GLP-1, AI and Autonomous Vehicles - Company valuations, market trends and musings on investing.
All of my analysis is free.rootcapital.substack.comJoined June 2025
Public Portfolio Update: June 2025 > Today
Start Value - $100'000
Current Value - $140'188
Percentage increase - 40%
$GOOGL $NBIS and $RKLB leading the way, but the portfolio overall is looking very strong.
Some return for 3 and a bit months.
Some people are suggesting we should not expect $NBIS to report $3.5bn of the Microsoft revenue this year or in 2026, so stop valuing the company on a price to sales etc of this figure.
The funds are over a set period of time, if only a small portion is realised over the first…
My thesis here is simple.
Pressure is mounting to manufacture chips in the US.
Intel has an opportunity to be that US manufacturer.
Intel is the only true US company with the infrastructure in place to feasibly capture this opportunity.
It’s now backed by Nvidia and the…
My thesis here is simple.
Pressure is mounting to manufacture chips in the US.
Intel has an opportunity to be that US manufacturer.
Intel is the only true US company with the infrastructure in place to feasibly capture this opportunity.
It’s now backed by Nvidia and the…
$TSLA $UBER partnership was predicted on my blog some time ago.
Prior to this announcement that seemed far fetched - less so now.
$UBER has the jurisdictional scale to turbocharge $TSLA FSD scaling.
$TSLA $UBER partnership was predicted on my blog some time ago.
Prior to this announcement that seemed far fetched - less so now.
$UBER has the jurisdictional scale to turbocharge $TSLA FSD scaling.
The inference explosion is coming. $583 Billion in DC AI chips by 2029. ~$750 Billion in 2030.
I think $MS got the training number wrong though. Training won’t slow. It will become more efficient.
$NVDA owns GPU volume (~90%)
$AVGO owns the XPU volume (~80%)
$ARM and $AMD…
Since 2nd June, the analysis I have published, and their indicative purchases have outperformed the market:
Average return of 19.6%
Maximum downside of 19.4%
Maximum upside of 87.7%
If you're interested in getting a taste of the analysis, check out my $NBIS write up:…
Along with $GAW - $NBIS and $AMD are two of my strongest buying opportunities right now.
Both share one quality: As their moats increase, they're going to become even more difficult to sell.
I personaly haven't seen two opportunities as strong since $PLTR.
There has been a few $AMD downgrades in recent weeks, none of them mentioning:
- AMD's laser long term focus on inference
- AMD's upcoming chip is the best on the market
- $ORCL who is a huge $AMD partner just reported an exponentially growing order book
- $AMD's operating…
$NBIS raising $3B (2B converts + 1B equity) isn’t dilution panic, it’s offense.
This locks in the firepower to hit 1GW+ Blackwell buildout while $CRWV drowns in 20%+ interest costs.
Future hyperscalers raise ahead of the curve.
This is how $30–50B EV stories are built.
I saw the raise yesterday as quite bullish, and a signal for immediate unmet demand - at around $~10% dilution.
The terms are actually more favourable with high conversion prices at maturity reflecting the demand for this offering.
It wasn’t just us that saw this raise as…
I saw the raise yesterday as quite bullish, and a signal for immediate unmet demand - at around $~10% dilution.
The terms are actually more favourable with high conversion prices at maturity reflecting the demand for this offering.
It wasn’t just us that saw this raise as…
Just a bit of $NBIS napkin math on the raise today 👇
Arkady stated in the 6-K on the 8th that $2bn of the Microsoft revenue would be used in year 1 as cap-ex for $3.5bn in annual revenue.
- I expect years 2 and 3 costs will diminish slightly for the same return but not…
$NBIS dilution is bought up within 20 minutes.
There are now few immediate reasons to take profit and I expect price discovery to formally commence way past 100.
$NVO cutting its workforce by 10%. There is additionally some guidance that profit will be reduced - this is due to the one off costs of restructuring not new revenue concerns.
I think overall this is expected, and likely needed. We have seen layoffs occur as part of efficiency…
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15K Followers 332 FollowingLearning about the markets since 2019 | Investor of $PLTR since 2020 | $HIMS investor since 2024 | $NBIS investor since 2025. Always curious
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