Scott Tranter @stranter
Data Science @decisiondeskhq Washington D.C. Joined January 2008-
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Robert F. Kennedy Jr. claimed ballot access in California today, raising his access to 21 Electoral Votes confirmed and an additional 78 claimed. See our live tracker here: elections2024.thehill.com
First time they've been tied in our 3 way national polling average since November 2023. The smart bet is several lead changes between Biden/Trump through November.
First time they've been tied in our 3 way national polling average since November 2023. The smart bet is several lead changes between Biden/Trump through November.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) officially qualified for the ballot in Michigan today. Check out our live tracker of the Independent presidential candidate’s ballot access across the country here: elections2024.thehill.com
As of April 17th, Donald Trump (R) leads Joe Biden (D) and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) by 0.5% based on 120 polls included in the Decision Desk HQ/@thehill national polling average. This is Trump's narrowest lead since last November.
🚨 Donald Trump (R) and Joe Biden (D) are tied in the latest national polling average update from Decision Desk HQ/@thehill. Trump had previously led in our average since mid-October 2023. Check it out here: elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden…
*NEW* DDHQ Polling Average: Michigan Presidential (3-Way) Donald Trump (R): 41.6% (+3.6) Joe Biden (D): 38.0% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I): 9.6% This average is based on 16 polls.
🎉New podcast! On this month’s episode, we delve into #PoliticalPolls & the upcoming House, Senate & presidential elections with the help from two experts: Kai Chen Yeo from @EchelonInsights & @stranter from @DecisionDeskHQ 🎧Listen now! podbean.com/ew/pb-jg2bv-15…
Donald Trump's average favorability rating concerning his 2024 candidacy has turned positive for the first time since we began tracking. Favorable: 47.9% (+0.1) Unfavorable: 47.8% This average is based on 296 polls. More here: elections2024.thehill.com/national/trump…
Decision Desk HQ projects Nikki Haley wins the Vermont Republican Primary. #DecisionMade: 10:21pm ET Follow results here: results.decisiondeskhq.com/2024/Primaries…
It’s easy to imagine a scenario where #Michigan decides the 2024 election. @DecisionDeskHQ @NewsNation
Whose gonna give me odds it's about aliens?
Decision Desk HQ projects Tom Suozzi wins the special election for New York's 3rd congressional district. #DecisionMade: 9:58pm ET Follow more results here: decisiondeskhq.com/special-electi…
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I hope they put in a control group...
Big news out of Georgetown today for this American University graduate
Big news out of Georgetown today for this American University graduate
I think by late October their will be enough data to support a lean dem race TX :: Dems : MD :: GOP
I think by late October their will be enough data to support a lean dem race TX :: Dems : MD :: GOP
NEW* DDHQ Polling Average: 2024 Presidential Election (National, Three-Way) Donald Trump (R): 39.5% (+4.6 Joe Biden (D): 34.8% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I): 8.8% This average is based on 69 polls. elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden…
Yes, this is real.
In our latest video, DDHQ's @LibertyVittert breaks down with the 2024 Presidential map based on recent polling averages. Watch here: zurl.co/bNjd
Liam Donovan @LPDonovan
40K Followers 3K Following Politics. Hoyas. YMMV. Views expressed are mine alone, obviously. @TheLobbyShopPodLuke Thompson @ltthompso
22K Followers 966 Following Elections. @Con_Speak. Housekeeper to @BrookeNevils, babies, cats, dog. Jayhawk, Cantab, Eli. Normal disclaimers apply. Abnormal ones too.Jonathan Martin @jmart
319K Followers 11K Following Senior political columnist @politico. Best email for audio files, documents, tips and provocative ideas: https://t.co/VmkJz2G3tS or DM for text/signalLakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/himTim Miller @Timodc
365K Followers 3K Following Host of The Bulwark Podcast | MSNBC analyst | Author “Why We Did It” | Jokic обожавалац | IG @TimMillergram | 🏳️🌈dad | Never TrumpComfortably Smug @ComfortablySmug
296K Followers 7K Following My Interests: Finance, Whiskey, Politics, Books, Food, Meeting Strangers #altcenter Disinformation and misinformation researcherLogan Dobson @LoganDobson
