja
60K Followers 233 Following There's never been an immortal society. Figuring out why. Founder of @bismarckanlys. @longnow fellow.Michael Nielsen @michael_nielsen
96K Followers 6K Following Searching for the numinous 🇦🇺 🇨🇦, home in 🇺🇸 Research @AsteraInstitute https://t.co/maezekzRUbStefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
28K Followers 2K Following Philosophy, psychology, and effective altruism.Richard Ngo @RichardMCNgo
35K Followers 1K Following What would we need to understand in order to design an amazing future? Figuring that out @openaitylercowen @tylercowen
231K Followers 526 Following new book *Talent: How to Identify Energizers, Winners, and Creatives Around the World*, https://t.co/7bU5cUdOBc, Conversations with Tyler, Bloomberg Opinion.Captain Pleasure, And.. @algekalipso
28K Followers 4K Following Views of a Transhuman neo-Buddhist from the future on sociology, artificial intelligence, mathematics, philosophy, neonoir film, and the post-singularity era.goblin costanza, worm.. @goblinodds
16K Followers 2K Following you and me baby aint nothin but mammals so let's eat dog treats from petco 💎 (they/it) ⚔️Emil O W Kirkegaard @KirkegaardEmil
29K Followers 886 Following #psychology #genomics #hbd #rstats #statistics #transhumanism #dataviz #openscience #psychometrics @OpenPsychJourmattparlmer 🪐 🌷 @mattparlmer
22K Followers 9K Following making machines that make other machines @genfabco - rationalist, humanist, liberal, and friend of the futureExiledInfoHaz @ExiledInfoHaz
12K Followers 847 FollowingRob Bensinger ⏹️ @robbensinger
8K Followers 302 Following Comms @MIRIBerkeley. RT = increased vague psychological association between myself and the tweet.cesar_ cibrao @cesarcibrao
0 Followers 55 FollowingGdB @G_diBamba
31 Followers 84 FollowingA.B. @Th3N00B
37 Followers 291 FollowingDyon Liekki e/acc @dyonliekki
59 Followers 19 Following Techno-utopia. Dataism. Intelligence Amplification. Human enhancement. Building an advanced human civilization. 🌎🚀Andy Wilcox @andy_wilco
710 Followers 1K Following Computer Scientist, Dad, FinTwit Fan, formerly performance+SRE @twitter, now @roblox, wine snob by night.João Bogado @joaobogado
163 Followers 342 Following Founder building stealth at AI for Health. Serendipity engineer, between Sao Paulo 🇧🇷 and Palo Alto 🇺🇸.Elmedina @Lovelyelmedina
325 Followers 870 Following ⚜️👑 Slav hybrid princess iq below 95. 💩 memory. no talent. antisocial. super morbidly obese. Personal account for useless shenanigans.Ashkan Behzadian @AshkanBhz
1 Followers 36 Followingrichmc @Richmc242Richmc
74 Followers 461 FollowingJay @JbirdtheSciNerd
67 Followers 83 FollowingJohn Crenshaw @shreddpow
124 Followers 606 FollowingKenjinKatsugeMD🍥 @DoctahKenjiBoi
224 Followers 212 Following Dual Certified Trauma and Plastics Sturgeon 🇻🇦Jenny Lee @keyOfIsis
3K Followers 6K Following I want you to follow me and I want to follow you God ****Dance**** different 🌑🌒🌔🌔🌕🌖🌗🌗🌘🌑Alexander Hamilton Ho.. @alexhaho
152 Followers 331 FollowingEMAD @emad_ahi
50 Followers 108 Following Democratizing the Exponential Age to support AI ownership, innovation, and safety for everyone, everywhere. White Paper incoming...UFW @UFW111
33 Followers 2K Following7cD2KJj @7cD2KJj
26 Followers 69 FollowingWealthPosition @Wealth_Position
5 Followers 1 Following Helping you on your journey to financial independencePyr0 @Pyr0100
294 Followers 553 Following 21, Comp/Electr-E student. fascinated w/ ml physics robotics art and philosophy. swedish citizen. Texas——— @N0rthMr
73 Followers 493 Followingnorthernbuzz @northernbuzz1
53 Followers 103 FollowingMozza2021 @Mozza3034
125 Followers 981 FollowingHashem ElAssad @ElassadHashem
14 Followers 63 Following Researcher, Curator, Writer in psychology+linguistics +education. Topics: - Real stories as educational tools - Effect of choosing one word over another - etcPriit @ Amperly AI pr.. @amperlycom
