FCF or Bust @CapStructKing
Style Agnostic | Capital Structure Agnostic | Never Long Frauds | 90% Indexed with 10% Fun Money | Mostly retweets, not investment advice Washington, DC Joined March 2021-
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Arguably, with annuity rates where they are there's a good argument that buying an annuity with some of your pot enables you to take _more_ risk with the rest of your portfolio, and end up richer in good return scenarios, and OK in bad ones (because of the annuity).
We are Short Archer Aviation Inc. $ACHR . Our new report is titled “Archer Aviation, The Nikola of the Skies”. You can read the research report here: grizzlyreports.com/achr20250827/
It's time for an idea thread! Here goes: what's your favorite special situation at the moment? Add a sentence explaining why you like it + valuation. As usual, I will compile the responses and share them with everyone. Please retweet for visibility. Thx in advance!🙏
@ClarkSquareCap Lindbergh S.p.A. (LDB.MI): they shutdown their un/less profitable French unit and focussing on building their highly profitable HVAC business. high insider ownership. M1 Kliniken AG (M12.DE): similar story- focussing on their profitable beauty clinic business.…
NEW: We are short Tecnoglass $TGLS - recently leaked intelligence memos name $TGLS CEO and COO Jose and Christian Daes as participants in Sinaloa cartel schemes in Colombia; $TGLS board also ensnared; massive fallout risk ignored. Full report now at culperresearch.com
Model Portfolio Update and Q3 2025 Review: 42% Weighted Return I am giving away a free one year subscription at random to someone who retweets this.
been building a merger arbitrage trading tool hosted at mergerarb.io that allows users to track ongoing deals, compare to similar historic deals, and use AI to parse through filings, news & court docs. Just implemented an mcp server too so you can now chat w the app
Semi Regular Thread: What is your best short idea right now? Please provide ticker and reason why. #shortidea
Another ShitCo coming undone: $AEVA $80M in Cash (Banks always cancel Lines of Credit when they see distress)... Burning $30M per Quarter. Going to Zero at some point.
Another ShitCo coming undone: $AEVA $80M in Cash (Banks always cancel Lines of Credit when they see distress)... Burning $30M per Quarter. Going to Zero at some point. https://t.co/0qBpRPaxTE
1/ 🚨 Buffett called Precision Castparts "the best in its business" but admitted overpaying at 12x EBITDA. What if you could snag a similar high-quality peer at <5x on trough earnings? Enter Impro Precision $1286.HK AI data centers + aerospace supercycle rocket fuel! A 🧵 👇
A Japanese version of Precision Castparts at 12x 2027e P/E. H/t: @gezzogero for the idea.
Looked at this name for the first time and it's very cheap. Market must be bearish on the big Chūō Shinkansen project, which is why such a predictable profit machine is trading at 8.2 forward p/e (earnings came in strong last night too). Only downside is weak shareholder returns
Looked at this name for the first time and it's very cheap. Market must be bearish on the big Chūō Shinkansen project, which is why such a predictable profit machine is trading at 8.2 forward p/e (earnings came in strong last night too). Only downside is weak shareholder returns
Japanese consumer staples shortlist: ($TSE: 2222) Kotobuki Spirits in premium confectionary products is a "magic 20%" - >20% ROIC, EBIT margins, with >20% market expected earnings growth priced at below <20x EV/EBIT or P/E (and a debt free balance sheet). 1/n
We just published a new high conviction idea $NATL. This neglected spinoff is trading at ~6x earnings and we believe can grow EPS ~30%/year over the next three years. We believe fair value is ~250% higher over the next ~3 years. View the idea here: altafoxcapital.com/research
$OIH $RIG $NE $VAL $SDRL I've not always seen eye-to-eye with the Mayor - but this is a very good post; highly recommended. I never bought JUs until $BORR post the recent partial recap (figured finally at the sentiment / business nadir). But I do remember Mayor calling the top /…
$OIH $RIG $NE $VAL $SDRL I've not always seen eye-to-eye with the Mayor - but this is a very good post; highly recommended. I never bought JUs until $BORR post the recent partial recap (figured finally at the sentiment / business nadir). But I do remember Mayor calling the top /…
$TVK.TO and $JDG.L are both serial acquirers that have achieved a 22% post-tax return on incremental capital over the last decade by my estimates. But they achieve this return very differently. Judges Scientific buys niche scientific instrument businesses for 6x EBIT, which…
Mega List 💥💥 Upcoming compounders under 10billion market cap from all over the world 🌎 Canada 🇨🇦 $TVK.TO - Propane Tanks $VHI.TO - VMS for Healthcare $FTG.TO - Aerospace & defense electronics niche specialist Israel 🇮🇱 $NXSN.TA - Drone Cameras under 2KG $QLTU.TA -…

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