Ludovic Subran @Ludovic_Subran
Chief economist @Allianz. Member @CAEInfo. Board @MercyCorps. Adj. Prof. @SciencesPo @HECParis. @WEF YGL. Ex @WorldBank @WFP @InseeFr. My views ludovicsubran.substack.com Munich, Bavière Joined March 2012-
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March JOLTS thread: 1/ "The Great Stay" continued in March. The hiring rate fell to 3.5%, which last cycle would have been consistent with an unemployment rate around 6.5%. (!!!)
The US Bond Market has now been in a drawdown for 45 months, by far the longest bond bear market in history.
C’est moi ou le flow de X est particulièrement nauséabond ces jours-ci ? Tweets agressifs, surenchère identitaire, invectives, etc. Bien sûr les gens viennent ici se lâcher mais je vois comme une colère artificielle destinée à déchaîner encore davantage avant une élection ?;)
Location, location, location 😂
Ludonomics - Quelles perspectives pour le non-coté ? - via @kesselfr ludonomics.kessel.media/posts/pst_8746…
« The problem is that these excess savings represent the suppression of domestic wages, and thus domestic demand, to achieve global competitiveness. » By @michaelxpettis China’s problem is excess savings, not too much capacity via @FT on.ft.com/3wdzFaS
Mais comment peut on laisser dire des conneries pareilles ? Toutes les études montrent le contraire et cette journaliste de pacotille, en manque de visibilité, peut aller dire de la merde islamophobe à la télé comme ça ? « On a des enquêtes » mais wtf ! @Club21Siecle
Mais comment peut on laisser dire des conneries pareilles ? Toutes les études montrent le contraire et cette journaliste de pacotille, en manque de visibilité, peut aller dire de la merde islamophobe à la télé comme ça ? « On a des enquêtes » mais wtf ! @Club21Siecle
The headline number for #eurozone GDP were unarguable great, with a beat on our forecast virtually everywhere. And while 0.3% is not much higher than expected, and not that strong, it is still quite a change from talk of negative growth one could hear early in 2024. 1/
The most powerful line in the 2017 speech was “I see no red lines, only horizons”. Macron made asks and offers: France is changing, so should the EU. Today, Macron makes few offers…because he’s weak at home? The lack of a grand bargain proposal is the speech’s Achilles heel. 👇
The most powerful line in the 2017 speech was “I see no red lines, only horizons”. Macron made asks and offers: France is changing, so should the EU. Today, Macron makes few offers…because he’s weak at home? The lack of a grand bargain proposal is the speech’s Achilles heel. 👇
Difficult job for the Fed tomorrow but here are 4 reasons rate cuts still the base case this year 1. the US labour market is still cooling (even if there are nasty blips like today's wage number) 1/
The #biodiversity financing gap is due to a lack of understanding about the value that ecosystems, like healthy soils, provide to human wellbeing & quality of life. These systems play a crucial role in providing food & water, and regulating the #climate: tinyurl.com/47z2hdvc
“As a rough number, a fully connected European #electricity market could reduce investment needs for storage and back-up capacity by 20-30%.” economist.com/europe/2024/04…
Inflation & rising interest #rates have tempered enthusiasm in private markets, leading to cautious investor sentiment & lower return expectations. The global outlook for private #debt & private #equity: allianz.com/en/economic_re…
"A very political loosening cycle is ahead of us," according to Allianz's @Ludovic_Subran: "The Fed could actually be forced to stop halfway through the loosening cycle and have a very bizarre 2025 when it comes to the right pathway" if Trump gets elected.
Amen ! Si j’avais reçu un euro à chaque fois que….
Amen ! Si j’avais reçu un euro à chaque fois que….