616 Followers 78 Following Latest insights on AI to stay ahead of the competition. Follow for updates on how AI drives growth, efficiency, and productivity. AI²Erin @Louisa1488223
22 Followers 1K Following I am a lively and cheerful girl who would like to meet a good friend.Mack Gallagher ⏹ @MackAGallagher
10 Followers 13 Following It's not "too much of a good thing", you just don't have full knowledge of good v bad yet. Frontier AI development ends in unannounced human extinction. Ban it.Agakari interior mast.. @AgakariInterior
6 Followers 199 Following Agakari interior master We do offer interior design services at affordable price. *Gypsum designing *Gypsum partitioning *Suspended ceiling *Tile fixing *PaintAndrew Gallimore @alieninsect
29K Followers 664 Following Tokyo. Computational neurobiologist, chemical pharmacologist, writer interested in psychedelics, especially DMT. Reality Switch Technologies OUT NOWTom Bishop @NotACyborgYet
139 Followers 364 Following CTO at Glass Imaging - reinventing smartphone photography with AI. Formerly ML Director at Intuition Machines; Portrait mode at Apple.Eternal_Conciousness @EternalConcious
515 Followers 5K FollowingAlexander Grenier @AC_Grenier
4 Followers 87 FollowingSandra Smith @SandraSmit23355
118 Followers 1K Following I'm here for serious relationship and if you know you are fake don't even message meNicole Marino @hypacianhere
57 Followers 220 Following I've been a biotech investor, a VC, a macro forecaster, a construction salesperson, and now I'm starting Hypacia to be even more confusingFernando Peña @ElBuenFercho
3 Followers 306 FollowingAlkın Kaz @alkin_kaz
563 Followers 2K Following physics, computation, society. princeton '23 | fentek '19 | ipho medalist | tweets in 🇹🇷/🇺🇸Jonathan Curtis @jonathan_curtis
203 Followers 4K Followingふゆかわ @naduka07
0 Followers 4K FollowingJack Reacher @JackReach516
76 Followers 985 FollowingJack Patterson @Succulentchonk
2 Followers 20 FollowingEliezer Yudkowsky ⏹.. @ESYudkowsky
175K Followers 89 Following The original AI alignment person. Missing punctuation at the end of a sentence means it's humor. If you're not sure, it's also very likely humor.Alex Tabarrok 🛡️ @ATabarrok
76K Followers 673 Following Prof of economics at George Mason, co-founder of the online education platform https://t.co/yocRRymFPV. Advisor to firms, incl MultiversX, TEAL, Bluechip, 0L Network +Bryan Caplan @bryan_caplan
68K Followers 3 Following GMU econ prof, NYT bestseller, father of 4, author of Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, Case Against Education, and Open Borders.Razib 🥥 Khan 🧬 .. @razibkhan
72K Followers 4K Following Genes Website: https://t.co/RMRko6hjiZ Cofounder: @genrait_inc YouTube: https://t.co/8qv9j8ivIo Advisor: @boltzmann_net Adisvor: @AtheistsLibertyMichael Nielsen @michael_nielsen
96K Followers 6K Following Searching for the numinous 🇦🇺 🇨🇦, home in 🇺🇸 Research @AsteraInstitute https://t.co/maezekzRUbStefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
28K Followers 2K Following Philosophy, psychology, and effective altruism.Richard Ngo @RichardMCNgo
35K Followers 1K Following What would we need to understand in order to design an amazing future? Figuring that out @openaitylercowen @tylercowen
231K Followers 526 Following new book *Talent: How to Identify Energizers, Winners, and Creatives Around the World*, https://t.co/7bU5cUdOBc, Conversations with Tyler, Bloomberg Opinion.Agnes Callard @AgnesCallard
38K Followers 235 Following Philosopher, UChicago Book https://t.co/htazfAfUS3 Column https://t.co/GGvu8fOYmw NYT https://t.co/Jj56TECRDd YT https://t.co/hPgf2tGJWT podcast https://t.co/lVDi53CGerDavid Chapman @Meaningness
31K Followers 137 Following Better ways of thinking, feeling, and acting—around problems of meaning and meaninglessness; self and society; ethics, purpose, and value.mattparlmer 🪐 🌷 @mattparlmer
