Amy Walter @amyewalter
Publisher & Editor-in-Chief, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. Cycling enthusiast. Lover of all things summer. cookpolitical.com/about/staff/am… Washington, DC Joined June 2009-
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Yes, Haley did best in “Never Trump” suburban Philly. But it was notable that she also took some of her strongest support in the more swingy counties of Cumberland (outside of Harrisburg): Erie, Berks and Lancaster. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
And PA is a closed primary state. Meaning, no independents or Democrats can vote in GOP primary. Questions for November. How many of these Haley voters are: 1) 2020 Biden voters; 2) 2020 Trump voters willing to switch/stay home?
And PA is a closed primary state. Meaning, no independents or Democrats can vote in GOP primary. Questions for November. How many of these Haley voters are: 1) 2020 Biden voters; 2) 2020 Trump voters willing to switch/stay home?
Y’all, I’m so exhausted already. Don’t know that I can emotionally handle another half….
Hey @LoganDobson , it’s been awhile, but here’s another great “only in Colorado” more specifically, Boulder, story. “Climber on being rescued from Boulder’s Flatirons with his adventure cat: “She was 100% calm” Austin Wolff says his cat Link was safe and content while he…
Trip down memory lane and realignment. Downstate IL, Alabama, Arkansas and North Dakota all in LEAN Dem.
Trip down memory lane and realignment. Downstate IL, Alabama, Arkansas and North Dakota all in LEAN Dem.
Like Trump, Biden won b/c election less about him, and more about his opponent. Unlike Trump, Biden hasn’t converted anti-Trump voters into pro-Biden voters. Helps explain why he gets more traction w/ anti-Trump message than Biden accomplishments cookpolitical.com/analysis/natio…
https://t.co/60lqUX6p45
LFG USA men cycling!! @seppkuss at Vuelta. Now @MatteoJorg at Paris-Nice.
LFG USA men cycling!! @seppkuss at Vuelta. Now @MatteoJorg at Paris-Nice.
12 years ago, Obama ran for re-election w/out mentioning ACA/Obamacare in any paid advertising. Today, Biden is making promise to “protect and expand” it.
Given that most who watch SOTU are already partisans, seems like the top of the speech was dedicated to wobbly Dems who worry that Biden doesn’t have stamina or strength to take it to Trump.
Given that most who watch SOTU are already partisans, seems like the top of the speech was dedicated to wobbly Dems who worry that Biden doesn’t have stamina or strength to take it to Trump.
This feels more like something one would hear at the DNC than a SOTU. Has already mentioned his “predecessor” in negative terms 2 times in first few minutes.
Comprehensive analysis of Tues primaries by @CookPolitical. Top takeaways: 1) Trump enters general election in strongest shape ever; 2) House R’s get preferred candidate in critical NC-01; 3) In TX, Jackson-Lee (D) avoids run-off, Gonzales (R) doesn’t. cookpolitical.com/analysis/natio…
Haley won 7 counties in CO, 5 of them are home to major ski resorts: Pitkin (Aspen), San Miguel (Telluride), San Juan (Silverton), Summit (Keystone, Breck), & Routt (Steamboat).
She’s also on track to get close to 60% in Pitkin Cty, CO (Aspen).
She’s also on track to get close to 60% in Pitkin Cty, CO (Aspen).
“What’s so unbelievable about the 80 km solo was not that Pogačar did it, but that nothing stopped him.” A fantastic write-up about cycling’s most interesting and dominant rider.
“What’s so unbelievable about the 80 km solo was not that Pogačar did it, but that nothing stopped him.” A fantastic write-up about cycling’s most interesting and dominant rider.
Meanwhile, NYT/Siena poll throws cold water on theory that Haley’s strong showing in suburban areas =sign of weakness for Trump in general: “a near majority of Ms. Haley’s supporters (48-31) say they voted for Mr. Biden in the last election instead of Mr. Trump.”
Re: latest NYT/Siena poll. Nothing new or surprising. Right now, the election is referendum on Biden. Can he make this a ‘choice’ election & win back ‘20 voters who are defecting to Trump or ‘don’t know’? That is the $100B question to which we won’t have an answer for months.
Lisa Desjardins @LisaDNews
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1K Followers 776 Following Research Director for The Texas Politics Project at The University of Texas at Austin.Stepping back from TV news duties for a bit to focus on my main gig: dad. @allison__news, big sis Lanie & I are thrilled to welcome baby Hannah to our family. I’ll see all of yall again this summer. Thanks to @kwelkernbc and the @MeetThePress team for HH’s big debut.
.@SenToomey voted for Nikki, will probably write her in, per Inky
In short, not clear at all that these are the best issues for mobilizing *even Democrats with liberal views*! And they certainly were the most important issues for independents: nytimes.com/2019/12/19/ups…
OK, I was skeptical of her vote share earlier, but 117k Haley votes (and counting) is notable. PA was decided by 80k in 2020, and around 46k in 2016.
Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R) wins renomination in #PA01, per @AP_Politics. He’s headed for a rematch with Ashley Ehasz (D) in a race we rate Likely Republican. Though the 1st District opted for President Biden in 2020, Fitzpatrick consistently outruns his party.
With three weeks until voters head to the polls, West Virginia’s 2024 campaign circuit is beginning to look less like a polite debate over policy and more like an old-fashioned family feud. @MattKleinOnline on the races for #WVGov and #WVSen: cookpolitical.com/analysis/gover…
New @CookPolitical: Could a convicted Jan. 6 rioter topple a GOP incumbent? Probably not, but it's worth keeping an eye on. Full #WV01 analysis by @ercovey: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
It’s so nice to be honored by my partner and my peers, and none of it happens if @janetforjustice doesn’t trust me to be part of her team for one of the most important elections Wisconsin has seen in our lives.
Yep, that is my partner, @BrianStryker, who received the Pollster of the Year Award for 2023 cycle by @TheAAPC. We are all proud of him here at Impact Research
Fox didn't poll the Senate races in their swing state polls. 🤦♂️
Why she does what she does
At this political moment: Here’s what happens when Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) speaks at Capitol
Your #dailywally crashed the baby’s one-month pictures 😂💕
Harvard Youth Poll #47(!) to drop in less than 12 hours. Watch this space. @HarvardIOP
Black and Hispanic voters are trending toward Biden. In other words, Democratic-leaning groups are shifting toward the Democratic candidate. Exactly the scenario we wrote about a month ago: goodauthority.org/news/how-much-… Thanks to Matt for producing and updating these graphs.
Biden mildly trending better among Black and Hispanic subgroups in the last few weeks of polling
ICYMI: Catch Senior Editor @Redistrict's thoughts on #Election2024 via @cspan. #DrinkFromTheSource
We invite Cook Political Report's David Wasserman (@Redistrict) back on the program, to discuss the political environment, key issues, and races to watch heading into the fall elections Watch here: tinyurl.com/4vfzdz37
New York Magazine found a lesbian with both conservative political views and integrity and produced this profile in which I am quoted effusively and earnestly praising the subject. nymag.com/intelligencer/…
I go on maternity leave and they run amok 😂
New: @amyewalter and I had a lot of fun walking down memory lane and nerding out on the defining House races of the last 40 years on @CookPolitical’s Odd Years podcast. open.spotify.com/episode/1v9dN8…