Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

The only way to use @FiveThirtyEight to make money on @PredictIt is to identify markets with longshot bias. For instance, @FiveThirtyEight knew Yang had a less than 1 percent chance of winning during the entire primary.

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

I was for a Hedge Fund with 14 people. We are working from home with zero disruption to our business. We got a 500k grant from the federal government due to Covid19. How much of this 4 trillion is a complete waste?

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

Which state is Biden more likely to win?

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

Obama’s 08 popular vote total won’t be touched for a long time

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

Forecasts without confidence intervals are wildly incomplete. True statisticians don’t just predict a number. They quantify their uncertainty.

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

The Hispanic community has been hit harder than any other racial group in NYC. Aside from socioeconomic status, there’s huge culture of physical touch in this community.

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

Joe Rogan preaches how people need to take care of their health to protect themselves from COVID. Then immediately lights a joint. It’s a respiratory disease.

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

The average-of-the-models projections total US Covid19 deaths of 200k in 2020. We’re at 10k. Just getting started. 😬

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

Kerry won MI/WI/PA Good sign for Biden. He’s also a career senator. And his best path is to flip these states.

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

The 34 fastest shrinking counties in PA we’re all Trump Counties. This will matter in 2020.

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

The only states Trump won in 2016, the @PredictIt projects him to lose, are Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

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Neoliberal Bayseian @2020Capper

6 years ago

What level SD event are these jobless claims?

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🗯️ᴋᴇᴇᴘ ᴀʙᴏʀᴛɪᴏɴ ʟᴇɢᴀʟ🗯️ @ThomBurrus

6 years ago

the problem of induction: 🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🐧