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With a handful of states that could decide Senate control, @SalvantoCBS shows new CBS News polling from two of them, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where Democrats are starting out ahead: cbsn.ws/4di7Kaw
NEW Senate polling As Dems play defense in '24, they start out ahead in Pennsylvania & Wisconsin Why races may tighten: Dems < 50% despite incumbency/name ID Difficult environment w/ ticket splitting rare Plenty undecided, and they lean Republican More: cbsnews.com/news/democrats…
*New* CBS News Battleground Tracker poll Democrats start out ahead in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin 2024 Senate races Casey in Pennsylvania and Baldwin in Wisconsin lead right now, but many voters are undecided tinyurl.com/2vehbud6
Voting is choice between options... We don't see young voters flipping based on views of Israel-Hamas conflict Those who want Israel to stop military actions in Gaza choose Biden at similar rate to young voters overall (And approval slide among young may be related to economy)
Voting is choice between options... We don't see young voters flipping based on views of Israel-Hamas conflict Those who want Israel to stop military actions in Gaza choose Biden at similar rate to young voters overall (And approval slide among young may be related to economy)
Adding RFK, Jr. to mix doesn't diminish Biden margin in Michigan Kennedy drawing more interest from types of voters backing Trump: most who pick Kennedy in four-way race pick Trump in two-way race (and they look closer to Rs on views of economy, immigrants, and Trump trial) 1/2
Adding RFK, Jr. to mix doesn't diminish Biden margin in Michigan Kennedy drawing more interest from types of voters backing Trump: most who pick Kennedy in four-way race pick Trump in two-way race (and they look closer to Rs on views of economy, immigrants, and Trump trial) 1/2 https://t.co/1S0qQ87ncv
Race more competitive among voters dissatisfied but not angry about Dobbs Most want legal abortion in their state but don't blame Trump for decision Will anger increase, or will more blame him? Context: abortion isn't as salient as economic concerns for overall electorate 3/3
Abortion issue is still advantaging Democrats here Most voters report paying attention to events in other states like Arizona and Florida Many express anger about SCOTUS overturning Roe v. Wade (e.g., four in ten Wisconsin voters) — and they're overwhelmingly backing Biden 2/3
Factors working in Biden's favor in battlegrounds... While economy is top of mind, many voters in these states also see U.S. democracy at stake in election And Biden doing well with MI/PA/WI voters saying state of democracy is major factor in their vote 1/3
Factors working in Biden's favor in battlegrounds... While economy is top of mind, many voters in these states also see U.S. democracy at stake in election And Biden doing well with MI/PA/WI voters saying state of democracy is major factor in their vote 1/3 https://t.co/f4ZUPXrPHw
Trump's NYC trial? Not a big factor in MI/PA/WI It's mostly Democrats/Biden voters saying they've heard/read much about it Trump voters paying more attention less likely to be persuadable And roughly equal concern overall that prosecution is political and Trump committed crime
Trump's NYC trial? Not a big factor in MI/PA/WI It's mostly Democrats/Biden voters saying they've heard/read much about it Trump voters paying more attention less likely to be persuadable And roughly equal concern overall that prosecution is political and Trump committed crime https://t.co/LY00BqvECD
Another shift: Biden's perceived advantage on helping middle class rather than wealthy, compared to Trump, has taken hit in Pennsylvania since fall '20 Voters back then felt Biden policies would be less likely than Trump's to favor wealthy — still true, but narrower gap now 3/3
The issues of democracy and abortion are helping Biden. He leads Trump among those who say the state of democracy is a major factor in their vote. But Trump has a wider lead among those who cite the economy as a major factor and there are more of those voters right now.
Few say their own finances are better compared to before the pandemic. So, we find in all three states, many believe they would be financially better off with Trump back in office. Voters who feel this way are voting for him in large numbers. tinyurl.com/3xrj6mjy
Most voters in these states hold negative views of their state’s economy.. And when they are asked to look back and recall the economy when Trump was president, most say it was good – a sentiment that gives the former president an advantage. tinyurl.com/3xrj6mjy
MI/PA/WI tight Majorities rated state economy poorly four years ago in pandemic Evaluating Trump today, voters focus on pre-pandemic economy, and many feel better off financially with him But Trump/Biden elicit more worry than confidence, lots of anger cbsnews.com/news/biden-tru…
*New* CBS News poll finds Biden-Trump race tight in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin Read it here: tinyurl.com/3xrj6mjy
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283 Followers 313 Following I am Senior Coordinating Producer for CBS News in Washington. @1wardo. Any retweets: not endorsements but means i think they're interesting or funny.It's just one of the all-time best songs ever written... it can't not be a moving performance. I'm not a country fan at all, but I'm happy Luke Combs brought the song and Tracy back to the top.
Luke Combs brought out Tracy Chapman to perform "Fast Car" at the #Grammys, surprising the crowd and moving all of us at home! 📷: Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images for The Recording Academy
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