22K Followers 9K Following making machines that make other machines @genfabco - rationalist, humanist, liberal, and friend of the futureExiledInfoHaz @ExiledInfoHaz
12K Followers 847 FollowingBrian Chau @psychosort
11K Followers 677 Following Executive Director @aftfuture. Emergent Ventures 2022, IOI Gold 2017. e/🇺🇸Kelsey Piper @KelseyTuoc
27K Followers 544 Following Senior writer at Vox's Future Perfect. [email protected]Robert Wiblin @robertwiblin
34K Followers 643 Following Exploring the inviolate sphere of ideas one interview at a time: https://t.co/2YMw00bkIQJason Crawford @jasoncrawford
33K Followers 3K Following Founder, @rootsofprogress. I write about the history of technology and the philosophy of progress. Working to build the progress community and movementGarett Jones @GarettJones
20K Followers 688 Following Macroeconomist at George Mason University. Chief Economist at @bluechip_org. Former Capitol Hill staffer.Spencer Greenberg �.. @SpencrGreenberg
19K Followers 6K Following A mathematician/entrepreneur in social science. Tweets about psychology, society, rationality, tech, science, and philosophy. Founder of https://t.co/2YGraOwo77Neal Stephenson @nealstephenson
93K Followers 355 Following Author of Snow Crash, Diamond Age, Cryptonomicon, Baroque Cycle, et al.Cecilia Heyes @CeliaHeyes
5K Followers 1K Following Theoretical psychologist studying the evolution of human cognition. Cognitive Gadgets https://t.co/yJgtc5J63CAte-a-Pi @8teAPi
39K Followers 2K Following self aware neuron; historian from 2130; epistemic polluter; 95 yr old man;Lori Gottlieb @LoriGottlieb1
42K Followers 1K Following @NYTimes bestseller #MaybeYouShouldTalkToSomeone, Co-host #DearTherapists Podcast. Speaker @TEDTalks. #DearTherapist @TheAtlantic. Order book: https://t.co/esmxwgPTVCJudge Glock @judgeglock
2K Followers 312 Following Director of Research and Senior Fellow, The Manhattan Institute, Author of "The Dead Pledge." Opinions are my own.Jason Furman @jasonfurman
157K Followers 2K Following Professor of Practice at Harvard. Teaches Ec 10, some tweets might be educational. Also Senior Fellow @PIIE. Was Chair of President Obama's CEA.Edward Dutton @jollyheretic
32K Followers 197 Following I enjoy researching controversial topics such as intelligence, race, religion and that. And trying to save the West 凤Justin Fulcher 🇺�.. @JustinFulcher
906 Followers 137 Following Technologist. Entrepreneur. Builder. 🇺🇸Forecasting Research .. @Research_FRI
580 Followers 21 Following Research institute focused on developing forecasting methods to improve decision-making on high-stakes issues, led by chief scientist Philip Tetlock.Ali @analyticalali
9K Followers 8K Following Crescat scientia; vita excolatur ◎ Investing & Software Engineer @recvcx ◎ @_ledao🥐 ◎ @InternDAO @Uchicago @FlexportScarlett Johnson @scarlett4kids
71K Followers 2K Following Political Scientist. Grassroots Activist. Mom of 5. Daughter of a Marine Corps vet & Proud Latina. Leader of 🐻Mama Bears. This is our time for choosing.Regan Arntz-Gray @arntzgray1
358 Followers 121 FollowingviaPrize @viaprize
160 Followers 37 Following https://t.co/84BFb9r2EO allows anyone to create a crowdfunded prize to incentivize the creation of public goods.Virginia Postrel @vpostrel
16K Followers 3K Following L.A. writer @WorksinProgMag THE FABRIC OF CIVILIZATION @BasicBooks. POWER OF GLAMOUR, SUBSTANCE OF STYLE, FUTURE & ITS ENEMIES https://t.co/lO0ECC3o1WKatherine Dee @default_friend
44K Followers 4K Following art bell fan. can’t stop listening to gordon lightfoot. i write about internet history and culture, commission me. bylines all over. @thecomputer_room on insta.⿻(((E. Glen Weyl/�.. @glenweyl
26K Followers 333 Following Papa, Hub @ProfTortuga, Co-Author ⿻ @pluralitybook & Radical Markets, Res. Lead @MSFTResearch https://t.co/A1nQFqUKzL, Founder @RadxChange, @PluralityInst (+Chair)Beff Jezos — e/acc .. @BasedBeffJezos
