Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

Gives the shirt off his back London, England Joined June 2009

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

25 minutes ago

@JasonL_Capital If the maturity of NBIS is higher than $150, the cancellation of the option can get a return of 10.7% (91 days, about 43% annualized); if the right is exercised below $150, the actual cost base will be reduced to $134, which is about 22% lower than the current price.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

28 minutes ago

@ProKayaFinance It makes sense for you to choose NET as the first stock you will buy. How much longer do you expect it to fall? I think at similar levels.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

31 minutes ago

BREAKING: The S&P 500 falls to 7,710, wiping out more than $250 BILLION in market capitalization today as AI financing concerns drag stocks lower.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

32 minutes ago

@WheelieInvestor In 1950 they'd be impressed. In 2026 investors already priced in flying cars years ago and now just want to know when it'll stop being a prototype. 2028 is a long way off, and the FAA has opinions about cars that leave the ground.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

34 minutes ago

@EndicottInvests 👍🏻🫡

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

34 minutes ago

@TheSonOfWalkley The market now has high expectations for SpaceX. If it exceeds expectations, it will not necessarily rise. If it does not exceed expectations, it is easy to break the market.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

36 minutes ago

We can make a core + satellite structure. Most of the funds are placed in $QQQM or $VGT as bottom positions, and a small part of the positions are reserved for tickets such as $ZETA that are confident in themselves. In this way, there is not only compound interest on the bottom position, but also will not completely suppress the impulse of trading.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

38 minutes ago

@MZohaibKhan92

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

40 minutes ago

@vnkumarvnk Cool date coincidence, but Black Monday was driven by portfolio insurance and program trading, not the calendar. Still worth watching liquidity and vol next week though.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

41 minutes ago

@StockSavvyShay CRWV backlog is still there, and NBIS/IREN is also continuing to take contracts.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

a hour ago

JUST IN: SpaceX (SPCX) market cap falls below $2 trillion as the stock crashes more than 10% in a week, wiping out over $200 billion in market value. The stock has fallen sharply over the past week after the company announced plans to raise $40 billion to buy Nvidia chips, a move that could significantly increase SpaceX’s leverage and recurring interest expenses. $SPCX

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

a hour ago

The vast majority of mass shootings on campus are young men, which is a long-term statistical law and has little to do with whether to receive hormone treatment. This time, the gunman used a pump shotgun legally purchased by his mother. Instead of rushing to put on the "hormone" hat, it is better to wait for the results of the investigation and discuss how to reduce teenagers' exposure to weapons, strengthen mental health intervention and school safety measures.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

2 hours ago

That said, timing and price matter a lot. A sharp TSLA drop improves the math for SPCX shareholders, but both sets of shareholders still need to approve, and antitrust review is non-trivial for a ~$3.5T+ combination. The AI/robotics/energy/comms overlap (Robotaxi + Optimus + Grok + Terafab + Starlink) is real, but execution risk is high. “When, not if” is a strong claim — prediction markets are at 60% for before May 2027, not certainty.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

2 hours ago

The growth of only 45% month-on-month growth in Q3 is indeed much slower than that in Q2, but the quarterly revenue of $16.8 billion is already very considerable. The market was lowered from 2 trillion yuan to 1.5 trillion yuan, which is more to digest the excessive expectations in the early stage, rather than the collapse of fundamentals. The key is to see whether the adjusted profit margin can be stabilized in 2027, and whether the computing power expenditure can continue to be covered by income. The elasticity of AMZN's shareholding income will also decrease a lot as a result.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

2 hours ago

@StockMKTNewz Toronto's winter road conditions and weather are a challenge for autonomous driving. This time, Waymo will manually map and then gradually promote it. The idea of safety first is right. It depends on how far it can be reached by 2028.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

2 hours ago

"Make more money" only works when you widen the gap between income and expenditure and avoid lifestyle inflation. Most people who buy a $100,000 truck are either high-income people, business owners, or have a lot of leverage - not just "earning more". The real advantage is to increase income and continue to invest in the difference.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

2 hours ago

@JSCC2020Lee HSBC 57% by 2028e is the number that stuck. Counterpoint's 35x ASIC HBM bit demand growth and 56% HBM3E mix inside ASICs reinforce the same mix shift. Absolute Nvidia volume still grows; the constraint is still total capacity.

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

6 hours ago

Customer diversification is indeed conducive to the three memory giants reducing their dependence on a single buyer and improving their bargaining position. But the core variable is still the growth rate of total demand for HBM - even if the ASIC share rises to 57%, NVIDIA's absolute volume is expected to be not small, and with limited production capacity, the pricing power depends more on whether the supply can keep up with the overall AI demand.

Ehrmantraut Capital @EhrmantrautCap_

6 hours ago

Which would be good news for the Memory Big 3, since it reduces the dependency on Nvidia $NVDA and therefore reduces the bargaining power of Nvidia too. $MU $SKHY $005930.KS

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Jim Matherly @Analyst__Jim

2 hours ago

This concentration means that the rise in the stock market pulls the overall family wealth, mainly concentrated in high-net-worth groups; the wealth of the bottom families is still more dependent on real estate and wage income. In terms of market structure, this will also amplify the difference in the "wealth effect" during fluctuations.