Europe—It Can Die. A New European Paradigm For the first time in English, we publish the full text of @EmmanuelMacron’s speech on Europe at the Sorbonne. French, Spanish and Italian versions can be found in @Grand_Continent. geopolitique.eu/en/2024/04/26/…
Présentation de notre ouvrage collectif @bsi_economics à @inst_entreprise ! @PatrickArtus comme contradicteur pour challenger nos thèses. Autour de la table : @Lequillerier, @Ludovic_Subran, Hervé Amourda, Julien Moussavi
Olivier Blanchard @ojblanchard1
170K Followers 389 Following Robert Solow Professor of economics emeritus, MIT Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economicsfipaddict @fipaddict
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47K Followers 2K Following Le poids d'un oiseau qui s'y pose suffit à déplacer la terre. The weight of a bird landing on it is enough to move the EarthBrad Setser @Brad_Setser
98K Followers 953 Following CFR senior fellow. Views are my own. Retweets are not endorsements. Writes on sovereign debt and capital flows.Frederik Ducrozet @fwred
65K Followers 2K Following Head of Macroeconomic Research, Pictet Wealth Management @PictetGroup. ECB Watcher. All opinions mine.Alexis Karklins-March.. @alexiskarklins
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62 Followers 61 Following Partnerships @ IOC | My Views | Keep it Fresh | COYS IJérémy A @Loloze6
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22 Followers 91 FollowingAndrejs Zlobins @andrejs_zlobins
158 Followers 159 Following Principal research economist at the Bank of Latvia. Views are my own.Disco Central Banker @Discobanker
959 Followers 1K Following Private account & personal views. Central Banker @ecb https://t.co/SUl13en1mC at the other placeJoshua Kirby @joshualeokirby
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298 Followers 1K Following MSCA PhD @SorbonneParis1 & @ULBruxelles with @GemDiamondPhD. Researching (E)CB comms networks and technocracy in macroeconomic policy. #textasdata Views own.David W. Higgins @higginsdavidw
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799 Followers 4K Following Treasurer, Senior Financial Manager, Funding, ALM.Uncover 007 🇩🇪�.. @uncover007
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39 Followers 47 FollowingTem Nyasulu @TemNyasulu
342 Followers 2K FollowingThomas Laurent @Thomas_laurent6
568 Followers 603 Following Conseiller au sport de Cesson-Sévigné // M2 Droit Public de l’Économie @assasuniversite0 @N013Q
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29K Followers 4K Following Maps & history 🧵 Host @UnDecencyPod | Editor @hexagone_news | Sr Researcher @ukonward | @SchwarzmanOrg 2025 ex @EurasiaGroup @sciencespo @georgetown 🇫🇷ELLA LELA @Ella_lela7
97 Followers 2K Following Seeking motivation in the simplest of things, like the vibrant colors and gentle fragrance of a flower. Let's explore the power of positivityBEI en France @BEIFrance
320 Followers 841 Following La BEI, banque publique de l’UE, est active en France depuis 1959. Ses priorités de financement visent la transition verte, l’innovation et le soutien aux PME.Abraham @Abraham90260512
144 Followers 984 FollowingMauricio Cienfuegos @SGilbert65792
294 Followers 4K Following Український солдат🇺🇦🇺🇦 3-тя десантно-штурмова бригада, рота вогневої підтримки 🛡️⚔️Відвоювання території України та боротьба з російським вторгненням ПРЯМОOlivier Blanchard @ojblanchard1
170K Followers 389 Following Robert Solow Professor of economics emeritus, MIT Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economicsfipaddict @fipaddict
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47K Followers 2K Following Le poids d'un oiseau qui s'y pose suffit à déplacer la terre. The weight of a bird landing on it is enough to move the EarthBrad Setser @Brad_Setser
98K Followers 953 Following CFR senior fellow. Views are my own. Retweets are not endorsements. Writes on sovereign debt and capital flows.Frederik Ducrozet @fwred
65K Followers 2K Following Head of Macroeconomic Research, Pictet Wealth Management @PictetGroup. ECB Watcher. All opinions mine.Alexis Karklins-March.. @alexiskarklins