102K Followers 2K Following chief accelerator & founder @ e/acc // thermodynamic priest // Kardashev gradient climber // memetic warlord // building @extropic_aiLouise Perry @Louise_m_perry
40K Followers 2K Following "ludicrous crackpot" and host of @maiden_podcast I make good use of the notification filters so I might not see your replyMetaDAO @MetaDAOProject
6K Followers 24 Following The world's first market-governed organization | https://t.co/2RbptTjLE2Crémieux @cremieuxrecueil
88K Followers 901 Following I write about genetics, 'metrics, and demographics. Read my long-form writing at https://t.co/8hgA4nNS2A.Devon Eriksen @Devon_Eriksen_
38K Followers 285 Following Author, Engineer, Sharpshooter, part-time Daemon Prince of Tzeentch. Not a cat. If you see hell everywhere you look, then perhaps hell is inside your eyes.Mary Beth Willard @UTfilosoraptor
389 Followers 601 Following Philosopher + Writer | https://t.co/sKPD3nO5tP | Views even odds that they're still my own. |Alexander Bard @Bardissimo
143K Followers 1K Following Guru, philosopher, co-author of Process and Event and five other books; artist, songwriter, music producer, lecturer, podcaster, tantric monk. https://t.co/PHGbiDL0UyThe Fleek Futurist �.. @FleekFuturist
7K Followers 5K Following “By each crime and every kindness, we birth our future.” - Sonmi-451 // founder of @SpacersGuild // b.e.carpenter on 🧵Peter St Onge, Ph.D. @profstonge
177K Followers 13K Following Daily Videos on Economics and Freedom | Economist, former professor, ex-bartender | Articles, Videos, Podcast at https://t.co/FRKZ6XqFJ7Chris Brunet @realChrisBrunet
34K Followers 708 Following washed up economist, tips: [email protected]Tim Carney @TPCarney
67K Followers 2K Following My new book, "Family Unfriendly," is on the shelves. Pick it up! Catholic. Husband. Dad of six. Examiner columnist. AEI scholar.Stephen J Shaw @StephenJShaw
3K Followers 405 Following Passions: Data Science & Demography. Writer, Director & Producer "Birthgap - Childless World" (Chelsea Film Festival 2021).vanessa brown calder .. @vanessabcalder
2K Followers 711 Following Director of Opportunity and Family Policy Studies @CatoInstitute. Frmr Director at Joint Economic Committee.Martin Fiszbein @MartinFiszbein
2K Followers 1K Following Assistant Professor @bu_economics | Growth and development in historical perspectiveShayne Coplan @shayne_coplan
8K Followers 1K Following CEO @Polymarket. Ethereum since ’14. I love music and collect art.Garry P. Nolan @GarryPNolan
82K Followers 70 Following A world sans hues is a dream yet told. Cancer Bio, Immunology, Bio-Computation, 🏳️🌈, UAP/SETI. Negative posters blocked w/o pause.Eric Kaufmann @epkaufm
33K Followers 2K Following Professor of Politics. Focus on national identity, cultural left, political demography. (Ice) hockey player, Dad, from Vancouver, BC.Lyman Stone 石來民.. @lymanstoneky
30K Followers 2K Following Lutheran Husband Dad Kentuckian Demographer I tweet from the hip. @DemographicNTEL. Buy my book: https://t.co/86OkMZgI0p lymanrstone at gmail dot comDemographics Now & Th.. @Aaronal16
4K Followers 68 Following Proud American.Covers demographic trends,geopolitical topics & future projections+great power dynamics. Supporter of family,faith & future for our civilization.More Births @MoreBirths
9K Followers 166 Following Ideas for reversing the collapse in global fertility, the greatest challenge of our age. Humanity is precious. HT to Lyman Stone and other great demographers.Nora Belrose @norabelrose
8K Followers 124 Following Working toward a free and fair future powered by friendly AI. Head of interpretability research at @AiEleuther, but tweets are my own views, not Eleuther’s.Nathan Kratzmeyer @lostboy_k
5 Followers 30 FollowingSimone & Malcolm Coll.. @SimoneHCollins
