Dynamic Moats @DynamicMoats
Views are my own. Not investment advice. San Francisco, CA Joined November 2012-
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Kelly and Birkin collude together to keep bag prices artificially high
Kelly and Birkin collude together to keep bag prices artificially high https://t.co/7RMeQfhYg6
$100+
$GOOG TPU ASP: $7k, 60% GM $AMD MI300 ASP: $15k, 64% GM $NVDA A100 ASP: $12k, 82% GM H100 ASP: $21k, 87% GM B100 ASP: $38k ASP, 85%, GM
"I think there are people that have a fantasy that LLMs will tell you which stocks to buy. It's just a fantasy" Argues there's a place for active managers. - Ken Griffin Rejoice youtube.com/watch?v=SIwcCy…
Will revisit this in 2 years
SBF got inspiration from Shawshank Redemption He’s going to mine his way out of prison
SBF got inspiration from Shawshank Redemption He’s going to mine his way out of prison
$MOD is a 10x in 1.5 years Had earnings and a low P/E the entire time Value investing still works though it’s harder than 15-20 years ago
$MOD is a 10x in 1.5 years Had earnings and a low P/E the entire time Value investing still works though it’s harder than 15-20 years ago
$BX marketing team has been executing much better than competitors on using AI as a fundraising rally cry wsj.com/tech/ai/ais-un…
Great interview youtube.com/watch?v=PgGKhs… Haters gonna hate
Gavin Baker has a rare combo of public market skills (LT investing, ST trading, portfolio/risk mgmt, market cycle awareness), private market skills (relationship building, deal sourcing/structuring), business building skills (brand building, team dev, communication, story…
The number of one year multi baggers of real AI beneficiary businesses with real earnings is incredible $SMCI $NVDA $MOD $CLS $VRT Taiwan hardware names Have there been other periods that have been similiar in terms of sheer number, real earnings, short period of time? Most…
Prepared Remarks @Rebrand_As_Y
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When you have 150k followers and you push them all into a small cap name, you get a succesful pump… crazy price action $AMRK
@JetSkiGolfLife Valid question for someone seemingly roasting from the cheap seats.
@KvetchNRelease It's a bit over 5x higher than 1yr ago so seem to have a decent track record in that regard
$LFCR Another example... I have said it before and I’ll say it again: long sales processes often end in tears - a highly desirable, transactable asset for which there is demand transacts fast… if it takes forever it is cause it aint going anywhere
@GlenKacher @JamesLu09609862 Margin dilutive yes, but cloud was largely incremental earnings, rather than cannibalization of core biz. Also Satya took over at 10x trailing fcf not 20x fwd, and a much less cyclical biz than ad sales. Seems quite a bit different?
@JerryCap Sundar is a genius that destroys the “cultural rot” in a month
@DynamicMoats @WaterworldCapi1 When you run your Twitter account like Surveyor
Fwiw nobody really knows yet impact if AmEx on $CDLX. Lots of ways to guess a number and timeline, but most signs point to it being extremely accretive both in terms of top/bottom line and competitive position. Implementation prob not done til Q3/Q4 but should cleanly refi debt
Can’t wait to listen to this episode! Some of my dear friends are featuring, it will be such a wonderful event. I will be out of the city with family on Tuesday, if for any reason I cannot join live I will be listening the recording early Wednesday latest! Thanks…
@AdamB1438 And you didn't understand what the key variables were then either clearly. Why is your pinned letter from 2021?
One thing college kids never believe is that a huge chunk of your career is just luck. Right boss, right personality, right timing etc No one believes it because the candidates all just got As until age 21. Rude awakening when they learn effort isn’t rewarded many times.
@DynamicMoats Yes, basically a different sub-sector of the electronics industry every other year where a random supply shortage shows up. In the past 7 years, DRAM (Micron, Samsung, Hynix), then MLCCs (Yageo, Walsin), then DDICs (Novatek, Himax), then FPGAs (Lattice)
🛎 Arauca Capital's latest letter for qualified investors was yesterday released 🛎 How to access it in case you are not on the distribution list, I want to make sure everyone is aware 👇 1️⃣ Click here: araucacapital.com/read-listen 2️⃣ Scroll down a bit, then you find the H2-2023…
the interview questions: “how do magnets work?” “how many planes are in the sky right now?” “how many golf balls could fit in a school bus?” “if you have a 10x10x10 cube & remove one layer, how many squares are left?” the job: “change this row in excel so we get a 25% IRR”
@neoziberal @cap_zay Maybe they should invest with me? Send me your $10m net worth friends struggling with how to generate returns kingdomcapitaladvisors.com/fund-letters/q…
When newsletter writers launch an actual fund
As I reflect on 2023 here, I’ve enjoyed following/engaging with/sharing ideas/learning from the following people - my thanks to them for their time and insights during the last year (no particular order): @AndrewRangeley @agnostoxxx @YellowLabLife @Seawolfcap @VD718…
3rd week in a row of YoY growth for $CVNA according to @AltDataAlpha. Hit some 2023 highs for weekly new vehicle listings recently as well. Entering 2024 in a much better place and very happy with that they've done so far. Congrats to that team