Byron Bader @ByronMBader
Creator of Hockey Prospecting | FMR. NHL Draft Consultant | Data Scientist | Work featured on Sportsnet, TSN & The Athletic [email protected] HockeyProspecting.com Calgary, AB Joined August 2011-
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The Tanev brothers were both undrafted, both late bloomers playing in tier 2 leagues into their D+1 season (looked like big long shots to make the NHL). And both are likely going to play 800+ games in the NHL. Really wild and neat they were both able to carve out notable NHL…
Of course. My most popular tweet ever is me just talking out loud about a mostly nothing observation that I found curious.
Of course. My most popular tweet ever is me just talking out loud about a mostly nothing observation that I found curious.
Bertuzzi one of the only NHLers to refuse to get vaccinated but also one of the few NHLers to adopt a neck guard thus far. Ok. Alright.
Hockey Prospecting has been updated with final season numbers. Over 400 2024 eligible draftees are included. There's some serious gems in this draft. Become a subscriber ($35 CAD annually) and join the fun. HockeyProspecting.com
If both teams in the Stanley Cup Finals this year don't have at least 4 true stars on their team I would be shocked. The trend is heading towards more stars to win cups.
If both teams in the Stanley Cup Finals this year don't have at least 4 true stars on their team I would be shocked. The trend is heading towards more stars to win cups.
The trend continues into the 2023-24 playoffs. You ain't got stars, you ain't got no chance. 73% of the teams with 5 or more stars made it. 80% of the teams with 2 or less didn't make it. The Islanders and Capitals, the two teams that did make it, may very well get swept.
87% on nearly 1,000 votes! Honestly didn't expect it to skew that far to one side. Renewed confidence in my model and what I'm doing here on the bird app when I see that tbh.
87% on nearly 1,000 votes! Honestly didn't expect it to skew that far to one side. Renewed confidence in my model and what I'm doing here on the bird app when I see that tbh.
The Red Wings recent rebuild has a trend of ignoring the high prob. star candidates and choosing the presumably safer 'two way pick' (namely their 1st picks of each draft). I thought it could bite them down the road. It might be starting to bite them. From 2017 to 2023... My…
Nope. Adoring fans of me and my maths. All of them.
Nope. Adoring fans of me and my maths. All of them.
Perhaps the Kings should bring in Brandt Clarke for the rest of the series and introduce their own Evan Bouchard to this series that has featured 20 goals in two games already. Let's party.
This could be a decent year for under the radar goalies at the draft. There's a number of overage Euros doing some good things in the pro leagues and trending very well.
Ilya Nabokov (who apparently is not Evgeni Nabokov's son but I'll keep the comparison) should certainly get drafted this year after leading his team to the KHL Gagarin Cup, and winning MVP, having just turned 21. And it'll be a solid move by whichever team pulls the trigger.
I think Ty Smith could have an offensive impact in between Sean Durzi and Evan Bouchard. Not a work of art defensively (like Durzi and Bouchard) but surprised there's not one team willing to give him a one-year try in the NHL to see what's there.
@MrBooth07 I believe one of the lines in the song is “one time for Thatcher Demko.” Little did we know the “one time” would be his one game 🥲
The Ducks have had Zegras and McTavish graduate from prospects to full-on NHLers in the past year or so. Mintyukov, Carlsson and Zellweger just starting their NHL careers. Gauthier coming now. Maybe Pastujov is something too. Good young fun in Anaheim.
Even with Carter Hart likely gone from the NHL forever, the Flyers appear to be sitting on a goalie factory with Fedotov, Kolosov, Ersson and Zavragin. What's the common theme with the 4 goalies?
Even with Carter Hart likely gone from the NHL forever, the Flyers appear to be sitting on a goalie factory with Fedotov, Kolosov, Ersson and Zavragin. What's the common theme with the 4 goalies? https://t.co/S7DhmNvh6J
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@ByronMBader Oh my goodness, look at all this attention I got on accident.
@ByronMBader sunglasses convoy is coming for you. if you mentioned carbon tax you could have run the table.
@ByronMBader The replies of that thread are cooked, I mean, someone saying that covid legit isn’t real and getting 0 pushback.
If you like prospect stuff then you need to be following and supporting Byron.
Hockey Prospecting has been updated with final season numbers. Over 400 2024 eligible draftees are included. There's some serious gems in this draft. Become a subscriber ($35 CAD annually) and join the fun. HockeyProspecting.com
@ByronMBader Oh I know, I'm just failing at trying to be funny.
@ByronMBader The model has to be correct because most of those people you mentioned in A became good nhlers or stars
The Red Wings recent rebuild has a trend of ignoring the high prob. star candidates and choosing the presumably safer 'two way pick' (namely their 1st picks of each draft). I thought it could bite them down the road. It might be starting to bite them. From 2017 to 2023... My…
@NHLFlames scoop this homegrown talent up before someone else does... This is the time to cash in on some prospects.
The Red Wings recent rebuild has a trend of ignoring the high prob. star candidates and choosing the presumably safer 'two way pick' (namely their 1st picks of each draft). I thought it could bite them down the road. It might be starting to bite them. From 2017 to 2023... My…
@ByronMBader The first two were from before the Yzerman regime. Vilardi got passed by everybody because of his back injuries. He was slated as a top 3 pick midseason, but he didn’t pass the medical specifications. Id take the Yzerman picks over the model, but the first two are obvious
@ByronMBader I don’t disagree, as a red wings fan, group A looks better. But I disagree in the fact it may be too early to compare Edvinsson, Kasper and Danielson. We don’t know how they will turn out. They all had great seasons in their respective leagues
@ByronMBader @MilestoneHockey Please do @ByronMBader. I don’t get how your model is not studied more by nhl teams lol
@ByronMBader I'm taking Hughes over the entire B group so kinda easy for me.
@ByronMBader Hughes and Clarke on the same pairing 😵
@ByronMBader The Holland picks (Rasmussen and Zadina) you are correct. Every other pick I take the Yzerman pick
@ByronMBader I feel like this is tried in rebuilds throughout sports all the time and it never works. You can supplement decent 2 way players with trades and free agent signings. You can’t supplement stars that give you a cup ceiling with anything else but taking chances early in the draft.
@ByronMBader I love the work you put in. I wish you could work for the flames and help them with drafting.
@ByronMBader x.com/ineffectivemat…
@DiverNinja @JFreshHockey No-one is ever upset with me, I'm universally belovèd
A group of us were thrilled to have our picture taken with a hockey icon. It was nice the Stanley Cup was there too.The soundtrack of the game and the country. Love and respect. Godspeed Bob.