7K Followers 99 Following Proud parents, education reformers (https://t.co/ocdf1ykPq9), pronatalists (https://t.co/j0U4gExFSK), podcasters (Based Camp), & authors (Pragmatist's Guide series).@HiFromMichaelV @robinhanson Yes, my understanding is that there were lots of elderly people in mental institutions at the beginning of the graph.
@gwern @robinhanson It’s an interesting segue way to understanding local tribe formation, tolerance for captured attention etc
Seems like this would be the part to promote if you care about shaping the culture to become more fertility-oriented. 💗 “I acquired a love and empathy that I had never experienced before. […] having children was a “consciousness-expanding experience,”…
“I’d massively increase marginal tax rates on the second worker in any household to force them out of the labor market, which would lower their opportunity cost of having children.” That would work.
@robinhanson I am reminded of Diana Fleischman's claim that we're all eugenicists. dissentient.substack.com/p/eugenicist . It's a word which arouses a lot of pique.
@robinhanson @slatestarcodex Scott has linked to this on his blog, and added he will "probably have a response up sometime in the next week or two if I don’t get distracted."
Still in 2006, New York audience members of a late night show would publicly laugh at the idea that a guy using a naughty word was some kind of mortal sin. The past is another country.
I think people are having tunnel vision about the “western forces of Texas and California” thing. In the case of state breakdown, the allegiance of different military formations wouldn’t necessarily track the political opinions of the nearby civilian population.
@robinhanson I had a milder version of the same reaction when I reread it about a decade ago. Not enough there there, despite good points.
NYT: The problem with South Africa is not enough race communism. Given the modern political realities of that country, this should be seen as incitement to genocide.
Yet another sign of how Things Have Changed. At the local, very big hardware chain store you can't buy packages of this relatively common size nut with more than 4 nuts in them because (per the store manager, whom I asked) "people don't do that kind of project any more."
@robinhanson And more-so when by being detected and escaping with impunity they establish both their membership in a privileged class AND affirm and expand the de facto privilege of that class
I don't believe humanity and compassion require everyone to consume a firehose of information about all the terrible things happening around the world.
@robinhanson Depends on if civilization recovers and population exceeds a trillion. This is the best humanity could do with a population of 20 million. Now our music is made by the best of 8 billion and with an extra 3400 years of innovation to build upon, so it’s obviously going to be better
"Take Five" by The Dave Brubeck Quartet (1959)
this is why robin is the king
Will the few songs saved after our civ collapses be this bad?
A military aged male just served me pizza. War pizza, I’m sure. #nativistthoughts
You know, the sheer number of these people who are justifying their antisemitism by saying "it's okay, we hate them because they're white, not because they're Jewish" has forced me to rethink my stance on how serious the issue of anti-white racism is in this country...
The crux of the matter: Princeton and other elite universities are enforcing rules selectively, depending on what students are protesting. Except on matters directly relevant to higher education, universities should be politically neutral.
The @princetonian student editorial board on the University's "unprecedented" decision to remove Gaza protest encampments, while arresting and expelling student protestors. dailyprincetonian.com/article/2024/0…