23K Followers 957 Following Born in NY. London lover. 1/2 Balte. Littérature. Libéralismes. Rugby. Vin. Musiques. Ελλάδα. Italia. Écrit des livres & threads. Chroniqueur médias.fipeco @ecallefipeco
15K Followers 258 FollowingMaxime Sbaihi @MxSba
17K Followers 1K Following Economiste, directeur des études France @i_montaigne, auteur "Le Grand Vieillissement" aux @EdLObservatoire RTs & tweets n'engagent que moiNicolas Bouzou @nbouzou
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63K Followers 2K Following MIT Professor of Economics | Macro, International, Public, Monetary, Taxes, Finance | v = u + β v | Beatles | Boston ArgentinaDario Perkins @darioperkins
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32K Followers 959 Following Economist at Stanford. Fascinated by exchange rates. Really wanted to be a pilot. Actually, taxes do fund spending.Luis Garicano 🇪�.. @lugaricano
100K Followers 616 Following Economist. Professor at LSE @LSEPublicPolicy. Non-resident Fellow @bruegel_org. Recovering MEP.Clemens Graf von Luck.. @ClemensGvL
1K Followers 351 Following Twitter-toddler / former Economic Advisor at the World Bank Chief Economist office / Econ PhD candidateMasha Angelova @mashangelova
310 Followers 1K Following News Desk Producer @CNN Booking Producer @YahooFinance Fmr. Interviews @Bloomberg & AP Booker @CNNI @FirstMove Opinions are my own. RT not endorsement.FedResearch @FedResearch
19K Followers 8 Following The analysis and conclusions set forth are those of the authors and do not indicate concurrence by other members of the research staff or the Board of GovernorsEuropean Central Bank.. @ECB_Research
11K Followers 55 Following Insights, analysis and other news from @ecb researchers. Authors' views are their own, and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.Gregg Carlstrom @glcarlstrom
108K Followers 1K Following Middle East correspondent, @TheEconomist. Author, 'How Long Will Israel Survive? The Threat From Within.'V Mayer-Schönberger @Viktor_MS
6K Followers 121 Following Co-author of "Access Rules", "Framers" & "Big Data" | professor @ Oxford | EuropeanChristoph Maurer @maurerchr
5K Followers 1K Following Managing Director @consentec_de, lecturer https://t.co/NCoa11zBky @UniFAU, power grids and markets, energy policy.Marcello M. Estevão @MarcelloEstevao
4K Followers 403 Following World Bank and Georgetown University. PhD, MIT. Ex Brazil Deputy Minister of Finance, Federal Reserve, IMF, and Wall Street.Alison Gopnik @AlisonGopnik
20K Followers 35 Following Cognitive scientist, psychologist, philosopher, author of Scientist in the Crib, Philosophical Baby, The Gardener & The Carpenter, WSJ Mind And Matter columnistCerstin Gammelin @BPrSprecherin
10K Followers 383 Following Sprecherin des Bundespräsidenten / Spokeswoman of the Federal PresidentMelissa S. Kearney @kearney_melissa
22K Followers 91 Following Economics Professor at Univ of Maryland; Director of @AspenEcon; Non-resident Senior Fellow at Brookings; Mom of 3; from NJLudovic Suttor-Sorel @Lsuttors
2K Followers 5K Following Head of the European Macro Policy Network (EMPN) @DezernatZ | Ex-@forfinancewatch | ex-TEG | ex-@PositiveMoneyEU | ex-Econ. Researcher @ULBruxellesAurélien Breeden @aurelienbrd
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19K Followers 14 Following Co-founder & CEO @indifferenceP - Productions musicales & Management - Brand #desinvoltagencyStat’junior 📊 @statjunior
2K Followers 886 Following Amateur de chiffres 📊 | Je tweete de beaux graphiques en lien avec l'actualité économique et sociale | Graphiques et code source ⬇️Ben Harris @econ_harris
4K Followers 790 Following Brookings VP and Director of Economic Studies. Former Assistant Treasury Secretary and Chief Economist to VP Biden. Co-author of The Retirement Challenge.Brahima S. Coulibaly @BSangafowaCoul
2K Followers 327 Following Dad, Husband, VP Global Economy & Development @BrookingsInst Formerly Sr. Fellow & Director for Africa @BrookingsGlobal Chief economist EMDEs @FederalReserveOliver Stuenkel 🇧�.. @OliverStuenkel
159K Followers 1K Following Analista, Autor, Palestrante e Professor de Relações Internacionais da @FGVRI em São Paulo. Colunista @estadao e @AmerQuarterly 🇧🇷 https://t.co/M3PMFBcJmcMatthieu Auzanneau @OIL_MEN
