Blerina Uruçi @BlerinaUruci
Chief US Economist. Proud mom. Elbasan➡️London➡️Lilongwe➡️London➡️New York➡️DC My views are my own. Washington DC Joined March 2020-
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“In the details, you could find reasons not to be concerned,” said Blerina Uruci, chief U.S. economist at T. Rowe Price, but she added that the overall message was that core inflation could be “sticky.” nyti.ms/3Eo9bE9
"I still think there is enough support from the labor market to prevent the US consumer from completely rolling over," says Blerina Uruci of T. Rowe Price trib.al/tg2A8o0
Matthew Luzzetti, chief US economist at Deutsche Bank, forecasts the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points at its next four meetings, reaching a peak of 5.5% to 5.75% in July wsj.com/articles/infla…
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Head of Fixed Income and CIO Arif Husain thinks that U.S. core inflation will fall to around 2% before reaccelerating in the longer term. trowe.com/4cT06D5
Lael Brainard asked what advice she has about managing career and family--select your spouse carefully 😂😂 #facts
Had a great time at this year's Jackson Hole! Great program, nature, excellent hosting and an amazing number of women economists! Thank you @KansasCityFed !
A woman of consequence, so honored to hear the wisdom of Madame @Lagarde and shake her hand
Gang’s all here (that’s @steveliesman, @philadelphiafed’s Harker, @TheStalwart) About to come up on @YahooFinance.
Circa 1997 when as a newly minted Fed economist the biggest challenges were figuring out how to measure booming productivity (much progress made) and whether we were in a stock market bubble (yes)
The board of directors of @nabe_econ at the White House for a dialogue on the economic outlook with @WhiteHouseCEA…wish it was as clear as this beautiful spring day
Surprised at people seeing the Fed facility as a form of stimulus and not insurance—banks are not going to want to tell shareholders they are tapping emergency Fed facilities & will likely tighten risk and credit standards accordingly
Thank you @USAmbPEPFAR for highlighting the harms of punitive policies and the importance of structural interventions to address gaps in equity
Great to see Nkengasong highlight the important study study by Lyons and colleagues on associations between punitive policies and legal barriers to consensual same-sex sexual acts and HIV that we published recently. Available (free with registration) here thelancet.com/journals/lanhi…
Great moment at this year’s #JacksonHole @KansasCityFed Jackson Hole symposium.
We did it! All jobs lost during the recession have officially been recouped in 2-1/2 years, less than half of last cycle!
This is part of a broader theme: Commodities/housing/labor (key inflation inputs) are cyclically biased stronger, not weaker as they were in the 2010s. This backdrop makes it unlikely the Fed can sustain a "dovish pivot" because of how quickly these forces could turn back on.
Emerging theme from earnings reports: it has been such a tough road to staffing up & turnover is still high so firms are reluctant to freeze hiring & plan to use any slowdown to acquire or hold onto top talent. The opposite of the scar tissue from the Great Recession
Emerging theme from earnings reports: it has been such a tough road to staffing up & turnover is still high so firms are reluctant to freeze hiring & plan to use any slowdown to acquire or hold onto top talent. The opposite of the scar tissue from the Great Recession
I’m a little confused by some of the Fed narrative: Powell provided plenty of forward guidance—another “unusually large” move in September is “certainly possible” if there isn’t progress in inflation & the June SEP is still a good reflection of FOMC thinking on the path of rates
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