23K Followers 2K Following Political & public affairs @TargetedVictory. Proud Alum @NRSC/@SenCoryGardner/@TarranceGroup. Prouder @EmilyTDobson husband. 1-1 boxer. Vive L'Empereur.Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
472K Followers 1K Following chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.Patrick Ruffini @PatrickRuffini
53K Followers 3K Following Pollster @EchelonInsights, married an Iowa girl, author of PARTY OF THE PEOPLE, coming November 7 from Simon & Schuster.Kyle Kondik @kkondik
53K Followers 4K Following American elections analyst; Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA Center for Politics. Sign up free at https://t.co/vMxRSSZvVTSasha Issenberg @sissenberg
20K Followers 21K Following A journalist for Monocle, Politico, and others. Author of books including @Engagement_Book, @victorylab and (out now) THE LIE DETECTIVES.Alex Thompson @AlexThomp
71K Followers 12K Following national political correspondent at @Axios. writing a book on Biden. [email protected] 202 684 6144 for text, Signal, TelegramKristen Soltis Anders.. @KSoltisAnderson
70K Followers 220 Following Pollster/entrepreneur: @echeloninsights. On-air: @cnn. Author: The Selfie Vote. Newsletter: Codebook (substack). #dailywallyNatalie Jackson @nataliemj10
13K Followers 830 Following nataliej on https://t.co/jAQBkpBv42 Opinions are my own. VP @GQRResearch, columnist @nationaljournal, polsci PhD. Fmr @PRRIpoll, @JustCapital, @HuffPost, @MaristPollAnton Vuljaj @anton
3K Followers 5K Following Tweets my own. Now: @KochIndustries. Then: politics @google, growth @axios, digital/strategy @thedatatrust, @teamimge, ex campaign hack. Always: Michigander.Marc Caputo @MarcACaputo
86K Followers 5K Following National political reporter @BulwarkOnline Florida Man. https://t.co/zsZKJ562U7Larry Sabato @LarrySabato
208K Followers 38K Following Director, UVA @Center4Politics. Author, The Kennedy Half Century https://t.co/JYUokVHxEZ. Read the Crystal Ball every week: https://t.co/zPYuO6A8f9Xenocrypt @xenocryptsite
10K Followers 6K Following Politics, math, etc. GitHub pages page: https://t.co/fBpQtqLvYl Medium: https://t.co/1gnQzJWJQ5 Blogspot: https://t.co/ACCsP5BP6R @[email protected]Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
369K Followers 2K Following Fast and accurate election results, from federal to local. Sign up for a free DDHQ account and newsletter subscription ⬇️Thorongil @Thorongil16
18K Followers 3K Following partner and data director @splitticket_. boola boola @yale. the dream shall never die. counsellor to good causes near and far. planning special operations.Thealou @Thealou331108
0 Followers 157 FollowingToadoat @Toadoat128279
0 Followers 216 FollowingDelma Esquivez @esquive_del
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194 Followers 1K Following Executive Project Manager @EuropeElects. Deputy Editor @AsiaElects. MSc @LSEnews, BSc @Uni_of_Essex.Michaela Kraichely @MKraichely80480
76 Followers 5K FollowingAlethic @AlethicModality
25 Followers 140 FollowingMegan Levander @MegLevan
83 Followers 5K FollowingKristina Enmon @enmon_enm
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49 Followers 5K FollowingPhebe Obermoeller @PObermoell15997
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27 Followers 933 Following Across the Great Wall we can reach every corner in the world!Nansi Beaudreau @BeaudreauN19963
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407 Followers 1K Following Back-up Account American Patriot Republican Conservative Political Junkie Unfiltered #MAGA ALSO: Bookeeper Mother Marriage SurvivorKarly Dad @DadKarly97880
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3K Followers 8K Following 🇺🇸🦅🇺🇸 Dumping the bucket of ugly truth. Look past the propaganda and lies to see the truth of what is being done to our country! #MAGA 🇺🇸🦅🇺🇸Michael Neibauer @WBJNeibs
7K Followers 1K Following Managing editor, Washington Business Journal. Office weather nerd. Always, permits. Philly (area) native and lifelong sports fan. [email protected]Gabriel Walker @GabrielWalker
397 Followers 2K Following Life can't be all Rosy. Happiness means you. I vote💙Liam Donovan @LPDonovan
40K Followers 3K Following Politics. Hoyas. YMMV. Views expressed are mine alone, obviously. @TheLobbyShopPodDave Wasserman @Redistrict
642K Followers 1K Following Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.Nate Silver @NateSilver538