15K Followers 4K Following Executive director @theShiftPR0JECT économie⊊écologie "Oil, Power, & War" @Nature: "Prodigious" "Oil Man" blog @LeMondefr CO2=POPxGDP/POPxE/GDPxCO2/EMathilde Muñoz @MathildeMunoz
4K Followers 729 Following Studying globalization and tax competition @berkeleyeconTony Addison @TonysAngle
21K Followers 3K Following Professor @uni_copenhagen @Economics_UCPH @DERG_DK #DERGDK🇩🇰. Non-Resident Senior Research Fellow & former Chief Economist @UNUWIDER 🇺🇳🇫🇮. My views 🤔Ned Price @nedprice
102K Followers 3K Following The personal account of a @StateDept public servant. Previously @NSC44 and @CIA.Friedrich-Ebert-Stift.. @FESonline
34K Followers 3K Following Wir engagieren uns weltweit für Demokratie, Frieden, Freiheit, Gerechtigkeit & Solidarität | EN: @FESnewsbrief | https://t.co/XmVx7wmu7X | https://t.co/8ltSYxAhsiKamil Kovar @CrisisStudent
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29K Followers 150 Following Chronique la politique US et l'actu aux États-Unis sur 𝕏 & parfois chez @slatefr | Me soutenir: https://t.co/kBJQhpFzuCHans von der Burchard @vonderburchard
19K Followers 1K Following Senior Politics Reporter @POLITICOEurope 🇩🇪 🇳🇱 🇪🇸 🇫🇷 🇮🇹 🇺🇸 ■ Berlin ■ Brussels ■ Buenos AiresMilojko Spajić @MickeySpajic
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180K Followers 8K Following Periodista de negocios y economía en ADN40 y columnista en El Heraldo de México. 🇲🇽Saskia Niño d Rivera.. @saskianino
80K Followers 2K Following Vivo despeinada. Detrás de cada persona hay una historia; escúchala.@Reinserta Autora de 5 libros. 🎙️ @penitencia_mx ✍️@Universal_mx 💜🏳🌈Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook
14K Followers 299 Following The day's best charts & insights, curated: https://t.co/Eq1KKRKE1uDavid Weigel @daveweigel
566K Followers 13K Following Covering politics for @semafor. Alum: @washingtonpost, @business, @slate. [email protected]. Buy my book: https://t.co/6sWfZ4MNgHSemafor @semafor
59K Followers 67 Following Building a new global news company. Sign up for our newsletters: https://t.co/1NfW7fz4BzCharles Serfaty @CharlesSerfaty
825 Followers 527 Following Economist 🇫🇷 @banquedefrance Sovereign Debt, International Trade, Macroeconomics, Econ History PhD @MITeconAurélien Saussay @aureliensaussay
839 Followers 125 Following Assistant Professor of Environmental Economics in the Grantham Research Institute at the London School of Economics, associate researcher at OFCE (Sciences Po)Parker Ross @Econ_Parker
12K Followers 660 Following Global Chief Economist @ Arch Capital Group | ex JPM AIG HUD | Husband to Jamie & Dad to Lando & Grey | No investment advice & views are my own 🦬🇺🇸🇮🇱Ulrike Malmendier @umalmend
7K Followers 412 Following behavioral@berkeley! Professor of Economics & Finance at UC Berkeley, Co-Director of the Initiative for Behavioral Economics & Finance, Member of 🇩🇪 @GCEE_enMichael J. Coren @MJ_Coren
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42K Followers 938 Following Serving professional money managers. Tweets are for sport, not recommendations or advice. Life is short, if you're a jerk, you'll be unceremoniously blocked.CNBC's Street Signs @StreetSignsCNBC
40K Followers 492 Following Trade. Invest. Analyse. Street Signs on @CNBCiDaniel Kral @DanielKral1
9K Followers 4K Following Europe macro at @OxfordEconomics. Opinions my own.HAKAN YILMAZKUDAY @yilmazkuday
5K Followers 5K Following Professor of Economics @FIU | Consultant @WorldBank | Faculty Fellow @fiu_sipa | PhD and MA in Economics @VanderbiltU | BSc in Economics @LSEnews | #EconTwitterYuval Noah Harari @harari_yuval
632K Followers 53 Following Historian and bestselling author of 'Sapiens', 'Homo Deus', '21 Lessons for the 21st Century', 'Sapiens: A Graphic History', 'Unstoppable Us', and 'NEXUS'.Steve Hou (“LEASE M.. @stevehouf
20K Followers 2K Following Research @Bloomberg Indices, formerly @aqrcapital, @umichEcon PhD, @ETH and @UVA, always “advanced degree hater”, opinions my own.March JOLTS thread: 1/ "The Great Stay" continued in March. The hiring rate fell to 3.5%, which last cycle would have been consistent with an unemployment rate around 6.5%. (!!!)
