Bill Blain @Bill_Blain
Strategist & Capital Markets morningporridge.com Shard Capital Joined November 2011-
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morningporridge.com/blog/debt/uk-d… The SNP hit bottom following Humza Yousaf’s resignation - which may be bad news for Labour. Scotland is an example of a proud people captured by a populist illusion. Yet, any Scot will never stop wondering: what if? #markets #investing #scotland #economy
morningporridge.com/blog/debt/watc… This week is about US bonds – watch how the arguments develop as we sit at a new cusp for markets. In stocks it’s about narrative and I wonder if we’re about to see a corporate denouement as Tesla does a “deal” in China. #markets #investing #economy
freilibertas.squarespace.com/the-turnaround… Delighted to have done this wide-ranging Podcast on Stephen Phillips Turnaround PodCast. We talked round my market history, the growth of the Alternatives business and how to make money in difficult markets. Great fun.. #markets #investing #economy
morningporridge.com/blog/banks/cen… Today the markets will focus on Tech earnings and future income expectations. Smarter money watches Supply Chains – and critical to global supply chains is China. The West fixates on demand, while Asia thinks about supply. #markets #investing #economy
morningporridge.com/blog/banks/cen… Markets should be relieved at the US reaching a bipartisan deal on Ukraine and Israel. The real issue is how the weekend US deal clearly focuses the US vs China, and that has massive market and economic implications. #markets #investing #economy
morningporridge.com/blog/banks/cen… It’s been an interesting week. We’ve seen yet more let-downs in politics, bonds, interest-rates and markets, and perhaps more nails driven into the myth that is Tesla. Sometimes it just takes one waverer to trigger a rout. #markets #investing #economy
morningporridge.com/blog/governmen… The UK faces multiple economic problems – which collectively look a clusterf*ck of monumental proportions. When it takes office, Labour will be given 100 days to solve them all. Who would want to be an MP? #markets #investing #economy #politics
morningporridge.com/blog/currency/… Liz Trump – now there is a scary thought! Liz is still in denial. Trump is in court and angry. Crypto shills are talking BitCoin higher on detailed charts on why it’s definitely going to $300k. Madness stalks the Earth. #markets #investing #economy
morningporridge.com/blog/geopoliti… Markets will breathe easy if Israel forgoes retaliation for Iran’s drone strike, but Iran remains the fundamental source of crisis in the Middle East. Peace and prosperity will remain elusive while Iran plots instability. #markets #investing #economy
morningporridge.com/blog/banks/cen… Yesterday’s US CPI confirms the new reality: inflation will continue to fester. The global economy will adjust to a new chaotic era; higher bond yields and economic normalisation. Might hurt a bit, but long term better! #markets #economy #investing
#CPI A short story...
ig.com/uk/news-and-tr… Great chat with Angeline Ong of IG - covered everything from normalised interest rates to The Funboy Three: Nvidia, Meta and Amazon… #markets #investing
morningporridge.com/blog/equities/… The pressure on the City of London is mounting – a disconnect between costs and fees, an irrelevant stock market, and a dysfunctional fixation on process and bureaucracy leaves the investment management industry struggling. #markets #investing #economy
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230 Followers 2K Following There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of Society than to debauch the currency.
I had a cable guy knock on my door today. He said he was there responding to a service call. I made it clear I didn't call for service. He walked back to his truck, and got something out of the front seat. I watched him walk back up to my door. I waited for him to speak instead…
morningporridge.com/blog/banks/cen… After the Japan bubble burst in 1989, the economy and stocks suffered three lost decades. Now the Nikkei has (almost) rehit its 34 year high. Is Japan back on track or is it just the weaker yen? #markets #investing #japan #economy
People complain about modern car reliability, but when you push for greater efficiency, the tolerances to failure tighten. This is bearable on the ground, but not in the air. @Bill_Blain Net zero has a lot to answer for….. morningporridge.com/blog/blains-mo…
FYI. I have suffered from obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) with violent characteristics for 33 years. After three years of integrative psychotherapy, the disorder is now in remission, and I expect to be fully cured within the next 12mo. I have decided to speak about it…
morningporridge.com/blog/blains-mo… The Canary Wharf saga has been “interesting”, but as demand for office space evolves, is it over? The events in Russia are a reminder to markets about instability, uncertainty and just how dysfunctional it could all become. #markets #investing #economy
@Bill_Blain The BoE and government destroy SMEs at their peril. There is likely neither the appetite nor the ability to re-build on the other side, from either entrepreneurs or banks.
morningporridge.com/blog/blains-mo… A 4 week old French AI hit first round value of $240mm and that’s cheap as chips (literally). Meanwhile, AT1/CoCo zombie bonds return from the grave of bad financial ideas, confirming Blain’s mantra: The Market Has No Memory! #markets #investing #economy
@Bill_Blain You are lucky , at least Stripe gave notice and a reason (sort of) ; (Transfer)Wise deactivated my accounts with no notice and no reason ("because that's how we are regulated"). After reading your article I wonder if it was my $15 payment to OptionStrat that has made me a leper.
And now for some food..
Politics for another day. Stepping down from an all-consuming role is hard and decompression takes time. @NicolaSturgeon has done one helluva shift. I wish her well for the future.
@RhonddaBryant I wonder if he gets realistic feedback or is he surrounded by people telling him what a great job he’s doing?
morningporridge.com/blog/blains-mo… The New UK Sunak Government had steadied markets, but in coming weeks it will become increasingly clear the fractured Tories are trapped in no-Growth Austerity. Can they escape, or is it time for a Political Reset? #markets #growth #investing #economy
@Bill_Blain Brexiteers have had a month in full Government with Truss as their proxy and have managed to blow up the bond market. Their experiment is over and it failed. Are the grown ups in the Tory Party ready to lock Brexit ideologists away and begin an adult relationship with Europe?
A cheery @Bill_Blain note arrives: "the current debacle facing the UK includes... leadership misjudgements, failing services, anaemic growth, tumbling productivity, sub-optimal investment, surging mortgage rates and consumer price misery"
Dear Twitter trolls… have a great day 🖕🏼
morningporridge.com/blog/blains-mo… The UK is not bust or broke. Smart investors are actively looking for bargains in the wake of the Trusster**ck. Its time for change to monetise the value of the UK for the UK!. #markets #investing #economy
Good to chat with @seanfarrington, @Bill_Blain and Shanti Keleman on #wakeuptomoney. The panel is from 5.05 to 5.33 (I know!). More accountability and respect for institutions would have averted much of this crisis: an expensive lesson. @NIESRorg bbc.co.uk/programmes/m00…
A really good analysis of Kwarteng's massive political and economic mistakes as £ / gilts collapse and the economy is being left for dead by ineptitude that my well be the requiem for this failed Chancellor @zerohedge @Bill_Blain morningporridge.com/blog/blains-mo… It is going to get worse.
morningporridge.com/blog/blains-mo… The UK’s “Virtuous Sovereign Trinity” of stable politics, currency and bond markets is at risk. The UK could stumble into a crippling Sovereign Financial crisis sooner than we think possible. #markets #investing #economy #gilts #gbp
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