3.4M Followers 2K Following New Book, On The Edge, August 13: https://t.co/WeCLEOd4BeMary Katharine Ham @mkhammer
322K Followers 7K Following Host of "Getting Hammered" pod. Immune to Mom-shaming, mobs. DGD. Author, “End of Discussion,” I disagree w people for a living, am stunning & brave.Luke Thompson @ltthompso
22K Followers 966 Following Elections. @Con_Speak. Housekeeper to @BrookeNevils, babies, cats, dog. Jayhawk, Cantab, Eli. Normal disclaimers apply. Abnormal ones too.Jonathan Martin @jmart
319K Followers 11K Following Senior political columnist @politico. Best email for audio files, documents, tips and provocative ideas: https://t.co/VmkJz2G3tS or DM for text/signalLakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/himJake Sherman @JakeSherman
438K Followers 4K Following Founder of @punchbowlnews. @nbcnews/@msnbc. Phish/Dead fan. Author of NYT best seller, “The Hill To Die On”.Tim Miller @Timodc
365K Followers 3K Following Host of The Bulwark Podcast | MSNBC analyst | Author “Why We Did It” | Jokic обожавалац | IG @TimMillergram | 🏳️🌈dad | Never TrumpNoam Blum @neontaster
192K Followers 1K Following The neontaster || Cohost of the @ambXover podcast and of All Crossed Out on @getcallin || also see @neon2ster || עם ישראל חיComfortably Smug @ComfortablySmug
296K Followers 7K Following My Interests: Finance, Whiskey, Politics, Books, Food, Meeting Strangers #altcenter Disinformation and misinformation researcherLogan Dobson @LoganDobson
23K Followers 2K Following Political & public affairs @TargetedVictory. Proud Alum @NRSC/@SenCoryGardner/@TarranceGroup. Prouder @EmilyTDobson husband. 1-1 boxer. Vive L'Empereur.Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
472K Followers 1K Following chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
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74K Followers 508 Following Polls, politics, postpunk. Co-host of @Political_Beats and Friendly Writer at @NRO. Dedicated to you, but you weren't listening.Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
65K Followers 930 FollowingTom Bonier @tbonier
95K Followers 991 Following CEO @thetara_group, Sr Advisor @TargetSmart, former @HowardU, @claritycampaign, @ncec1948, @SEIULocal500. DM inquiriesPatrick Ruffini @PatrickRuffini
53K Followers 3K Following Pollster @EchelonInsights, married an Iowa girl, author of PARTY OF THE PEOPLE, coming November 7 from Simon & Schuster.Josh Holmes @HolmesJosh
60K Followers 2K Following President of @Cavalry by day. Co-host of @ruthlesspodcast by night.Maggie Haberman @maggieNYT
1.6M Followers 6K Following NYT/CNN/Author CONFIDENCE MAN: The Making of Donald Trump and the Breaking of AmericaBookings For Leland V.. @OnBalanceGuests
108 Followers 216 Following This page is operated by the Talent Booking Team for “On Balance” with Television Host @LelandVittert on NewsNation. DM us with tips and booking inquiries!Jakub Rogowiecki @jakubrog_
194 Followers 1K Following Executive Project Manager @EuropeElects. Deputy Editor @AsiaElects. MSc @LSEnews, BSc @Uni_of_Essex.Zac McCrary @ZacMcCrary
5K Followers 758 Following The World's Most Dangerous Pollster. Partner: Impact Research. Host of the @ProPoliticsPod Podcast...subscribe already. https://t.co/TcADAWA911Scott L @IamScottlarson
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88K Followers 902 Following I write about genetics, 'metrics, and demographics. Read my long-form writing at https://t.co/8hgA4nNS2A.Michael Neibauer @WBJNeibs
7K Followers 1K Following Managing editor, Washington Business Journal. Office weather nerd. Always, permits. Philly (area) native and lifelong sports fan. [email protected]Cognition @cognition_labs
123K Followers 19 Following Makers of Devin, the first AI software engineer. We are an applied AI lab focused on reasoning, and code is just the beginning. Join us: https://t.co/tpfZwEwGiqJohn Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch
491K Followers 6K Following Columnist and chief data reporter @FinancialTimes | Stories, stats & scatterplots | Senior fellow @LSEdataScience | [email protected]Connell McShane @connellmcshane
20K Followers 1K Following Watch "NewsNation Now with Connell McShane" from 3-5pmETDaniella BallouAares @dballouaares
1K Followers 916 Following CEO and Co-Founder, Leadership Now Project. Democracy deserves defending. Mom, New Yorker, optimist.Lauren Goode @LaurenGoode