@Ludovic_Subran La série d'ados assassinés est vraiment dure à supporter.
@Ludovic_Subran Avec en plus un changement d'algorithme qui fait remonter plusieurs comptes d'extrême droite trumpiste et pro Putin
Mon père a été medecin pendant + de trente ans à Clichy Sous Bois (93). Ses récits à lui, c'est plutôt des filles ultra bosseuses et brillantes qui intègrent des grandes écoles, médecine et des écoles d'avocat, à la fierté de leurs parents. N'imp celle là.
🇫🇷 « La majorité des filles d'obédience musulmane maghrébine sont obligées de se retenir d'avoir de bons résultats à l'école, car si elles réussissent, les parents vont leur dire 'Tu te prends pour une blanche ou quoi !?' », a déclaré Abnousse Shalmani.
The headline number for #eurozone GDP were unarguable great, with a beat on our forecast virtually everywhere. And while 0.3% is not much higher than expected, and not that strong, it is still quite a change from talk of negative growth one could hear early in 2024. 1/
The most powerful line in the 2017 speech was “I see no red lines, only horizons”. Macron made asks and offers: France is changing, so should the EU. Today, Macron makes few offers…because he’s weak at home? The lack of a grand bargain proposal is the speech’s Achilles heel. 👇
Macron’s grand speech falls short of a plausible path for Europe’s future on.ft.com/3xX3hdj
Difficult job for the Fed tomorrow but here are 4 reasons rate cuts still the base case this year 1. the US labour market is still cooling (even if there are nasty blips like today's wage number) 1/
Pecresse suspend le financement de la région Ile-de-France à Sciences Po à cause des manifs de soutien à la Palestine dans l’école, fustigeant LFI et « l’islamo-gauchisme ». Valoche avait refusé de couper le robinet à Stanislas en pleine dérive homophobe et sexiste. Deux poids…
Thank you @TheEconomist for writing about my recent work on inflation! economist.com/finance-and-ec…
@Ludovic_Subran French unwillingness to build interconnectors was already a problem when I studied energy economics. And I now have 3 kids and grey hair.
Le train de vie du petit Louis Sarkozy. Ça éclaire le rapport à l’argent de cette petite famille 😄 politico.eu/article/louis-…
Étant de la génération 1968, je dois avouer que je ne comprends pas l’émotion que suscite l’occupation de Sciences Po. Occuper une université m’a toujours semblé faire partie des passages obligés exaspérants et un peu ridicules de la jeunesse politisée.
And… now it’s raining/ thunderstorms in Riyadh Is it me?! Am I a weather curse
Une page se tourne… 😢… une autre s’ouvre 😊… au revoir @bfmbusiness bonjour @LesEchos !
Ravi d'avoir pu t'épauler durant ces 5 années @chrisjaku. Merci pour ta confiance et ta bonne humeur quotidienne. Bonne route aux @LesEchos ! @LaureClosier @AnthonyMorel @fabienchamblanc @evajcqt @reb__bl @NicolasDOZE @marcfiorentino @StephanieColeau @nicolaspoincare @bfmbusiness
"A very political loosening cycle is ahead of us," according to Allianz's @Ludovic_Subran: "The Fed could actually be forced to stop halfway through the loosening cycle and have a very bizarre 2025 when it comes to the right pathway" if Trump gets elected.
"Répression financière" : un concept flou et mal utilisé (Eric Monnet) alternatives-economiques.fr/eric-monnet/re…
Europe—It Can Die. A New European Paradigm For the first time in English, we publish the full text of @EmmanuelMacron’s speech on Europe at the Sorbonne. French, Spanish and Italian versions can be found in @Grand_Continent. geopolitique.eu/en/2024/04/26/…
Présentation de notre ouvrage collectif @bsi_economics à @inst_entreprise ! @PatrickArtus comme contradicteur pour challenger nos thèses. Autour de la table : @Lequillerier, @Ludovic_Subran, Hervé Amourda, Julien Moussavi
@Ludovic_Subran 👇🏻👌🏻👌🏻🌹🌹🌹
It should be Draghi. The problem is that after Delors, Presidents and Prime Ministers learned the wrong lesson—to always pick a weak, malleable Commission President lest he/she takes own initiative or otherwise diminish them—hence also the idiotic double (Council) president.