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554 Followers 553 Following Founder @ TGS Insights. Pollster turned business leader. Ohio born and raised, DC transplant. @MiamiUniversity BA/MARecall Charles Allen @recallallen
3K Followers 644 Following The official Charles Allen Recall handleWill Kinney @WKCosmo
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22K Followers 1K Following Industrials focused private markets firm | We revive nascent manufacturing businesses - Don’t close your plant! | Our Operating System is open sourceJohn Dick @jdcivicscience
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5K Followers 145 Following Official account for The Almanac of American Politics. The 2024 Edition is available now. Visit https://t.co/kZODqyhk5i to purchase.Thorongil @Thorongil16
18K Followers 3K Following partner and data director @splitticket_. boola boola @yale. the dream shall never die. counsellor to good causes near and far. planning special operations.Leon Sit @politicsmaps
3K Followers 162 Following 薛利安 • UCLA '25 • managing editor, graphics @SplitTicket_The Real Estate God @TheRealEstateG6
115K Followers 153 Following Institutional RE ($500MM+) turned REPE firm founder. Apply to work 1-on-1 with me to buy your own deals: https://t.co/IgNreCEwzFHelen Toner @hlntnr
21K Followers 1K Following Interests: China+ML, natsec+tech, brains+words+absurdity | Current: @CSETGeorgetown (opinions my own) | Former: @open_philRaj Shah @RajShahDC
3K Followers 246 Following @SpeakerJohnson Deputy Chief for Comms, former exec at Fox Corporation, previously @WhiteHouse @GOP communicatorRuth Igielnik @RuthIgielnik
4K Followers 1K Following News surveys @nytimes. Formerly @pewresearch. Mostly tweet about polls, politics and data. Married to @benbwieder.Julia Benbrook @JuliaBenbrook
4K Followers 2K Following National Correspondent - CNN Newsource | @medillschool & @okstate alumThe Hill @thehill
4.4M Followers 345 Following The Hill is the premier source for policy and political news. Follow for tweets on what's happening in Washington, breaking news and retweets of our reporters.Adam Carlson @admcrlsn
9K Followers 2K Following Recovering political pollster (formerly @gsg), current market researcher, and election nerd. Spreadsheets help me relax. Views are my own.Chris Hanna @chrisallenhanna
7K Followers 49 Following Your Money Guy | Managing $500k+ incomes | Sharing business notes on TwitterAndrew Desiderio @AndrewDesiderio
91K Followers 1K Following Senior congressional reporter @PunchbowlNews, covering the Senate. Proud Italian-American 🇮🇹 & Philly native. [email protected]Alex Rosenwald @AlexRosenwald
2K Followers 5K Following Comms @thehill, Talent Relations @newsnation DC, @masonhillel Community Board Member, @GeorgeMasonU Alum #GoAngels Love Maddie ❤️Mark Ein @Markein
6K Followers 388 Following Entrepreneur, investor, sports team owner deeply committed civically and philanthropically to the Washington DC community.GeoConfirmed @GeoConfirmed
184K Followers 200 Following Map and Investigations = https://t.co/fKEp7FqbhI Managed by volunteers. Data shared with @Cen4InfoRes and @Bellingcat You can help us: https://t.co/9JWTu6EMRrJoshua Smithley @blockedfreq
7K Followers 175 Following Aviation enthusiast w/ degrees in Aviation Management & Airline Operations @ Purdue University. Election junkie. #Pennsylvania elections guy & data analyst.Trey Yingst @TreyYingst
442K Followers 3K Following Foreign Correspondent: @FoxNews #FreeEvanGershkovichAll Source News @All_Source_News
85K Followers 523 Following I focus on cartel violence in Mexico, Latin American affairs and drug trade/organized crime 🇲🇽🇺🇸Robert Sherman @RobertShermanTV
18K Followers 14K Following @NewsNation Foreign Correspondent || Covering the Israel-Hamas war || Previously: The War in Ukraine || ⬇️ Subscribe to my newsletter ⬇️Brian Beers @brianbeers
24K Followers 439 Following Building a multi-unit franchise empire: 46 franchises doing $42M/year + helping others do the sameMilan Singh @milansingh03
993 Followers 484 Following @yaledailynews opinion editor, among other things past and present.Amelia Thomson-DeVeau.. @ameliatd
12K Followers 1K Following Polling editor @AP, proud @fivethirtyeight alum, very tired mom of two. Tips/thoughts/general hellos: [email protected].SMB Attorney @SMB_Attorney
111K Followers 2K Following Eric Pacifici | Helping folks buy, sell and operate enduringly profitable businesses at @SMBLawGroup & @theSMBCenter | @Kirkland_Ellis & @GibsonDunn | @dukelawJeff Schogol @JeffSchogol
17K Followers 5K Following Jeff Schogol is the senior Pentagon reporter for Task & Purpose. DMs open. [email protected]; [email protected]; Signal and WhatsApp.Mr Family Office @MrFamilyOffice
28K Followers 496 Following Insights, news and lessons from Family Offices. 20+ years working with high-net-worth individuals and families. Sign up for the newsletter 👨👩👧👦📈🚀Brandon Roth | CRE De.. @RothCRE
9K Followers 156 Following Capital markets advisor arranging debt & equity for CRE Owners across the country. Managing Director for IPA in Palo Alto, CA.Restaurant Guy | John.. @RestaurantWill
10K Followers 479 Following Founder of SoFresh, a healthy fast-casual 🌱 | Follow me scale to 100+ locations 🍻 | We have 20 locations & growing👨🍳 | I tweet restaurants & SMB | 💛Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) officially qualified for the ballot in Michigan today. Check out our live tracker of the Independent presidential candidate’s ballot access across the country here: elections2024.thehill.com
As the U.S. gears up for another election, dive into the world of polling! Join the@TheHDSR Podcast this month as they discuss AI's impact on the 2024 election & more with Kai Chen Yeo from @EchelonInsights & @stranter from @DecisionDeskHQ hubs.li/Q02rYNBs0
I'm not sure people are prepared for side-by-side Popeyes and Taco Bell (409-411 8th St SE) on Barracks Row.
Today we launched Sherwood News! Here’s some of the features we launched today!
Can’t wait to join the best team in the business @semafor tomorrow. Thank you @Justin_B_Smith @semaforben, Rachel, @SCClemons, and the entire team for the warm welcome!
So thrilled that @bennettrich will be joining us @semafor! semafor.com/article/04/07/…
“I’m so sick of Congress I could vomit.” -Josh Lyman. Finally making my way through season one of West Wing (I know).
Me during 2010 Rob Simmons campaign but with sugar free Red Bull and vanilla wafers.
Diet Coke = campaign trail fuel!
"The lesson Issenberg illuminates in his deeply reported and skillfully written examination of the global war on disinformation is that it’s a conflict that can never be won, only managed." —@JoshuaGreen reviews THE LIE DETECTIVES in @monthly washingtonmonthly.com/2024/04/01/the…
🎉New podcast! On this month’s episode, we delve into #PoliticalPolls & the upcoming House, Senate & presidential elections with the help from two experts: Kai Chen Yeo from @EchelonInsights & @stranter from @DecisionDeskHQ 🎧Listen now! podbean.com/ew/pb-jg2bv-15…
ngl, the namesake sandwich at the restaurant where i was a line cook in college remains easily my top lifetime achievement and likely legacy
CHAIRMAN MCCAUL: “It was a long day, and I lost my temper. That is uncharacteristic of me and I apologize to Mr Issa, who I consider a friend.” ISSA spox: “No big deal. He’s been called far worse… and by colleagues he doesn’t like."
It sounds like Mike McCaul told Darrell Issa to go fuck himself in the middle of a committee hearing
4 years ago, celebrities (led by gal gadot) tried to pray away the pandemic by singing 'imagine' by john lennon x.com/chrsfrrstr/sta…
did the creator of pi ever anticipate a baja blast pie?
HASNIE: Why won’t you sell? CHEW “We’ve looked at it and it’s not feasible to do whatever the bill thinks it does within the…" HASNIE: To divest? CHEW: “This bill, in all the details you can read, go through the details, this would lead to banning of the app in the country.”
My book "THE LIE DETECTIVES: In Search of a Playbook for Winning Elections in the Disinformation Age" is out now. It covers what I consider the most urgent frontier of political innovation: how to track, measure and respond to online disinformation. —> sashaissenberg.com
.@dublinerpubdc celebrating 50 years in business. Opened in 1974. A great classic, nice Irish pub
Rep. Don Bacon, center-right Republican from a competitive Omaha-area district, endorses Donald Trump for president.
I am a lifelong Republican, and I will support Donald Trump as our party’s nominee for President. Republican voters across our country have spoken, and it is clear we want to return to the secure borders, strong economy, energy independence, and SCOTUS nominations that…
Tune into @thehill’s Super Tuesday night coverage! @kevcirilli @CateMartel @Brett_Samuels27 Watch here: youtube.com/live/ThIZ1GLNY…
Decision Desk HQ projects Nikki Haley wins the District of Columbia Republican Primary. #DecisionMade: 8:29pm ET Follow more results here: decisiondeskhq.com/dc-presidentia…